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» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Science and Public Policy Institute

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Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

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» Raymond Bradley and the Grand Old Duke of York

» Ruling out high deflation scenarios

» Exponent’s Transients: Bodge or Botch?

» NFL Officials Over-Inflated Patriot Balls

» More on Deflategate

» Deflategate and Errors in the Wells Report

» Implications of recent multimodel attribution studies for climate sensitivity

» Scientific American article: “How to Misinterpret Climate Change Research”

» Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 3

» Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 2

***
Watts Up With That?

» The Great Immensity aka The Great Stonewall

» The Mathematics of Carbon Dioxide Part 2

» Berkeley Earth endorses Natural Gas as a ‘bridge fuel’

» Younger Dryas cooling event said to be comet related

» Another unknown climate feedback – plankton blooms create brighter clouds

» Climate Skeptic Piers Corbyn’s brother may be next British Prime Minister

» Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #189

» Dr. James Hansen’s recent alarm of catastrophic CO2 driven sea level rise looks to just be spurious correlation in his own mind

» Ocean Heat: New Study Shows Climate Scientists Can Still Torture Data until the Data Confess

» EPA Said Global Warming Unproven To Obtain A Legal Ruling For Their Climate Regulations

» Where’s Lewandowsky and Cook when they are needed to look at REAL ‘conspiracy ideation’, like murder plots from ‘big oil’?

» Saturday satire – The Strange World of John Cook

***
Global Warming News

» Hearing Shines Light on Social Cost of Carbon Sophistry

» EPA’s Climate Action Flimflam Report, Part 2

» Dueling Opinion Polls: Is Climate Change the Top Global Concern — or Lowest?

» Is Carbon Capture and Storage a ‘System of Emission Reduction’?

» Climate Change and Health: What Does the Gray Lady Say?

» If You Only Read One Commentary on the Papal Encyclical . . .

» PNAS Study Implicitly Confirms Climate Treaty Threatens Developing Country Economies

» OMB Acknowledges (Most) of Our Comments on the Social Cost of Carbon, Engages None

» IER Study: Existing Coal Much Less Costly than New Gas, Wind

» EPA’s Climate Action Flim-Flam Report

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Fox News - Climate Change Stories

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Michelle Malkin - Enviro-Nitwits

» Just plane hypocritical: Hillary Clinton proves she’s ready to be Obama’s climate change successor

» Going green: Obama and Bill Nye’s Earth Day fuel-fry cost taxpayers a cool million

» Holy hypocrisy and hot air

» EPA chief wants to help ‘climate deniers’ be ‘normal’

» Friday lunacy dump: Obama admin says EPA’s new truck emission regs will make shipping costs go down

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DailyTech Michael Asher`s blog

» Will the Real Antarctica Please Stand Up?

» Global Warming May Decrease Hurricanes, Research Suggests

» Japanese Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming

» Sea Ice Ends Year at Same Level as 1979

» A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the (Climate) Forum

» Climate Report Downgrades Ice Loss; Media Reports Opposite

» Princeton Physicist Calls Global Warming Science "Mistaken"

» Defying Predictions, Sea Level Rise Begins to Slow

» Electric Car Sales in Freefall; Industry Risks Collapse

» Glaciers in Norway Growing Again

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C3 - Climate Cycles Change

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CATO - Global Warming

» Coercion Is Bad Economics

» Millennials Support Iran Deal

» Promoting Very Unsettled Science

» Outrage over Forfeiture Reform Is Unjustified

» Can Economic Dynamism and Political Stability Survive China's Battle against Freedom?

» Why the ISIS Threat Is Totally Overblown

» Still Needed: Stronger Welfare Reform

» Why the Information Sharing Bill Is Anti-Cybersecurity

» Libertarians Need Not Support the Confederacy

» Trump's Real Problem

» Into the Economic Abyss: Foolish Europeans Give Irresponsible Greeks Third Bailout

» The Monkey Trial Ended, but the War Goes On

» Drones and the Epoch of One-Click Wars

» Does School Choice Increase Inequality?

» Why We Don't Need Body Cameras in Schools

» Fair Decision in Same-Sex Marriage, But Based Mostly on Faulty Logic

» But What about the Bakers?

» Above the Law

» Ironic Case in Point on Tenure

» Keeping Americans Excited about War

» Still Gridlocked after All These Years

» Greece Is Being Taxed to Death

» Secrecy, Privacy and the Future of American Liberty

» Can Anyone Save Haiti? Crisis Offers New Chance

» Personal Teaching Breaks through Nationally

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CanadaFreePress - Global Warming

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»Video shows Hillary Clinton boarding private jet just hours after launching global-warming push – and she’s using a FRENCH aircraft that burns 347 gallons of fuel every hour
Distinctive French-built Dassault Falcon 900B airplane was spotted in Des Moines, Iowa Monday ...
»Hillary Clinton claims ‘Climate change is an urgent challenge that threatens all of us’
»Salon Mag. discusses using courts to punish ‘climate deniers’
»Latest global warming theory: Skeptics murder climate scientists
Note: Prof. Peter Wadhams has been chastised by his fellow warmists. NASA’s lead global warming scie ...
»Cambridge professor Peter Wadhams insists three scientists have been ASSASSINATED
Professor Peter Wadhams insists three scientists may have been murdered Seymour Laxon died after a f ...
»Sssh! Hurricane season forecast to stay quiet
»Warmist Laments: Morano is one of handful of ‘self-described climate ‘skeptics’ who have wrestled thousands of the world’s leading scientists to a standstill of their own’
»‘How Arctic ice has made fools of all those poor warmists’
The belief that the ice was vanishing has been for the warmists the ultimate poster-child for their ...
»Cambridge Professor: Big-Oil-Funded Death Squads Tried to Murder me Because I Knew Too Much About Global Warming
»Warmist Professor Wadhams speculates that 3 scientists investigating melting Arctic ice may have been assassinated
Cambridge Professor Peter Wadhams suspects the deaths of the three scientists were more than just an ...


Date published: Tue, 28 Jul 2015 10:45:57 +0000
Details

»15 Years of CERES Versus Surface Temperature: Climate Sensitivity = 1.3 deg. C
The NASA CERES project has updated their EBAF-TOA Edition 2.8 radiative flux dataset through March o ...
»New Pause-Busting Temperature Dataset Implies Only 1.5 C Climate Sensitivity
Amid all of the debate over whether the global warming pause/hiatus exists or not, I’d like to bring ...
»Revised UAH Global Temperature Update for June 2015: +0.33 deg. C.
We discovered there were several days during June when communication problems prevented the transfer ...
»The Greek Tragedy: Will We Heed the Warning?
Caution: For those who think I should stick to science, turn your eyes away now. When my daughter st ...
»UAH V6.0 Global Temperature Update for June, 2015: +0.31 deg. C
NOTE: This is the third monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old ...
»Can Infrared Radiation Warm a Water Body? Part II
(This is a follow-up to my post from a little over a year ago, but with some exprimental results). I ...
»Smoke Pouring into U.S from Canadian Wildfires
Portions of up to ten plains states are covered by smoke this morning from hundreds of wildfires now ...
»Alaska On Fire: Satellite Views 260+ Wildfires
An unusually warm and dry spring has led to widespread wildfire activity in Alaska, with over 260 wi ...
»Auroras Seen as Far South as Georgia and Arkansas
The severe geomagnetic storm late yesterday produced rare auroras seen as far south as Georgia and A ...
»2015 Will Be Record Warm in Surface Temperatures…But Still Below Model Forecasts
With 5/12 (41.7%) of the votes counted, John Christy and I are now prepared to call 2015 as the winn ...


Date published: Mon, 20 Jul 2015 19:35:44 +0000
Details

»Matt Ridley: What the Climate Wars Did to Science
I cannot recommend Matt Ridley’s new article strongly enough.  It covers a lot of ground be he ...
»Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...
»When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress
One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the cu ...
»Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather”
I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition.  It desc ...
»HydroInfra: Scam! Investment Honeypot for Climate Alarmists
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. I got an email today from some random Gmail account asking me to write ...
»Presentation: The Science of the Skeptic Position
Here is the most recent version of my presentation “Don’t Panic: The Science of the Clim ...


Date published: Wed, 08 Jul 2015 20:32:04 +0000
Details

»China cracks down on environmental protection, arrests thousands suspected of environmental crimes
By Becca Stanek China is getting serious about protecting the environment and expects its citizens t ...
»IPCC Ignores its Own Findings on Stratospheric Cooling
Written by Steven Capozzola The IPCC claims that stratospheric cooling disproves solar-driven warmin ...
»Global Climate Scam: An Interview with Lord Christopher Monckton
Lord Christopher Monckton is interviewed on Canadian television about climate change hysteria and it ...
»Senator: Use RICO Laws to Prosecute Global Warming Skeptics
By Mark Hemingway,  WeeklyStandard Writing in the Washington Post, Sheldon Whitehouse, a Democratic ...
»EPA Biofuel Policy In Shambles, So It Mandates More Ethanol
Despite complaints from the oil industry, livestock producers, environmental groups and a whole host ...


Date published: Mon, 29 Jun 2015 22:11:06 +0000
Details

»Raymond Bradley and the Grand Old Duke of York
In today’s post, I’ll return to more typical Climate Audit programming.  Upside-down Man ...
»Ruling out high deflation scenarios
Further to my series of posts on Deflategate, reader chrimony observed that my statistical analysis ...
»Exponent’s Transients: Bodge or Botch?
In my first writeup, I observed that Exponent’s Logo transients appeared to be bodged too high ...
»NFL Officials Over-Inflated Patriot Balls
One of the ironies of the NFL’s conduct in this affair is that it can be established that NFL ...
»More on Deflategate
By converting football pressures to ball temperatures under the Ideal Gas Law, it is possible to con ...
»Deflategate and Errors in the Wells Report
Readers in the U.S. are doubtless aware of the “Deflategate scandal”, in which the NFL a ...
»Implications of recent multimodel attribution studies for climate sensitivity
Last year, a paper of mine (Lewis 2014) showing that the approach used in Frame et al (2005), which ...
»Scientific American article: “How to Misinterpret Climate Change Research”
A Scientific American article concerning Bjorn Stevens’ recent paper “Rethinking the low ...
»Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 3
A guest post by Nicholas Lewis In Part 1 I introduced the talk I gave at Ringberg 2015, explained wh ...
»Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 2
A guest post by Nicholas Lewis In Part 1 I introduced the talk I gave at Ringberg 2015, explained wh ...


Date published: Thu, 23 Jul 2015 09:52:34 +0000
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Date published: Tue, 28 Jul 2015 12:01:24 +0000
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»What impact will Tesla Powerwall batteries have on the way we consume electricity and the price of lithium?
Reader Bob has sent me articles about the Tesla electric car and the Powerwall and Powerpack storage ...
»Senator Mark Butler addresses many empty seats on Environment at Labor Conference
Shows the great concern Labor has for the environment. Around 2pm Saturday I saw on ABC News24 TV Se ...
»Global warming causes too much ice in Hudson Bay in July!!
Canadian Broadcasting Corporation finds thick sea ice in July stops their polar expedition. The CBC ...
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Remembering the great media beat-ups blaming Sahel drought on global warming. You could not make thi ...
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US federal investigators say a gunman, Mohammad Youssuf Abdulazeez, 24, who killed four marines in a ...
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I saw this referred to on media – Sydney has its coldest winter in decades – Checking th ...
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»The Royal Astronomical Society – Cycles within the sun predicted to result in a Maunder Minimum like global cooling event around 2030
Prof Valentina Zharkova discusses her recent solar research. Irregular heartbeat of the Sun driven b ...


Date published: Tue, 28 Jul 2015 08:31:11 +0000
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More Climate Deceptions And False IPCC Claims by Dr. Tim Ball

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Author Post
Denny
Sun May 08 2011, 02:42PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178


In his book True Enough: Learning to live in a Post-Fact Society, Farhad Manjoo claims:

Facts no longer matter. We simply decide how we want to see the world and then go out and find experts and evidence to back our beliefs.


I am not sure this is a modern phenomenon. There are more experts and evidence available, but people always seek confirmation of their prejudice. Expectation of a positive response is jarred when the answer is no. Consider what happens when you ask someone to pass the salt and the answer is no. At a conference of elected officials I was asked, “What is the one piece of advice you would give us?” I replied, “Stop hiring the consultants that tell you what you want to hear.” They responded with silence, so I added, “But that is not what you wanted to hear.”

The “post-fact society” is very active with environmental and climate issues. The media, which has generally abandoned the concept of fair and balanced, amplifies it. There’s a constant search for examples to buttress the idea that global warming and climate change are caused by humans. Even after evidence is proven inaccurate, inappropriate, or wrong, the idea is pushed and new ‘facts’ found. Central requirements are to blame humans for the change and imply planetary destruction will result.

A Change Of Gases

Methane (CH4) was considered a more evil greenhouse gas before CO2 dominated the climate change spotlight. Many segments of society were blamed and bullied, but none more so than cattlemen. It was a two-pronged attack: cows were producing methane that caused runaway global warming and beef was killing you with fat and cholesterol. Master of alarmism Jeremy Rifkin’s ludicrous 1994 book Beyond Beef: The Rise and Fall of the Cattle Culture combined the attacks.

Before cows took all the blame, other sources were identified each with increasing output because of human activities. A 1982 paper in Science claimed termites were increasing in number because of bush and forest clearing. However, it wasn’t long before a calculation error was exposed and the termites were forgotten. The beaver briefly replaced them. Increased wetlands caused by reduced trapping caused populations to explode. Potential sources of methane disaster, such as thawing permafrost, occur occasionally as alarmists and media perpetuate fears of environmental collapse.

Methane was the focus occasionally in the last 30 years. Reports of methane bubbling up in the Arctic Ocean have triggered a new spate of articles. Most stories are menacing by implication:

Far more of the greenhouse gas methane is seeping from seabed deposits in the Arctic shelf into the atmosphere than previously thought.


To its credit, a New Scientist article says,

The trouble is, nobody knows if the Arctic emissions are new, or indeed anything to do with global warming.


More importantly, they have no clue how much there is:

Estimates of how much is out there are vague. There could be anywhere between 500 to 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon in the hydrates and another 7.5 to 400 gigatonnes in the permafrost.


It’s not surprising, because all greenhouse gas numbers are very crude estimates for each source.

Reports of methane leaks are not new. Claims that global warming was thawing permafrost are misleading and out of context. Overall, the world has warmed since the last Ice Age, beginning 18,000 years ago. Ice melted, permafrost thawed, and sea levels rose throughout most of that time. In fact, the evidence shows the rate of all these activities have slowed in recent times.

The general trends are not smooth and punctuated by frequent sudden events. Many scientific articles report sudden large releases of methane from the ocean floor. They are part of the clathrate gun hypothesis that claims sudden releases are triggered by sea temperature increases. This is now generally rejected as an explanation for sudden past warming events.

Methane clathrates are a unique form of deposit where methane is contained within the crystal structure of water to form a solid. They occur in large deposits under the oceans and new areas are reported all the time. Many see the vast energy potential, but this only triggers concerns of environmental damage.


More IPCC Omissions and Commissions of Deception


So what is the methane story? Figure 1 shows Singers estimates of the percentage of greenhouse gases.




Figure 1: Total percentage of greenhouse gases

Methane is 0.00017% of all atmospheric gases, and only 0.36% of the total greenhouse gases. Like CO2, they have inflated the warming potential by claiming it is 20 times more effective than CO2. Despite this, it can’t be very important because Andrew Weaver, Lead Author of the IPCC chapter on computer modeling says,

[Methane] was not considered in any of the predictions at all.


That doesn’t stop the fear-mongering:

But one thing is certain: The fact it hasn’t been factored into previous global warming predictions means forecasts even as recent as the 2007 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are too conservative
.

It’s a frightening remark, but not as the author intended. If it isn’t factored in, then it means all previous estimates of greenhouse effects are wrong and the effect of other variables including CO2 are overestimated.

But the problem is even worse. They don’t know how much there is regionally, in total, or the amount of change over time. As the Royal Society notes,

Understanding the atmospheric CH4 budget remains limited by large uncertainties in the individual magnitudes and spatial–temporal variability of sources at both regional and global scales.


While the IPCC did not include methane in their computer models, they did predict a continued rise. Claims of dramatic increases of methane since 1750 parallel the false claims of increased CO2 included predictions of continued increase. But they were as wrong with these as they were with temperature predictions as Figure 2 shows.




Figure 2: Actual Methane Levels Compared to IPCC predictions (Source)

Despite this, cattlemen and all livestock producers were blamed completely without justification. It was a classic example of a post-fact belief. Only half the formula for animal-sourced methane was considered because declines in bison, elephant, and many other ruminant populations, though regrettable, were not deducted. Nothing was said about the 283 million cows in India.

Equally confusing is the fact that the rate of change of methane levels has declined over the last 24 years (Figure 3):




Figure 3: Changing methane concentrations (Source)

Exploitation of methane is a classic example of Manjoo’s thesis that facts are not important in the Post-Fact society. All the components of the pursuit of an idea at all costs are involved. Facts are chosen and distorted to promote the idea that humans are causing global warming and climate change, all potentially destroying the planet. Other facts are studiously ignored. Sadly, there is no shortage of experts to bolster the claims, and the mainstream media are too willing to amplify and spread the fear and falsity.


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