» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism
» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb
» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors
» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast
» Hansen Is Wrong
» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing
» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears
» Illiteracy at NASA
» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases
» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?
» MSNBC Panel Slams GOP on Global Warming, Predicts 'End of the Republican Party'
» Marking Earth Day, MSNBC’s Hayes Furthers Fossil Fuel/Slavery Comparison
» MSNBC's Schultz Slams FBN's John Stossel as 'Fossil Fool,' 'Poverty and Climate Change Are Linked'
» AP Howler: Admin's Good Friday Timing of Latest Keystone Pipeline Delay a 'Surprise'
» Al Gore: Climate Deniers 'Immoral, Unethical, and Despicable'
» Column: Chicken Little 'Science'
» NY Times Pushes 'Climate Change' Activism on Front Page Two Days in a Row, Blames GOP
» Panicked NBC: 'World Must Act Now' to 'Avert Disaster' of Climate Change
» CBS Touts Showtime's 'Groundbreaking,' 'Well-Done' New Series Hyping Climate Change
» New Climate Alarmist Tack: Go Green for God
» Thomas Friedman On Questioning Global Warming: ‘That’s Not Conservatism, That’s Trotskyite Radicalism’
» NBC Promotes Global Warming Special: 'Did Climate Change Just Hit Home?'
» Univision Partners with Liberal UN Foundation on Climate Issues
» NewsBusted: Al Gore, America's Original Weather Drone
» Politico: Obama Wants 'Halo Effect' From Pope Francis, 'Whose Cool Factor Far Outweighs His Own'
» 17 News Companies Support FOIA Lawsuit Against Michael Mann
» David Letterman Pushes Jimmy Carter To Agree That A ‘Global Mandate’ Is Needed ‘To Do Anything About Climate Change’
» For NYT Enviro Reporter Justin Gillis, It's Always 'Apocalypse Now'
» Nets Uncritically Hype Dem 'All-Nighter' on Climate Change, Mocked Cruz's 'Long-Winded' Protest
» NPR Station Conducts 'Scientific' Sea Level Rise Survey Via Bizarre Computer Voice Shoutouts
» Medieval Warm Period in Upper North America
» Can Plants Evolve Fast Enough to Cope with Increased Drought?
» Health Promoting Effects of Elevated C02 on Common Food Plants
» Response of Corals to Ocean Acidification
» Effects of Ocean Acidification and Warming on Marine Echinoderms
» Effects of Elevated C02 on Soil Carbon Sequestration
» Biospheric Productivity in South America
» Killing Wildlife in the Name of Climate Change
» Natural Resource Adaptation: Protecting Resources and Economies
» The Interaction of C02 and Non-Ozone Air Pollutants on Plant Growth
» Global Cooling
» The Final Final IPCC AR5 WGI Report
» Rising Atmospheric C02 and Soil Erosion
» The IPCC Admits Defeat
» Medieval Warm Period in the Contiguous United States
» Evolution in Natural Vegetation: The Role of C02
» Lindzen Libeled
» Health-Promoting Effects of Elevated C02 on Medical Plants
» Effects of Increased C02 on Woody Plant Pests
» The Scientific Method
» Judith Curry's Statement to the Committee on Environment and Public Works of the US Senate
» Risking Lives to Promote Climate Change Hype
» Global Hurricane Trends
» Water Use Efficiency of Trees
» Game Over! The IPCC Quietly Concedes Defeat
» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!
» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post
» The Weblog Is Retiring
» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012
» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates
» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley
» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University
» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis
» USA Election Day 2012
» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis
» Turney in the Climategate Dossier
» Radiocarbon calibration and Bayesian inference
» The “Ethics Application” for Lewandowsky’s Fury
» Frontiers Issues Statement on Lewandowsky
» SH Proxies: Peru d18O
» Neukom and Gergis Serve Cold Screened Spaghetti
» UWA Vice Chancellor Johnson Refuses Data Again Again
» UWA Vice-Chancellor Refuses Lewandowsky Data
» Lewandowsky Ghost-wrote Conclusions of UWA Ethics Investigation into “Hoax”
» Lewandowsky’s Fury
Global Warming News
» Chutzpah: Fossil Fuel Shill Sierra Club Impugns Political Spending by Fossil Fuel Industry
» Delusional Democrats Divided on Whether President’s Keystone Punt Is Apolitical or Amazing Politics (It’s neither)
» Breaking News Shocker: Billionaire Influence Peddler Tom Steyer Doesn’t “Embrace” Koch Comparison
» EPA’s Downward Revision of Cellulosic Target Reminds Us (again) That Government Can’t Create Viable Green Energy Industries
» Happy Earth Day: Dispelling Environmental Myths and Celebrating Human Achievement
» Fracking Earth Day Video “Appalls,” “Offends” Eco-Activists
» Biofuels Worse for Environment Than Thought, Flunk Standard in 2007 Energy Law
» Pollution Control Executive: Carbon Pollution Standard Suppresses Innovation in Carbon “Pollution” Control
» Top Union Official on O’s Keystone XL Pipeline Delay: “It’s not the oil that’s dirty, it’s the politics”
» Weekend Media Roundup: Platts Energy Week, National Review, and The American Spectator
Since Exxon Hasn't Sent Us Our First Million Dollars Yet You're Welcome To Help Pay Our Bills Until They Do.
Date published: Thu, 24 Apr 2014 03:11:00 +0000
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|»||The Thought Experiment That First Made Me A Climate Skeptic
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|»||Explaining the Flaw in Kevin Drum’s (and Apparently Science Magazine’s) Climate Chart
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|»||Amherst, MA Presentation, March 7
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Data discovered on NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) website revises recorded temperatures for the United States. It is expected that similar revisions will also be made for global temperature recordings. This information was discovered by Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit on Wednesday (8/8/2007). No NASA press release, no James Hansen (head of GISS) announcement, nothing. Could it be because they don't want anyone to see it? The data is certainly devastating for the Al Gore camp which has based much of their Carbon Credits sales pitch on recent temperatures (e.g. claiming that 1998 was the warmest on record).
Other aspects of the data are just as stunning.
- Only 4 of the top 10 warmest years occurred in the past 10 years (1998, 1999, 2006)
- Out of the top 10 warmest years half occurred before 1940
- The years 2000, 2002, 2003 and 2004 were cooler than the year 1900
- 1996, just two years before what Al Gore called the hottest year in the history of the planet, was actually cooler than average.
- 1921 was the third warmest year in recorded history (behind 1934 and 1998).
We're almost back to the 1970's theory of global cooling! The data clearly changes things.
Had we been living in 1934 we would have heard the same claims of global warming, this is the evidence that we would have heard at the time:
- 8 of the past 10 years had been above average.
- 1934 was the warmest year ever recorded. The warmest in over 54 years!
Shift that to 1944 and you would have seen that 17 of the past 21 years had been warmer than average. It is obvious that in just the past 125 years there have been other periods just as warm, or warmer, than what we are now experiencing. If we could look at the past 1,000 years with the accuracy of the past 100 years we would most likely find that this is not unusual at all.
Update: Turns out this NASA data was revised because of a Y2K bug in the algorithm used to adjust measurement station raw data. Blogger Finds Y2K Bug in NASA Climate Data. NASA's James Hansen has refused to release his algorithms but they were reverse engineered by Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit and NASA has since updated their data (so you know he Steve got it right). What this author finds truly disturbing (and disgusting) is that NASA would keep these algorithms secret. This is public information. Steve really should file a Freedom of Information (FOIA) request to obtain this and what ever else he needs. NASA would be very hard pressed to justify withholding that information. These events seriously call in to question anything James Hansen has touched, supervised, or managed. Not just because he got the math wrong but because he also hides his methods. He is apparently attempting to establish a new religion by requiring people to have faith in his data.
As one blogger said "1998 had El Nino and 367ppmv CO2. What did 1934 have?", was 1934 mans fault too?
Climate Audit is being hit by either too much traffic or a Distributed Denial of Service Attack (they aren't sure which at this point). Below are the two blog posts that started it all.
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==== CLIMATE AUDIT'S August 8th, 2007 POST =====
A New Leaderboard at the U.S. Open
By Steve McIntyre
A little unexpectedly, 1998 had a late bogey and 1934 had a late birdie. (I thought that they were both in the clubhouse since the turmoil seemed to be in the 2000s.) In any event, the new leader atop the U.S. Open is 1934.
2006 had a couple of late bogeys and fell to 4th place, behind even 1921. I think that there’s a little air in the 2006 numbers even within GISS procedures as the other post-2000 lost about 0.15 strokes through late bogeys, while it lost only 0.10 strokes. It is faltering and it might yet fall behind 1931 into 5th place.
Four of the top 10 are now from the 1930s: 1934, 1931, 1938 and 1939, while only 3 of the top 10 are from the last 10 years (1998, 2006, 1999). Several years (2000, 2002, 2003, 2004) fell well down the leaderboard, behind even 1900. (World rankings are calculated separately.) Note: For the new leaderboard see . The old data has been erased; by sheer chance, I had the old data active in my R-session but I can’t give a link to it.)
GISS U.S. Temperatures (deg C) in New Order
Here’s the old leaderboard.
==== CLIMATE AUDIT'S August 7th, 2007 POST =====
Will the Real USHCN Data Set Please Stand Up?
By Steve McIntyre
The GISS homepage formerly said:
In econometrics, you couldn’t use loosy-goosy phrases like “replaced by a later corrected version.” You’d have to identify the version. Actually AGU policies (which apply to JGR) require proper data citation, although climate scientists publishing in AGU journals flout this policy, including Hansen here. Following an email to Hansen and Ruedy of GISS, they changed the introduction at the GISTEMP intro from:to the following:
This doesn’t really clarify the provenance of the data. In his email, Ruedy added:
Well, I hadn’t really “noticed” that they had used GHCN data to extend the USHCN data. I’ve done lots of cross-comparisons with different variations trying to identify exactly where the GHCN raw data came from. I’ve put up many plots at CA showing GISS raw as compared to different USHCN versions and I’ve done many more that I’ve not posted up. At his point, there’s one thing that we can say for sure: I’ve now looked at GISS raw as compared to GHCN raw data in the post-2000 period and in the few sites that I’ve examined since receiving this email (Detroit Lakes, Port Angeles), there is an exact match. So at least we’ve tracked down one aspect of the provenance of GISS raw data. I’ve done a comparison plot below for Detroit Lakes MN, a series that we’ve looked at before. After 2000, the match is exact (the delta is 0.0). However, before 2000, the USHCN TOBS/adjusted series sort of match for a while but the match tails off in the earlier portions, with the GISS raw version being quite different.
So where does the GISS raw version come from? At this stage, I think that we can declare that it doesn’t come from any of the USHCN version 2 (raw, TOBS, adjsted). If it did, then the versions would match as exactly as the GHCN raw and GISS raw after 2000. So where does it come from? Another stupid climate science guessing game, although hopefully it will solved in a shorter time than the unsolved MBH99 confidence intervals.
Ruedy’s letter has opened up the possibility of really obsolete data being used - I hadn’t thought to look at really obsolete data. I browsed through some obsolete data in connection with Swindle - who would have thought that we’d be doing so again. Two possibilities spring to mind: (1) maybe he’s using something from USHCN version 1; this is online, but I don’t think that the dates are right. (2) Maybe there’s an earlier USHCN version 2 that’s been overwritten (3) maybe he’s using an old GHCN version before 2000. Maybe none of the above - hey, it’s climate science.
==== END OF POST ====
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