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» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?
Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group
» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!
» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post
» The Weblog Is Retiring
» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012
» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates
» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley
» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University
» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis
» USA Election Day 2012
» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis
» Marvel et al. – Gavin Schmidt admits key error but disputes everything else
» A Return to Polar Urals: Wilson et al 2016
» Picking Cherries in the Gulf of Alaska
» Cherry-Picking by D’Arrigo
» Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates – update
» Bob Carter
» Appraising Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates
» Update of Model-Observation Comparisons
» COP21 Emission Projections
» Balascio et al and the Baffin Island Inconsistency
Global Warming News
» The Motion that Won the Stay
» CEI Rolling Out New “Richard Windsor” Revelations
» Satellites and Global Warming: Dr. Christy Sets the Record Straight
» UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Secretariat Announces Steps for Signing and Ratifying the Paris Climate Treaty. The Next Step Is Up To the Senate.
» Robert M. Carter, RIP
» Mandating 100% Renewable Energy: It’s About Jobs?
» Paris Agreement: Recycled “Process” Socialism
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» Climate Change Hearing: Lessons from Data vs. Dogma
» Is the Paris Climate Agreement a Treaty?
Since Exxon Hasn't Sent Us Our First Million Dollars Yet You're Welcome To Help Pay Our Bills Until They Do.
Date published: Sat, 13 Feb 2016 21:40:50 +0000
|»||UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for January, 2016: +0.54 deg C
NOTE: This is the tenth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old ...
|»||After the Snowstorm: Color Satellite Views
The VIIRS color imager on the Suomi/NPP satellite provided nice views yesterday of the heavy blanket ...
|»||On that 2015 Record Warmest Claim
We now have the official NOAA-NASA report that 2015 was the warmest year by far in the surface therm ...
|»||75 Million to Get Snowblasted
The snowstorm expected to begin in earnest on Friday is still looking like one for the record books, ...
|»||Frost Flowers: The Frost Awakens
It’s been over a year since I first found “frost flowers” growing in our backyard ...
|»||UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for Dec. 2015: +0.44 deg. C
NOTE: This is the ninth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old ...
|»||Sierra Expecting 10 Feet of Snow in Next 10 Days
With the Sierra Nevada snowpack above normal in this El Nino-fueled winter, we now enter what is usu ...
|»||What Causes El Nino Warmth?
Dick Lindzen suggested to me recently that this might be a good time to address the general question ...
|»||No Snow for Christmas? That’s OK…Snow is Racist Anyway
As reported yesterday, an enterprising fellow actually got college students to sign a petition to st ...
|»||Who Will Get a White Christmas?
El Nino is really doing a number on December winter weather this year, and as a result most of the e ...
Date published: Mon, 01 Feb 2016 19:43:34 +0000
|»||US Average Temperature Trends in Context
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. There was some debate a while back around about a temperature chart so ...
|»||Revisiting (Yet Again) Hansen’s 1998 Forecast on Global Warming to Congress
I want to briefly revisit Hansen’s 1998 Congressional forecast. Yes, I and many others have c ...
|»||Matt Ridley: What the Climate Wars Did to Science
I cannot recommend Matt Ridley’s new article strongly enough. It covers a lot of ground be he ...
|»||Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
|»||Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
|»||Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
|»||Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
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|»||Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...
|»||When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress
One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the cu ...
|»||Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather”
I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition. It desc ...
Date published: Thu, 04 Feb 2016 20:07:17 +0000
|»||Why I like Obama’s Oil Tax With Just A Few Tweaks
By Elmer Beauregard Obama is proposing a $10 tax on oil to do 2 things, stop the use of fossil fuels ...
|»||Reprieve! Binding Paris treaty now voluntary mush
But Obama still wants to send US energy use and living standards backward CFACT.org Paris climate ta ...
|»||Why Bother? John Kerry Admits American CO2 Cuts Would Be Pointless
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|»||UN Releases Slimmed Down Draft Outcome at COP 21
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|»||New Report: The Truth About China
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Date published: Sun, 07 Feb 2016 05:33:51 +0000
|»||Marvel et al. – Gavin Schmidt admits key error but disputes everything else
A guest article by Nicholas Lewis Introduction Gavin Schmidt has finally provided, at the GISS websi ...
|»||A Return to Polar Urals: Wilson et al 2016
Wilson et al 2016, like D’Arrigo et al 2006, includes a ‘Polar Urals’ chronology a ...
|»||Picking Cherries in the Gulf of Alaska
The bias arising from ex post selection of sites for regional tree ring chronologies has been a long ...
|»||Cherry-Picking by D’Arrigo
One of the longest standing Climate Audit issues with paleoclimate reconstructions is ex post decisi ...
|»||Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates – update
A guest article by Nicholas Lewis Introduction In a recent article I discussed the December 2015 Mar ...
I was very saddened to learn of the sudden death of Bob Carter ( here here). He was one of the few ...
|»||Appraising Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates
A guest article by Nicholas Lewis Note: This is a long article: a summary is available here. Introdu ...
|»||Update of Model-Observation Comparisons
The strong El Nino has obviously caused great excitement in the warmist community. It should also c ...
|»||COP21 Emission Projections
In the wake of COP21, I thought that it would be interesting to compare the respective pathways of C ...
|»||Balascio et al and the Baffin Island Inconsistency
There was some publicity this week on a paper by Young et al (Science Advances, 2015), which, accord ...
Date published: Sat, 13 Feb 2016 22:40:58 +0000
Date published: not known
|»||Wind power is useless across Australia today
Scanning news headlines I discovered that the fault in the BASSLINK cable has not been found yet so ...
|»||So who gave the CFMEU $847,000
This is a weird story uncovered by ABC researchers but now that we know the Tasmanian businesswoman ...
|»||Perth 4 days over 40°C heatwave nothing out of the ordinary for Perth heatwaves
We have all seen the media beat ups about the “Great Four day Perth heatwave 7th to 10th Feb 2016” – never a mention that that the ever expanding Perth urban heat island UHI might contribute to this event. Credit where credit is due though, the original BoM forecast was pretty good. Unlike their Brisbane […]
|»||High-altitude water vapour, critical for Greenhouse, is not well measured
New paper – The Forgotten Water Vapor at High Altitudes – Scientists find that estimatio ...
|»||New climate book ‘Mirrors and Mazes: a guide to the climate debate’ by Dr Howard Brady
Read the review by Emeritus Professor Peter G Flood PhD (Qld), MAusIMM, IEM (Harvard) – let me ...
|»||Two years ago I reported UAH satellites were reading too warm at times over Australia
From Dec 2013 – Warming departure in UAH lower troposphere satellite temperatures compared to ...
|»||Paper gold goes nuts in New York afternoon – could global warming be affecting the gold price?
While the slapdown in price just after 8am NY time is stock standard normal I can not recall a jump ...
|»||Another exaggerated BoM Brisbane heat forecast – turns out a one day wonder
What is it with the BoM – so Brisbane has a humid and hot day last Tuesday – for heavens ...
|»||Perth region breaks cold night records two mornings in a row
On 1st & 2nd Feb 2016 the Perth region has had record breaking cold mornings. See comments by U ...
|»||Another failed Bureau of Meteorology daytime temperature Outlook
Poor old BoM seldom takes a trick – make your own temperature maps – make your own Outlo ...
Date published: Fri, 12 Feb 2016 05:42:17 +0000
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Other aspects of the data are just as stunning.
- Only 4 of the top 10 warmest years occurred in the past 10 years (1998, 1999, 2006)
- Out of the top 10 warmest years half occurred before 1940
- The years 2000, 2002, 2003 and 2004 were cooler than the year 1900
- 1996, just two years before what Al Gore called the hottest year in the history of the planet, was actually cooler than average.
- 1921 was the third warmest year in recorded history (behind 1934 and 1998).
We're almost back to the 1970's theory of global cooling! The data clearly changes things.
Had we been living in 1934 we would have heard the same claims of global warming, this is the evidence that we would have heard at the time:
- 8 of the past 10 years had been above average.
- 1934 was the warmest year ever recorded. The warmest in over 54 years!
Shift that to 1944 and you would have seen that 17 of the past 21 years had been warmer than average. It is obvious that in just the past 125 years there have been other periods just as warm, or warmer, than what we are now experiencing. If we could look at the past 1,000 years with the accuracy of the past 100 years we would most likely find that this is not unusual at all.
Update: Turns out this NASA data was revised because of a Y2K bug in the algorithm used to adjust measurement station raw data. Blogger Finds Y2K Bug in NASA Climate Data. NASA's James Hansen has refused to release his algorithms but they were reverse engineered by Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit and NASA has since updated their data (so you know he Steve got it right). What this author finds truly disturbing (and disgusting) is that NASA would keep these algorithms secret. This is public information. Steve really should file a Freedom of Information (FOIA) request to obtain this and what ever else he needs. NASA would be very hard pressed to justify withholding that information. These events seriously call in to question anything James Hansen has touched, supervised, or managed. Not just because he got the math wrong but because he also hides his methods. He is apparently attempting to establish a new religion by requiring people to have faith in his data.
As one blogger said "1998 had El Nino and 367ppmv CO2. What did 1934 have?", was 1934 mans fault too?
Climate Audit is being hit by either too much traffic or a Distributed Denial of Service Attack (they aren't sure which at this point). Below are the two blog posts that started it all.
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==== CLIMATE AUDIT'S August 8th, 2007 POST =====
A New Leaderboard at the U.S. Open
By Steve McIntyre
A little unexpectedly, 1998 had a late bogey and 1934 had a late birdie. (I thought that they were both in the clubhouse since the turmoil seemed to be in the 2000s.) In any event, the new leader atop the U.S. Open is 1934.
2006 had a couple of late bogeys and fell to 4th place, behind even 1921. I think that there’s a little air in the 2006 numbers even within GISS procedures as the other post-2000 lost about 0.15 strokes through late bogeys, while it lost only 0.10 strokes. It is faltering and it might yet fall behind 1931 into 5th place.
Four of the top 10 are now from the 1930s: 1934, 1931, 1938 and 1939, while only 3 of the top 10 are from the last 10 years (1998, 2006, 1999). Several years (2000, 2002, 2003, 2004) fell well down the leaderboard, behind even 1900. (World rankings are calculated separately.) Note: For the new leaderboard see . The old data has been erased; by sheer chance, I had the old data active in my R-session but I can’t give a link to it.)
GISS U.S. Temperatures (deg C) in New Order
Here’s the old leaderboard.
==== CLIMATE AUDIT'S August 7th, 2007 POST =====
Will the Real USHCN Data Set Please Stand Up?
By Steve McIntyre
The GISS homepage formerly said:
In econometrics, you couldn’t use loosy-goosy phrases like “replaced by a later corrected version.” You’d have to identify the version. Actually AGU policies (which apply to JGR) require proper data citation, although climate scientists publishing in AGU journals flout this policy, including Hansen here. Following an email to Hansen and Ruedy of GISS, they changed the introduction at the GISTEMP intro from:to the following:
This doesn’t really clarify the provenance of the data. In his email, Ruedy added:
Well, I hadn’t really “noticed” that they had used GHCN data to extend the USHCN data. I’ve done lots of cross-comparisons with different variations trying to identify exactly where the GHCN raw data came from. I’ve put up many plots at CA showing GISS raw as compared to different USHCN versions and I’ve done many more that I’ve not posted up. At his point, there’s one thing that we can say for sure: I’ve now looked at GISS raw as compared to GHCN raw data in the post-2000 period and in the few sites that I’ve examined since receiving this email (Detroit Lakes, Port Angeles), there is an exact match. So at least we’ve tracked down one aspect of the provenance of GISS raw data. I’ve done a comparison plot below for Detroit Lakes MN, a series that we’ve looked at before. After 2000, the match is exact (the delta is 0.0). However, before 2000, the USHCN TOBS/adjusted series sort of match for a while but the match tails off in the earlier portions, with the GISS raw version being quite different.
So where does the GISS raw version come from? At this stage, I think that we can declare that it doesn’t come from any of the USHCN version 2 (raw, TOBS, adjsted). If it did, then the versions would match as exactly as the GHCN raw and GISS raw after 2000. So where does it come from? Another stupid climate science guessing game, although hopefully it will solved in a shorter time than the unsolved MBH99 confidence intervals.
Ruedy’s letter has opened up the possibility of really obsolete data being used - I hadn’t thought to look at really obsolete data. I browsed through some obsolete data in connection with Swindle - who would have thought that we’d be doing so again. Two possibilities spring to mind: (1) maybe he’s using something from USHCN version 1; this is online, but I don’t think that the dates are right. (2) Maybe there’s an earlier USHCN version 2 that’s been overwritten (3) maybe he’s using an old GHCN version before 2000. Maybe none of the above - hey, it’s climate science.
==== END OF POST ====
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