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NewsBusters - Global Warming

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Global Warming News

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» President Obama and Chinese President Xi will officially join the Paris Climate Treaty on 3rd September

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» Kyoto-Financed Cook Stoves Fail as Health/Climate “Intervention”

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Deadliest Decade Ever For Tornadoes
Admin, Wednesday 14 May 2008 - 04:15:46 // comment: 40 //     printer friendly   //     Font Size - Increase / Decrease / Reset

We're sorry, you thought it was the current decade? Far from it. Even with the huge increases in U.S. population the deadliest decade was the 1930's, or possibly even earlier. Not only do the statistics show there were more deaths but there were more F3-F5 (strong) tornadoes as well.No Longer Supported
The top 10 deadliest years for tornadoes all occurred before 1954, most of these years had below average temperatures and were certainly before anthropogenic CO2 would have had an affect on the atmosphere.



The ten deadliest documented tornado events
RankDateEst. intensity*StateInjuries (Deaths)
1March 18, 1925F5MO, IL, IN2027 (695)
2May 6, 1840Unkn.LA, MS109 (317)
3May 27, 1896F4 MO, IL1000 (255)
4April 5, 1936F5MS 700 (216)
5April 6, 1936F4GA 1600 (203)
6April 9, 1947F5TX, KS, OK 970 (181)
7April 24, 1908F4LA, MS 770 (143)
8June 12, 1899F5WI 200 (117)
9June 8, 1953F5MI 844 (115)
10May 11, 1953F5TX 597 (114)
10May 18, 1902Unk.TX 230 (114)
* All events occurred prior to the implementation of the Fujita Scale, and intensities are estimated based on historical documentation.


The deadliest tornado decade since 1930 was the decade of the 1930's (other data indicates that the years 1850-1930 also experienced more strong tornadoes than what we're experiencing today). Tornado deaths have fallen every decade since 1930 up until the 1970's when they increased about 5% over the previous decade. The 1970's were also one of the cooler decades this century with below average temperatures and there isn't any clear correlation between strong tornadoes and climate temperature. Every decade after the 1970's have seen the number of tornado deaths fall. The number of deaths and the number of strong tornadoes before 1950 are probably very much under estimated due to the poor technology, more rural locations, and spotty reporting of the time period. The odds are very good that we've seen even more dramatic declines in both strong tornadoes and number of deaths over the past 150 years than what the numbers show.


University of Nebraska-Lincoln High Plains Regional Climate Center




So what about news reports that show the number of recorded tornadoes nearing all time highs? This year there has been a high number of tornadoes, with 858 so far this year. A pretty interesting statistic seeing as according to NOAA the U.S. has had below average temperatures so far this year. The media blames increased tornadoes on "global warming" even when the temperatures are below normal. Something is wrong with that picture. The record number of reported total tornadoes in any given year was in the year 2002 when approximately 1600 were recorded. But this is the total number of tornadoes regardless of the size. Until very recently we didn't have doppler radar, storm chasers, and this many people spread out across America to report tornadoes. Some people in rural locations didn't even have phones to report them prior to the 1960's nor did they know who to report it to besides their neighbor or the local sheriff. It is also doubtful that farmers would have even reported tornadoes that didn't cause severe property damage or loss of life. The total number of tornadoes reported has gone up every year in large part because of better reporting. In the first half of the century tornadoes in the F3-F5 range were far more likely to have been reported than the smaller ones, but the number of large F3-F5 tornadoes is still far lower today than it has been in the past (see the graph below).


NOAA's National Climatic Data Center

"With increased national doppler radar coverage, increasing population, and greater attention to tornado reporting, there has been an increase in the number of tornado reports over the past several decades. This can create a misleading appearance of an increasing trend in tornado frequency." -- NOAA
Are non-tornadic storms getting worse?
Not only has there been a reduction in the number of strong tornadoes but there has also been a reduction in the number of strong storms and deaths from lightening. Lightening deaths are down dramatically, from a peak of about 430 in 1943 (a cooler than average year by the way) down to about 45 in 2003 (which was way above average temperature).



The same holds true for deaths from floods. There have been more deaths from floods in cooler years (e.g 1954, 1969, 1972) than from warm one's (1941-1942, 1999-2002)


Are Hurricanes Getting Stronger Due to Global Warming?
The answer is No. Every year it seems the news is all a buzz about more and stronger hurricanes. There are even people blaming the recent Myanmar cyclone on global warming (which was a rather routine weather event and equivalent to a CAT3 hurricane). Hurricanes in the U.S. have not been increasing in either size or numbers. See the quote below "Warmer Ocean Could Reduce Number of Atlantic Hurricane Landfalls" from NOAA.



Graph produced by GlobalWarmingHoax.com with data from NOAA


So the next time you're watching the news about the latest natural disaster being caused by "climate change" or "global warming" keep these statistics in mind. When Al Gore calls the Myanmar Cyclone a 'Consequence' of Global Warming' be properly disgusted and show people you know what a pompous idiot he really is to use tragedy in this way. He has also said that Hurricane Katrina was caused by global warming, There is no apparent connection between global warming and stronger storms, much less any one storm.

References:
  • NOAA Tornado FAQ - An excellent FAQ about tornadoes.
  • U.S. Tornado Climatology - NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. Historic data and charts. "Unfortunately, much of what we know as tornado alley was very sparsely populated until the 20th century, and so it is possible that many significant tornadoes may never have made it into the historical record."
  • "U.S. SEVERE WEATHER METEOROLOGY and CLIMATOLOGY" - University of Nebraska-Lincoln High Plains Regional Climate Center. A lot of good tornado information, graphs, charts, etc.
  • Brian Williams: 'Smart' Say Tornadoes a Reaction to Abuse of Earth - Newsbusters.org. "NBC Nightly News anchor Brian Williams on Monday evening gave credibility to the extremist environmental theory that the Earth is reacting to mankind's mistreatment by spawning a rash of tornadoes."
  • "Warmer Ocean Could Reduce Number of Atlantic Hurricane Landfalls" - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) "A warming global ocean — influencing the winds that shear off the tops of developing storms — could mean fewer Atlantic hurricanes striking the United States according to new findings by NOAA climate scientists."
  • "Cyclone 'is a sign of things to come' " - The Australian. "A TOP Indian advocacy group that monitors climate change in south Asia warned last night that the Nargis cyclone that devastated Burma was "a sign of things to come", as climate change caused extreme weather to increase in intensity."



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