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» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

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» Hansen Is Wrong

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» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Science and Public Policy Institute

» Stop Climate Fear Mongering

» Was 2014 the Warmest Year on Record? No, It Wasn't...

» Problems with Model Predictions of Species Extinctions

» The Influence of C02 on Plant Antioxidants

» Health Effects of Hot vs. Cold Temperatures in Asia

» Coral Reef Responses to Temperature and Stress: Thermal Adaptation

» Forest Growth Response to C02

» Onward Marches the Great Pause

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Acidification and Warming

» FACE Experiments and Grassland Species

» Effects of Ocean Acidification on Fish

» Response of Fish to Ocean Warming

» Additional Grounds for Rejecting Biofuels

» The Global Medieval Warm Period

» Growth Rates of Old Versus Young Forest Trees

» Water Use Efficiency of Agricultural Species

» Tropical Trees

» Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity

» Rewriting Sunspot History

» Analysis of the Second Order Draft of the Working I Contribution to IPCC 5AR

» The Economics of Biofuels

» The Warming-Induced Evolution of Terrestrial Plants

» Medieval Warm Period in Southern Europe

» Effects of Elevated C02 on the Stomatal Conductance of Agricultural Crops

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Warming

***
Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

***


» Important New North American East Coast Proxy Data

» Ground-truthing Marcott

» More Mann Grafting

» Mann and the Legacy of “Bogus”

» One of Carvin’s Gaffes

» Oral Argument 2: EPA on “Fraud” Allegations

» Oral Argument 1: Context

» IPCC Lead Author and the Nazca Vandalism

» Reply to Laden and Hughes on Sheep Mountain

» “Unprecedented” Model Discrepancy

***
Watts Up With That?

» Study: Climate models disagree on why temperature ‘wiggles’ occur

» Outed by FOIA – EPA strategy memo reveals deep flaws in the integrity of the agency, and lack of integrity of the press

» Monday Mirthiness – polar melting test

» Claim: California’s policies can significantly cut greenhouse gas emissions through 2030

» Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #165

» What Does Gavin Schmidt’s ‘Warmest’ Year Tell Us About Climate Sensitivity to CO2?

» Massive blizzard forecast for New York and Boston area Tuesday – up to 3* feet of snow!

» An Engineer’s Ice-Core Thought Experiment

» The Icebox Heats Up

» An Unexpected Admission from Dana Nuccitelli at SkepticalScience

» State of the Sea Ice – January 2015

» Friday not so funny – ‘off with their heads’ !

***
Global Warming News

» Blockbuster FOIA Production Exposes EPA’s PR Strategy for Climate Regs

» Weekend Media Review: No One Mentions Climate Change; Chris Wallace Calls out WH Chief of Staff for Energy Fib

» Green Missive Moves Up Economic Doomsday Clock to Three Minutes until Midnight

» How an Overabundance of Clean Air Act Deadlines & “Agency Forcing” Citizen Suits Lead to Terrible Rulemakings

» ‘Lukewarmer’ Matt Ridley on How to Debate Climate Change

» SOTU on Energy and Climate: Disingenuous and Dumb

» SOTU Preview: If History Is Any Precedent, President Won’t Make Any Sense

» Gullible Grist Goofs Again

» This Week in the EPA Section of the Federal Register…

» Global Warming and Grain Yields: Eve of Destruction?

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Fox News - Climate Change Stories

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Michelle Malkin - Enviro-Nitwits

» Al Gore and Pharrell are right, we need to take action against greenhouse gases — THEIRS

» Mitt Romney to make minor tweaks to his climate change stance until he’s elected president

» You’ve entered The Hypocrisy Zone: Billionaire Democrat wants YOU to downsize your lifestyle

» **Written by Doug Powers Billionaires, world…

» Science! 2104 was definitely the hottest on record, and please ignore the huge margin of error

***
DailyTech Michael Asher`s blog

» Will the Real Antarctica Please Stand Up?

» Global Warming May Decrease Hurricanes, Research Suggests

» Japanese Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming

» Sea Ice Ends Year at Same Level as 1979

» A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the (Climate) Forum

» Climate Report Downgrades Ice Loss; Media Reports Opposite

» Princeton Physicist Calls Global Warming Science "Mistaken"

» Defying Predictions, Sea Level Rise Begins to Slow

» Electric Car Sales in Freefall; Industry Risks Collapse

» Glaciers in Norway Growing Again

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C3 - Climate Cycles Change

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CATO - Global Warming

» Currency Manipulation and the Trans-Pacific Partnership: What Art Laffer, Fred Bergsten, and Other Hawks Get Wrong

» Saudi Arabia: New Leader, Same Medieval State

» Washington and the World According to Mac Thornberry

» America's Frightening "Policing for Profit" Nightmare

» If You Like Higher Prices, Enriched Cronies, and Weak National Security, Then You’ll Love the Jones Act

» U.S. Should Stay Out of the Russo-Ukrainian Quarrel: Why the Conflict in Ukraine Isn't America's Business, Part I

» Fix Pensions with 'Buyback'

» The Hidden Costs of Monetary Mischief

» Thanks, Tom Hanks, But Here's the Real Price of 'Free' Community College

» The Real Problem with Obama's State of the Union Address

» Allow Highly Skilled Immigration and Boost the Economy

» Investor Summits: Photo-ops for CMs and Industrialists

» Obama's Class Warfare

» America's Great North Korea Folly

» Statist Policies Undermine the State of the Union

» Thankfully, Obama's Dumb Capital Gains Plan Is Going Nowhere

» Mutual Economic Reforms Can Rejuvenate Indo-US Ties

» Hard Choices

» 'Citizens United' Misunderstood

» Address North Korea by Listening to China

» Washington and the Geopolitical Benefits of Plunging Oil Prices: Real but Limited

» The Lions of Liberty

» Liberal Dream of Single-Payer Health Care Dies in Vermont

» Pope Francis, Neither a Marxist Nor an Economist

» America's Terrorism Fear Factory Rolls On

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CanadaFreePress - Global Warming

» “Climate Change” Hypocrites and Their Fossil Fuel Guzzling Jets

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Headlines

»Bill Nye on MSNBC Hits ‘Unglued’ Viewers Who Object to Blaming Blizzard on Climate Change
»WATCH: BILL NYE ON MSNBC: BLAME CLIMATE CHANGE FOR BLIZZARD
NYE: 'I just want to introduce the idea that this storm is connected to climate change. I want to in ...
»Climate Depot report prods AP to walk back ‘hottest ever’ story
»Meteorologist: 2010s officially the snowiest decade in the east coast in the NOAA record – surpassing the 1960s
Meteorologist Joe D'Aleo: 'We will have had 14 major impact storms this decade (only half over ...
»Flashback 2014 New York Times: ‘The End of Snow?’
»Blizzard blamed on ‘global warming’ – Bill McKibben: Blizzards are ‘Climate change at work’ – NY Gov.: ‘Part of the changing climate’
Climate Depot Responds: 'Blizzard blamed on global warming?! Is there any weather event that i ...
»EPA Chief Jets to Aspen’s Winter X Games to Preach Global Warming
»Outed by FOIA – EPA strategy memo reveals deep flaws in the integrity of the agency, and lack of integrity of the press
»AP’s Seth Borenstein walks back the ‘hottest year’ claim
»Monckton fires back point-by-point rebuttal at warmist critics of new peer-reviewed study: ‘Shoddy, rent-a-quote ‘scientists’
Monckton: 'A climate science paper by Dr Willie Soon, Professor David Legates, Matt Briggs and me, j ...


Date published: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 22:34:47 +0000
Details

»3 Feet on Long Island? How Epic will this Snowstorm Be?
UPDATED 11 a.m. EST with GFS model forecast. There is no question the snowstorm just entering New En ...
»Monday Night’s Asteroid Passage the Closest/Largest in Next 12 Years
Tomorrow night an asteroid the size of a small mountain will pass about 3 Moon distances from the Ea ...
»How the Climate System Works (for Dummies)
No, I’m not talking about how the climate system has helped dummies make money off it. I’m taking th ...
»Winter Returns to New England this Weekend
After almost two months of mostly balmy winter weather, a pair of winter storms will bring a foot or ...
»Comet Lovejoy Time Lapse Video
Despite moderate light pollution here in Huntsville, Alabama, I was able to capture 1.9 hours of cam ...
»To the GOP and the Pope: Forcing Higher Energy Prices on the Poor is Immoral
I’m seeing a flurry of news articles lately casting conservatives as closet believers in human-cause ...
»2014 as the Mildest Year: Why You are Being Misled on Global Temperatures
OR: Why I Should Have Been an Engineer Rather than a Climate Scientist I’ve been inundated wit ...
»Ice Spikes in Alabama
When it gets as cold as it has been lately (even here in Alabama), I like to find ways to take advan ...
»Why Do Different Satellite Datasets Produce Different Global Temperature Trends?
I thought it would be useful to again outline the basic reasons why different satellite global tempe ...
»UAH Global Temperature Update for December, 2014: +0.32 deg. C
2014 was Third Warmest Year Since 1979, but Just Barely (with input from John Christy and Phil Gentr ...


Date published: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 18:31:12 +0000
Details

»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...
»When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress
One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the cu ...
»Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather”
I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition.  It desc ...
»HydroInfra: Scam! Investment Honeypot for Climate Alarmists
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. I got an email today from some random Gmail account asking me to write ...
»Presentation: The Science of the Skeptic Position
Here is the most recent version of my presentation “Don’t Panic: The Science of the Clim ...
»Switching Back to Disqus
For a variety of reasons, I had to turn off Disqus a while back.  We are going back to it for commen ...
»Reconciling Conflicting Climate Claims
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog At Real Science, Steven Goddard claims this is the coolest summer on re ...


Date published: Wed, 31 Dec 2014 15:45:50 +0000
Details

»Mitt Romney Comes Out Of The Closet on Global Warming
By Elmer Beauregard At a time when most Republicans have realized the Global Warming is a hoax, Mitt ...
»Top Ten Reasons Climate Change is a Hoax
By Elmer Beauregard The Senate voted this week on whether Climate Change is real or a hoax, I think ...
»Senate Missed Huge Opportunity On ‘Hoax” Vote
By Elmer Beauregard Yesterday the Senate voted 98 to 1 that “Climate Change” is not a ho ...
»‘Hottest year’ hysteria a ploy to make us poorer
by Lorrie Goldstein, Toronto Sun Get ready for a year of climate change hysteria designed to make yo ...
»Global Warmists Attempt To Hijack The Catholic Church
“The Church of Warming” is ecstatic that Pope Francis is planning to issue an encyclical ...


Date published: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 22:29:26 +0000
Details

»Important New North American East Coast Proxy Data
One of my long-standing interests is the location of ocean sediment series that enable apples-to-app ...
»Ground-truthing Marcott
The MD99-2275 core offshore Iceland is a very high-resolution ocean sediment core, results of which ...
»More Mann Grafting
Jeff Norman draws attention to Figure 1 in a new Mannian tirade, a variation of Mann’s stump s ...
»Mann and the Legacy of “Bogus”
One of the most bizarre conclusions of D.C. Judge Combs-Greene were her findings that it was actiona ...
»One of Carvin’s Gaffes
In some recent posts, I’ve observed that Carvin made a couple of astonishing gaffes in his ora ...
»Oral Argument 2: EPA on “Fraud” Allegations
Towards the end of Carvin’s mostly cringeworthy rebuttal,  he seemed to score on EPA’s r ...
»Oral Argument 1: Context
I have an audio copy of the oral argument in Mann v Steyn, which I’ve posted up (see link at t ...
»IPCC Lead Author and the Nazca Vandalism
IPCC Lead Author Sven Teske, as alertly observed by Shub Niggurath, was one of the leaders of the va ...
»Reply to Laden and Hughes on Sheep Mountain
A couple of days ago, Greg Laden published a response from Malcolm Hughes to my recent Sheep Mountai ...
»“Unprecedented” Model Discrepancy
Judy Curry recently noted that Phil Jones’ 2014 temperature index (recently the subject of maj ...


Date published: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 23:50:27 +0000
Details

»Stop Climate Fear Mongering
The massively funded international global warming movement has grossly exaggerated the threat from C ...
»Was 2014 the Warmest Year on Record? No, It Wasn't...
Nature trumpets “2014 was the hottest year on record,” citing the Japan Meteorological Agency, the W ...
»Problems with Model Predictions of Species Extinctions
The world's climate alarmists contend that CO2-induced global warming will lead to numerous extincti ...
»The Influence of C02 on Plant Antioxidants
Environmental stresses induced by exposure to pollutants, drought, intense solar radiation and high ...
»Health Effects of Hot vs. Cold Temperatures in Asia
Climate alarmists predict global warming will increase human death rates, and nary a heat wave occur ...
»Coral Reef Responses to Temperature and Stress: Thermal Adaptation
As living entities, corals are not only acted upon by the various elements of their environment, the ...
»Forest Growth Response to C02
By examining various properties of tree rings, researchers can deduce how historical increases in th ...
»Onward Marches the Great Pause
Since October 1996 there has been no global warming at all (Fig. 1). This month’s RSS temperature pl ...
»Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Acidification and Warming
Most of the ocean acidification research conducted to date has focused solely on the biological impa ...
»FACE Experiments and Grassland Species
In atmospheric CO2 enrichment experiments, nearly all plants almost always exhibit increases in phot ...


Date published: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 23:45:25 +0000
Details

»Sydney enjoys coldest Australia Day for 50 years
Of course you are seeing this in MSM headlines? Yesterday Sydney barely struggled above 20°C on Aust ...
»How much longer will the Abbott Government allow the Bureau of Meteorology to damage itself by keeping on crying wolf about ordinary very hot spells
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»BoM calls a hottest day ever record temperature in Alice Springs 4.5°C above reality
How could professional met people make such a huge mistake? BoM withdraws advice Alice Springs recor ...
»Temperature anomaly maps for France show recurring anomalies from year to year
A reader has sent in these maps observing some features live on from year to year. “Compared t ...
»We are living in a [censored] of a warm period compared to Roman and Medieval times
Great review by Dr Craig Idso highlighting new Chinese research – over at ICECAP
»NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) claiming 2014 was the hottest year ever does not deserve creedence
Global media swoon over the dodgy claim by GISS that 2014 was hottest evah. GISS have a rich traditi ...
»Australian Bureau of Meteorology fails to repair their flagship ACORN temperature dataset as the Director of Meteorology expected
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»Bureau of Meteorology Outlook for January rain looks sick after 10 days
Recently the BoM started including monthly Outlook maps – not sure why but there you go. The D ...
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The BBC is carrying – South Australia fires: Hopes rise of halting Adelaide blaze – I th ...


Date published: Mon, 26 Jan 2015 21:31:18 +0000
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More Climate Deceptions And False IPCC Claims by Dr. Tim Ball

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Author Post
Denny
Sun May 08 2011, 02:42PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178


In his book True Enough: Learning to live in a Post-Fact Society, Farhad Manjoo claims:

Facts no longer matter. We simply decide how we want to see the world and then go out and find experts and evidence to back our beliefs.


I am not sure this is a modern phenomenon. There are more experts and evidence available, but people always seek confirmation of their prejudice. Expectation of a positive response is jarred when the answer is no. Consider what happens when you ask someone to pass the salt and the answer is no. At a conference of elected officials I was asked, “What is the one piece of advice you would give us?” I replied, “Stop hiring the consultants that tell you what you want to hear.” They responded with silence, so I added, “But that is not what you wanted to hear.”

The “post-fact society” is very active with environmental and climate issues. The media, which has generally abandoned the concept of fair and balanced, amplifies it. There’s a constant search for examples to buttress the idea that global warming and climate change are caused by humans. Even after evidence is proven inaccurate, inappropriate, or wrong, the idea is pushed and new ‘facts’ found. Central requirements are to blame humans for the change and imply planetary destruction will result.

A Change Of Gases

Methane (CH4) was considered a more evil greenhouse gas before CO2 dominated the climate change spotlight. Many segments of society were blamed and bullied, but none more so than cattlemen. It was a two-pronged attack: cows were producing methane that caused runaway global warming and beef was killing you with fat and cholesterol. Master of alarmism Jeremy Rifkin’s ludicrous 1994 book Beyond Beef: The Rise and Fall of the Cattle Culture combined the attacks.

Before cows took all the blame, other sources were identified each with increasing output because of human activities. A 1982 paper in Science claimed termites were increasing in number because of bush and forest clearing. However, it wasn’t long before a calculation error was exposed and the termites were forgotten. The beaver briefly replaced them. Increased wetlands caused by reduced trapping caused populations to explode. Potential sources of methane disaster, such as thawing permafrost, occur occasionally as alarmists and media perpetuate fears of environmental collapse.

Methane was the focus occasionally in the last 30 years. Reports of methane bubbling up in the Arctic Ocean have triggered a new spate of articles. Most stories are menacing by implication:

Far more of the greenhouse gas methane is seeping from seabed deposits in the Arctic shelf into the atmosphere than previously thought.


To its credit, a New Scientist article says,

The trouble is, nobody knows if the Arctic emissions are new, or indeed anything to do with global warming.


More importantly, they have no clue how much there is:

Estimates of how much is out there are vague. There could be anywhere between 500 to 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon in the hydrates and another 7.5 to 400 gigatonnes in the permafrost.


It’s not surprising, because all greenhouse gas numbers are very crude estimates for each source.

Reports of methane leaks are not new. Claims that global warming was thawing permafrost are misleading and out of context. Overall, the world has warmed since the last Ice Age, beginning 18,000 years ago. Ice melted, permafrost thawed, and sea levels rose throughout most of that time. In fact, the evidence shows the rate of all these activities have slowed in recent times.

The general trends are not smooth and punctuated by frequent sudden events. Many scientific articles report sudden large releases of methane from the ocean floor. They are part of the clathrate gun hypothesis that claims sudden releases are triggered by sea temperature increases. This is now generally rejected as an explanation for sudden past warming events.

Methane clathrates are a unique form of deposit where methane is contained within the crystal structure of water to form a solid. They occur in large deposits under the oceans and new areas are reported all the time. Many see the vast energy potential, but this only triggers concerns of environmental damage.


More IPCC Omissions and Commissions of Deception


So what is the methane story? Figure 1 shows Singers estimates of the percentage of greenhouse gases.




Figure 1: Total percentage of greenhouse gases

Methane is 0.00017% of all atmospheric gases, and only 0.36% of the total greenhouse gases. Like CO2, they have inflated the warming potential by claiming it is 20 times more effective than CO2. Despite this, it can’t be very important because Andrew Weaver, Lead Author of the IPCC chapter on computer modeling says,

[Methane] was not considered in any of the predictions at all.


That doesn’t stop the fear-mongering:

But one thing is certain: The fact it hasn’t been factored into previous global warming predictions means forecasts even as recent as the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are too conservative
.

It’s a frightening remark, but not as the author intended. If it isn’t factored in, then it means all previous estimates of greenhouse effects are wrong and the effect of other variables including CO2 are overestimated.

But the problem is even worse. They don’t know how much there is regionally, in total, or the amount of change over time. As the Royal Society notes,

Understanding the atmospheric CH4 budget remains limited by large uncertainties in the individual magnitudes and spatial–temporal variability of sources at both regional and global scales.


While the IPCC did not include methane in their computer models, they did predict a continued rise. Claims of dramatic increases of methane since 1750 parallel the false claims of increased CO2 included predictions of continued increase. But they were as wrong with these as they were with temperature predictions as Figure 2 shows.




Figure 2: Actual Methane Levels Compared to IPCC predictions (Source)

Despite this, cattlemen and all livestock producers were blamed completely without justification. It was a classic example of a post-fact belief. Only half the formula for animal-sourced methane was considered because declines in bison, elephant, and many other ruminant populations, though regrettable, were not deducted. Nothing was said about the 283 million cows in India.

Equally confusing is the fact that the rate of change of methane levels has declined over the last 24 years (Figure 3):




Figure 3: Changing methane concentrations (Source)

Exploitation of methane is a classic example of Manjoo’s thesis that facts are not important in the Post-Fact society. All the components of the pursuit of an idea at all costs are involved. Facts are chosen and distorted to promote the idea that humans are causing global warming and climate change, all potentially destroying the planet. Other facts are studiously ignored. Sadly, there is no shortage of experts to bolster the claims, and the mainstream media are too willing to amplify and spread the fear and falsity.


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