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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

***
NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

***
Science and Public Policy Institute

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Acidification and Warming

» FACE Experiments and Grassland Species

» Effects of Ocean Acidification on Fish

» Response of Fish to Ocean Warming

» Additional Grounds for Rejecting Biofuels

» The Global Medieval Warm Period

» Growth Rates of Old Versus Young Forest Trees

» Water Use Efficiency of Agricultural Species

» Tropical Trees

» Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity

» Rewriting Sunspot History

» Analysis of the Second Order Draft of the Working I Contribution to IPCC 5AR

» The Economics of Biofuels

» The Warming-Induced Evolution of Terrestrial Plants

» Medieval Warm Period in Southern Europe

» Effects of Elevated C02 on the Stomatal Conductance of Agricultural Crops

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Warming

» Medieval Warm Period in Central Europe

» Growth Response of Grassland Species to Elevated C02 When Water Stressed

» Effects of Increased C02 on Herbaceous Plant Pests

» Medieval Warm Period in Northern Europe

» Loblolly Pines Defy the Progressive Nitrogen Hypothesis

» Response of Crustaceans to Ocean Warming

» Energy Inefficiencies of Biofuels

» Response of Marine Plants to Changes in Temperature

***
Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

***


» “Unprecedented” Model Discrepancy

» Sheep Mountain Update

» Anti-SLAPP Hearing Today

» New Data and Upside-Down Moberg

» Data Torture in Gergis2K

» PAGES2K and Nature’s Policy against Self-Plagiarism

» Gergis2K and the Oroko “Disturbance-Corrected” Blade

» Gergis and the PAGES2K Regional Average

» The Kaufman Tautology

» Warmest since, uh, the Medieval Warm Period

***
Watts Up With That?

» #AGU14 – NOAA establishes ‘tipping points’ for sea level rise related flooding

» Ironically, Change Catches Up With Climate Change Alarmists in Lima

» New solar ‘climate’ explorer spacecraft to be launched

» New Study: Two Thousand Years of Northern European Summer Temperatures Show a Downward Trend

» Early Results from NASA’s Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 Mission to be presented at #AGU14 via Live Stream

» Arctic Albedo Variations

» From #AGU14 – satellites detect albedo change in the Arctic, resulting in more absorbed solar radiation

» DECC Forced To Release Data Showing Impact Of Climate Policies On Energy Prices

» Hump Day Hilarity – model the bouncing ball

» #Santabomb winter storm predicted for Northeastern U.S. at Christmas

» Good news from #AGU14 ‘Arctic sea ice is holding up to global warming better than expected’

» Day two at #AGU14 – no photos allowed, but lots of beer and ‘big oil’ funding flowed

***
Global Warming News

» HBO’s Saving My Tomorrow Is Too Boring & Gloomy To Instill Global Warming Alarmism in Kids

» The Absurd Reach of EPA’s/USACE’s Clean Water Act Jurisdictional Rule

» Japan’s Turn to Coal Belies Claim That Climate Change Mitigation Comes Cheap

» Thanks to EPA’s Clean Power Plan, New England’s Expensive Electricity Reality Could Be the Nation’s Fate

» Weekend Media Roundup: COP-20 Ignored by Sunday Talkies, Platts Interview on North Dakota Oil Regulations, and Video of Greenpeace Activists Damaging World Heritage Site

» Cooler Heads Digest 12 December 2014

» EPA Should Re-Examine Climate Rule’s Scientific Basis – Part II

» 4th Report from COP-20 in Lima: Secretary of State John Kerry Tries To Out-Gore Al Gore

» Confused Obama Administration Sends Mixed Messages on Whether Low Oil Prices Benefit Americans

» Three Circuit Court Cases Could Significantly Clarify “Bright Line” in Jurisdiction between Federal & State Government in Overseeing Power Sector

***
Fox News - Climate Change Stories

***
Michelle Malkin - Enviro-Nitwits

» Priorities: Obama admin tasks healthcare facilities with focusing more on … climate change

» Obama’s 2011 prediction of a million electric vehicles on the road by 2015 **barely missed

» Berkeley City Council votes to put ‘climate change’ warning labels on gas pumps

» White House: Do something about ‘climate change’ or prepare for a fiery death — or worse

» ‘XL’ in Keystone XL stands for X-tra Lethal, says abortion advocate Barbara Boxer; Updated

***
DailyTech Michael Asher`s blog

» Will the Real Antarctica Please Stand Up?

» Global Warming May Decrease Hurricanes, Research Suggests

» Japanese Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming

» Sea Ice Ends Year at Same Level as 1979

» A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the (Climate) Forum

» Climate Report Downgrades Ice Loss; Media Reports Opposite

» Princeton Physicist Calls Global Warming Science "Mistaken"

» Defying Predictions, Sea Level Rise Begins to Slow

» Electric Car Sales in Freefall; Industry Risks Collapse

» Glaciers in Norway Growing Again

***
C3 - Climate Cycles Change

***
CATO - Global Warming

» The Link between the Ruble and Keynes

» The Cuba Opening: American Foreign Policy Meets Reality

» President Obama Right to Call for Trade with Cuba: Half Century of Failed Embargo Is Enough

» The Court and Obamacare

» The Goal of Sanctions Shouldn't Be to Wreck Russia's Economy

» When Will Court Trials Begin on CIA Torturers or Their Government Authorizers?

» Libertarian Internationalism

» Increasing Economic Growth Means Shrinking the Size and Scope of Government

» Socialist Policies Undoing Success of South America's Strongest Economy

» The Cromnibus: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

» Burma Enjoys an Uneasy Peace: Time to Close Thailand's Refugee Camps?

» How Many Enemies Does America Want? Congress Sacrifices U.S. Security with New Sanctions against Russia

» An Honest Debate on Investor-State

» Washington Refuses to Face Contradictions in ISIS Fight

» Federal Reserve Bank Policy Can't Heal Economic Malaise

» The KGB's Old Headquarters Lives On

» At I.C.C., Due Process Deficiencies Mar Credibility

» If Paul Krugman Gets the Higher Inflation He Wants, the U.S. Will Return to Recession

» How Our Government Tricks Us into Being Its Careless Spies

» The Hypocrisy Label

» How States Can Fix the Police

» Confronting Our Dark Era

» Can Neocons Learn?

» Toward a Prudent Foreign Policy

» Not-So-Senseless Violence

***
CanadaFreePress - Global Warming

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Headlines

»National Hockey League Checks Climate Change: NHL ‘to offset its carbon footprint in all 30 of its markets’
»The Branch Carbonian Cult’s Actual ‘Deniers’ and ‘Skeptics’
»AP REPORTS ON NEW STUDY: YOUR ALL-ELECTRIC CAR MAY NOT BE SO GREEN
»Denver Post editorial boad: ‘Greenpeace’s vile, destructive act in Peru’ – ‘The defacement of a major heritage site goes way beyond looking bad. It’s a cultural catastrophe’
Denver Post: Greenpeace did apologize, but in a tone-deaf fashion that defies belief. "We fully unde ...
»Study: ‘Earthquakes suggest magma still churns beneath a previously unknown subglacial volcano in West Antarctica’s Executive Committee Range’
'If a volcano erupts under the ice sheet, it could melt out millions of gallons of water, possibly d ...
»West Antarctic Ice Sheet Melting From Geothermal Heat, Not Global Warming
»‘Global-warming true believers are in denial’ – Warmists believe the ‘science has spoken’
»Warmist Naomi Klein runs amok, calls skeptics white supremacists
»The Great Cooling Of Arctic Sea Ice Projections: Having Been Burned, Scientists Far More Cautious With Projections
»Recent S. Beaufort polar bear count was a cherry-picked result – new evidence


Date published: Fri, 19 Dec 2014 02:04:12 +0000
Details

»Drought Relief: Shasta Lake Rises 10 ft. in One Day
The latest in a series of Pacific storms hit California yesterday with high winds and over 6 inches ...
»Greenpeace Desecrates Peru Archeological Sites
In yet another example of Greenpeace putting their ideology ahead of everything else, activists at t ...
»UK Braces for 60 kt Winds, 50 ft Waves
A strong low pressure “bomb” southeast of Greenland tracking eastward today will bring h ...
»4 Ft. of Ocean Effect Snow Hits Japan’s Main Island
A cold Siberian air mass flowing across the Sea of Japan has caused up to 4 feet of snow on Japan ...
»2014 a Record Warm Year? Probably Not.
As continual fiddling with the global surface thermometer data leads to an ever-warmer present and a ...
»UAH Global Temperature Update for Nov. 2014: +0.33 deg. C
The Version 5.6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for November, 2014 is +0. ...
»Frostweed Time Lapse, Take 2
This is my second attempt at capturing a “frost flower” growing out of the frostweed pla ...
»CA Drought Relief this Weekend
A Pacific storm system continues its trek to California where it promises to bring 3 to 6 inches of ...
»Major Storm to Bring Drought Relief to California
Tuesday Morning (11/25) Update: It now looks like portions of Northern California could get as much ...
»A Snowy Thanksgiving for NYC?
It is increasingly looking like New York City could have only its second white Thanksgiving in 75 ye ...


Date published: Fri, 12 Dec 2014 14:49:04 +0000
Details

»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...
»When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress
One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the cu ...
»Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather”
I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition.  It desc ...
»HydroInfra: Scam! Investment Honeypot for Climate Alarmists
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. I got an email today from some random Gmail account asking me to write ...
»Presentation: The Science of the Skeptic Position
Here is the most recent version of my presentation “Don’t Panic: The Science of the Clim ...
»Switching Back to Disqus
For a variety of reasons, I had to turn off Disqus a while back.  We are going back to it for commen ...
»Reconciling Conflicting Climate Claims
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog At Real Science, Steven Goddard claims this is the coolest summer on re ...
»Computer Models as “Evidence”
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog The BBC has decided not to every talk to climate skeptics again, in par ...


Date published: Wed, 10 Dec 2014 16:07:15 +0000
Details

»Leading Climate Scientist Defects: No Longer Believes in the ‘Consensus’
By James Delingpole - One of the world’s most eminent climate scientists – for several d ...
»Global Warming and Settled Science
By Andre Lofthus The AGW community would have you believe that the science in favor of AGW is settle ...
»The Tragedy of Earth Day
By Doug L. Hoffman - It is Earth Day today, a chance for all tree huggers, green activists and other ...
»Climate scientist’s emails are shielded from disclosure, Virginia Supreme Court says
By Debra Cassens Weiss - The Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that a climate scientist’s emails are ...
»Global Warming’s Upside-Down Narrative
By Bjorn Lomborg - When politicians around the world tell the story of global warming, they cast it ...


Date published: Thu, 08 May 2014 20:29:04 +0000
Details

»“Unprecedented” Model Discrepancy
Judy Curry recently noted that Phil Jones’ 2014 temperature index (recently the subject of maj ...
»Sheep Mountain Update
Several weeks ago,  a new article (open access) on Sheep Mountain (Salzer et al 2014 , Env Res Lett) ...
»Anti-SLAPP Hearing Today
Mann v CEI, National Review, Simberg, Steyn and their amici is being argued today. Amici for Steyn, ...
»New Data and Upside-Down Moberg
I’ve been re-examining SH proxies for some time now, both in connection with PAGES2K and out o ...
»Data Torture in Gergis2K
Reflecting on then current scandals in psychology arising from non-replicable research,  E. Wagenmak ...
»PAGES2K and Nature’s Policy against Self-Plagiarism
Nature’s policies on plagiarism state: Duplicate publication, sometimes called self-plagiarism ...
»Gergis2K and the Oroko “Disturbance-Corrected” Blade
Only two Gergis proxies (both tree ring) go back to the medieval period: Oroko Swamp, New Zealand an ...
»Gergis and the PAGES2K Regional Average
The calculation of the PAGES2K regional average contains a very odd procedure that thus far has esca ...
»The Kaufman Tautology
The revised PAGES2K Arctic reconstruction used 56 proxies (down three from the original 59).  Althou ...
»Warmest since, uh, the Medieval Warm Period
The money quote in the PAGES2K abstract was that there wasn’t any worldwide Little Ice Age of ...


Date published: Fri, 19 Dec 2014 01:20:59 +0000
Details

»Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Acidification and Warming
Most of the ocean acidification research conducted to date has focused solely on the biological impa ...
»FACE Experiments and Grassland Species
In atmospheric CO2 enrichment experiments, nearly all plants almost always exhibit increases in phot ...
»Effects of Ocean Acidification on Fish
As the air's CO2 content rises in response to ever-increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions, and as mo ...
»Response of Fish to Ocean Warming
According to the IPCC, CO2-induced global warming will be net harmful to the world's marine species. ...
»Additional Grounds for Rejecting Biofuels
In July of 1987, as described by U.S. Department of Agriculture researchers Idso and Kimball (2001), ...
»The Global Medieval Warm Period
Between the 10th and 14th centuries AD, earth's average global temperature may have been warmer than ...
»Growth Rates of Old Versus Young Forest Trees
The planting and preservation of forests has long been acknowledged to be an effective and environme ...
»Water Use Efficiency of Agricultural Species
In some cases, the water-use efficiency increases caused by atmospheric CO2 enrichment are spectacul ...
»Tropical Trees
Going back in time to the final few years of the 20th century, Schaffer et al. (1997) grew two mango ...
»Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity
Among the many climate-alarmist fears of CO2-induced global warming is the concern that the producti ...


Date published: Fri, 19 Dec 2014 02:40:47 +0000
Details

»Australian petroleum consumers shafted for years as Govts fail to ensure a fair fuels retail market
As world oil prices plummet big oil must be chortling as they are able increase their margins ...
»Siege of Martin Place an expensive made in Australia tragedy highlights our system failures
So now much of the truth emerges – Sydney siege over as police storm Lindt cafe – Now we ...
»Lima climate talks decide to meet again in Paris next year – looks to me like a triumph for the Australian position
For the unpteenth time over the decades these money wasting UN IPCC climate talks fail to agree on a ...
»New Zealand summer late because winter was late
Fascinating new convolutions to explain weather – Where’s the summer weather? Running la ...
»December has been a fail for BoM 70% prediction of El Nino as SOI rises and eastern Australia gets rain
For all of 2014 now an assortment of warmists have sounded fanfares about the upcoming El Nino ...
»No evidence of warmer summers from Wollongong City Council swimming pool attendance figures
I saw this news about repairs to the ocean pool at Austinmer north of Wollongong. I have been intere ...
»1901 headline from Lachlander newspaper Mount Hope central New South Wales with modern ring to it – An End To The Mining Boom – snow reported in July too
A keen eyed reader sent me this gem. I think it is from a book – Gilgunnia a special place by ...
»CFMEU shuts down an ALDI building site in Melbourne Australia – a supermarket chain that has saved shoppers how many hundred $Millions?
The ironies are rich in this story – last weekend Victoria elected a Labor State Govt lead by ...
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This Fairfax beatup claiming Foreign Minister Julie Bishop has “gone bananas” at Prime M ...
»US Senate investigation exposes how JPMorgan gamed $Billions out of California electricity consumers
Why would we be surprised at $Billions being ripped of power consumers by Wall Street insiders ...


Date published: Tue, 16 Dec 2014 22:56:21 +0000
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More Climate Deceptions And False IPCC Claims by Dr. Tim Ball

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Author Post
Denny
Sun May 08 2011, 02:42PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178


In his book True Enough: Learning to live in a Post-Fact Society, Farhad Manjoo claims:

Facts no longer matter. We simply decide how we want to see the world and then go out and find experts and evidence to back our beliefs.


I am not sure this is a modern phenomenon. There are more experts and evidence available, but people always seek confirmation of their prejudice. Expectation of a positive response is jarred when the answer is no. Consider what happens when you ask someone to pass the salt and the answer is no. At a conference of elected officials I was asked, “What is the one piece of advice you would give us?” I replied, “Stop hiring the consultants that tell you what you want to hear.” They responded with silence, so I added, “But that is not what you wanted to hear.”

The “post-fact society” is very active with environmental and climate issues. The media, which has generally abandoned the concept of fair and balanced, amplifies it. There’s a constant search for examples to buttress the idea that global warming and climate change are caused by humans. Even after evidence is proven inaccurate, inappropriate, or wrong, the idea is pushed and new ‘facts’ found. Central requirements are to blame humans for the change and imply planetary destruction will result.

A Change Of Gases

Methane (CH4) was considered a more evil greenhouse gas before CO2 dominated the climate change spotlight. Many segments of society were blamed and bullied, but none more so than cattlemen. It was a two-pronged attack: cows were producing methane that caused runaway global warming and beef was killing you with fat and cholesterol. Master of alarmism Jeremy Rifkin’s ludicrous 1994 book Beyond Beef: The Rise and Fall of the Cattle Culture combined the attacks.

Before cows took all the blame, other sources were identified each with increasing output because of human activities. A 1982 paper in Science claimed termites were increasing in number because of bush and forest clearing. However, it wasn’t long before a calculation error was exposed and the termites were forgotten. The beaver briefly replaced them. Increased wetlands caused by reduced trapping caused populations to explode. Potential sources of methane disaster, such as thawing permafrost, occur occasionally as alarmists and media perpetuate fears of environmental collapse.

Methane was the focus occasionally in the last 30 years. Reports of methane bubbling up in the Arctic Ocean have triggered a new spate of articles. Most stories are menacing by implication:

Far more of the greenhouse gas methane is seeping from seabed deposits in the Arctic shelf into the atmosphere than previously thought.


To its credit, a New Scientist article says,

The trouble is, nobody knows if the Arctic emissions are new, or indeed anything to do with global warming.


More importantly, they have no clue how much there is:

Estimates of how much is out there are vague. There could be anywhere between 500 to 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon in the hydrates and another 7.5 to 400 gigatonnes in the permafrost.


It’s not surprising, because all greenhouse gas numbers are very crude estimates for each source.

Reports of methane leaks are not new. Claims that global warming was thawing permafrost are misleading and out of context. Overall, the world has warmed since the last Ice Age, beginning 18,000 years ago. Ice melted, permafrost thawed, and sea levels rose throughout most of that time. In fact, the evidence shows the rate of all these activities have slowed in recent times.

The general trends are not smooth and punctuated by frequent sudden events. Many scientific articles report sudden large releases of methane from the ocean floor. They are part of the clathrate gun hypothesis that claims sudden releases are triggered by sea temperature increases. This is now generally rejected as an explanation for sudden past warming events.

Methane clathrates are a unique form of deposit where methane is contained within the crystal structure of water to form a solid. They occur in large deposits under the oceans and new areas are reported all the time. Many see the vast energy potential, but this only triggers concerns of environmental damage.


More IPCC Omissions and Commissions of Deception


So what is the methane story? Figure 1 shows Singers estimates of the percentage of greenhouse gases.




Figure 1: Total percentage of greenhouse gases

Methane is 0.00017% of all atmospheric gases, and only 0.36% of the total greenhouse gases. Like CO2, they have inflated the warming potential by claiming it is 20 times more effective than CO2. Despite this, it can’t be very important because Andrew Weaver, Lead Author of the IPCC chapter on computer modeling says,

[Methane] was not considered in any of the predictions at all.


That doesn’t stop the fear-mongering:

But one thing is certain: The fact it hasn’t been factored into previous global warming predictions means forecasts even as recent as the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are too conservative
.

It’s a frightening remark, but not as the author intended. If it isn’t factored in, then it means all previous estimates of greenhouse effects are wrong and the effect of other variables including CO2 are overestimated.

But the problem is even worse. They don’t know how much there is regionally, in total, or the amount of change over time. As the Royal Society notes,

Understanding the atmospheric CH4 budget remains limited by large uncertainties in the individual magnitudes and spatial–temporal variability of sources at both regional and global scales.


While the IPCC did not include methane in their computer models, they did predict a continued rise. Claims of dramatic increases of methane since 1750 parallel the false claims of increased CO2 included predictions of continued increase. But they were as wrong with these as they were with temperature predictions as Figure 2 shows.




Figure 2: Actual Methane Levels Compared to IPCC predictions (Source)

Despite this, cattlemen and all livestock producers were blamed completely without justification. It was a classic example of a post-fact belief. Only half the formula for animal-sourced methane was considered because declines in bison, elephant, and many other ruminant populations, though regrettable, were not deducted. Nothing was said about the 283 million cows in India.

Equally confusing is the fact that the rate of change of methane levels has declined over the last 24 years (Figure 3):




Figure 3: Changing methane concentrations (Source)

Exploitation of methane is a classic example of Manjoo’s thesis that facts are not important in the Post-Fact society. All the components of the pursuit of an idea at all costs are involved. Facts are chosen and distorted to promote the idea that humans are causing global warming and climate change, all potentially destroying the planet. Other facts are studiously ignored. Sadly, there is no shortage of experts to bolster the claims, and the mainstream media are too willing to amplify and spread the fear and falsity.


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