"Global warming will stop until at least 2015 because of natural variations in the climate, scientists have said. Researchers studying long-term changes in sea temperatures said they now expect a "lull" for up to a decade while natural variations in climate cancel out the increases caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions." -- "Global warming may 'stop', scientists predict"
"Our results suggest that global surface temperature may not increase over the next decade." -- the journal Nature
"the PDO can remain in the same phase for 20 to 30 years" - NASASo what happened to the "The Science Is Settled" mantra? How can they one minute scream of dire near term consequences from global warming and the next minute put it on hold for 30 years? There is certainly nothing "settled" about that! There has already been no global warming for 10 years and science has had a very difficult time explaining why the planet has not warmed while CO2 has continued to rise. All of their computer models had predicted warming, not cooling. It is amazing how they're willing to blame cooling on nature but not warming, even when the same processes that will cause cooling can also cause warmer temperatures. Perhaps they're more willing to blame nature for cooling because they already tried blaming man for cooler temperatures in the 70's, which just happens to be the last time the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (see below) went through a cooling cycle.
“The shift in the PDO can have significant implications on global climate, affecting Pacific and Atlantic hurricane activity, droughts and flooding around the Pacific basin, the productivity of marine ecosystems, and global land temperature patterns. “This multi-year Pacific Decadal Oscillation ‘cool’ trend can intensify La Niña or diminish El Niño impacts around the Pacific basin” - NASA's Earth Observatory
"Mounting evidence of lower temperature trends despite rising atmospheric CO2 levels is becoming a real problem for the greenhouse gas crowd. And reports that the cooling appears to follow a period of dormant solar activity aren't likely to ease their anxieties. Indeed, without an immediate alarmist course correction, years of "the science is settled" campaigning could prove for naught, as prolonged temperature dips decimate the primary anthropogenic argument. After all, Lord Gore has shouted the IPCC's proclamation of a 0.3°C warming over the next decade from virtually every rooftop. Given new data projecting the contrary, he and his green hordes will need to find a way to not only explain the error, but keep the AGW dream alive."
"a model study on another phenomenon, this time affecting the North Atlantic, were published in the journal Nature. Dr Noel Keenlyside et al, of the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences in Germany, reported that the "conveyor belt" of southern warm water known as the Meridional Overturning Circulation is entering a weak cycle. As weak MOC cycles -- which can last as many as 80 years -- are associated with cooler North Atlantic temperatures" -- The American Thinker
"During most of the 1980s and 1990s, the Pacific was locked in the oscillation's warm phase, during which these warm and cool regions are reversed." - NASAIn yet another example that science isn't ready for predicting long range climate comes this Science Daily story "New Ocean Current Discovered". This ocean current is separate from the PDO described above which has been shown to have a major affect on climate.
"Although the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation is part of a natural cycle of the climate system, we find evidence suggesting that its amplitude may increase as global warming progresses,” said Di Lorenzo.Could it be that they have their cause and effect reversed? It certainly wouldn't be the first time. There is so much about the Earth's natural cycles that we don't understand that it is currently impossible to model future climate. Yet we're expected to pour trillions of dollars in to CO2 reduction.