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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

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» Re-examining Cook’s Mt Read (Tasmania) Chronology

» Esper et al 2016 and the Oroko Swamp

» Gergis and Law Dome

» Joelle Gergis, Data Torturer

» Gergis

» Are energy budget TCR estimates biased low, as Richardson et al (2016) claim?

» Deflategate: Controversy is due to Scientist Error

» Schmidt’s Histogram Diagram Doesn’t Refute Christy

» Gavin Schmidt and Reference Period “Trickery”

» Objective Bayesian parameter estimation: Incorporating prior information

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Global Warming News

» South China Morning Post reports: China and US to ratify landmark Paris climate deal ahead of G20 summit, sources reveal

» Posting: Little-Known Documents Pertinent to Assessing the Legality of EPA’s Clean Energy Incentive Program

» Kyoto-Financed Cook Stoves Fail as Health/Climate “Intervention”

» CEQ Finalizes NEPA Guidance for Greenhouse Gases: Will Pointless Keystone XL Controversy Become ‘New Normal’?

» Democratic Platform Vows To Meet Climate Challenge with Good-Paying Jobs, Cheaper Energy from Green Sources, and National Mobilization

» Cognitive Dissonance Among Elected Climate Alarmists

» Republican Party Platform: Paris Climate Treaty Requires Ratification; Defund UNFCCC; and Block EPA Climate Rules

» Philippine President Rejects Paris Climate Treaty

» Fifteen State AGs Ask Congress To Do Its Job

» House Hearing on Ivanpah Solar Plant Exposes Preferential Treatment

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»NPR laments ‘paid confusionist’ Morano speaking at Utah energy summit – ‘Denier…sparks controversy’
»Say what?! U. S. Department of Transportation asks: ‘How might climate change increase the risk of fatal crashes in a community?’ 
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»Study in journal Nature: ‘Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years’
»Glaring Falsehoods By German ZDF Public Television Aimed At Attacking Climate Science Skepticsm
»All Natural… Four New Scientific Publications Show No Detectable Sea Level Rise Effect of CO2
»30 Scientific Papers Reveal Inverse CO2 – Sea Level Signal: As CO2 Rises, Sea Level Falls
'This small <0.2 m change in sea levels over the course of the last 110 years does not even fall ...
»Report: ‘Collusion Between Michael Mann, James Hansen And Gavin Schmidt To Create The Hockey Stick’
»Analysis: NASA’s ‘massive temp increase caused primarily by altering the historical record. The past keeps getting cooler’
NASA 'claims record temperatures, which are the result of data tampering – not global warming'
»Scientific American 1904 : Alpine And Greenland Glaciers Retreating ‘Very Considerably’
In 1904, Scientific American reported that alpine glaciers had receded considerably for a long perio ...


Date published: Tue, 30 Aug 2016 12:17:16 +0000
Details

»Experiment Results Show a Cool Object Can Make a Warm Object Warmer Still
My previous post explaining a simple experiment to demonstrate that a cool object can make a warm ob ...
»Simple Experimental Demonstration that Cool Objects Can Make Warm Objects Warmer Still
I continue to receive emails (not to mention the hundreds of sometimes nasty blog comments) objectin ...
»Observational Evidence of the “Greenhouse Effect” at Desert Rock, Nevada
Weather balloon measurements have been made twice daily at Desert Rock, Nevada for many years. In 19 ...
»Major Hurricane Gaston? A Potential U.S. Threat
With the climatological peak in hurricane activity only 3 weeks away, the Atlantic has been fairly q ...
»Causes of Lake Superior Record Water Level Rise 2013-2014
As a followup to my cursory analysis suggesting increased precipitation was the probable cause of th ...
»Lake Superior Water Levels: The Role of Precipitation
The last couple years have seen exceptional erosion along portions of the south shore of Lake Superi ...
»Suggested Backyard Experiment to Measure the Greenhouse Effect of More Carbon Dioxide
In my continuing battle to keep people from being led astray by bad science, I sometimes try to thin ...
»Tropics Cool by 5 deg. F in One Week! (In the Stratosphere)
Most meteorologists consider the stratosphere to be a pretty boring place: no warm fronts, cold fron ...
»Will We Reach 4,000 Days Since a Major Hurricane Strike?
In less than two months (October 6, 2016) it will be 4,000 days since the last time a major hurrican ...
»Highway Robbery? Vibrating Freakin’ Roadways to Generate Electricity
Just when I thought it couldn’t get any more stupid… Solar Freakin’ Roadways was a ...


Date published: Mon, 29 Aug 2016 18:10:55 +0000
Details

»My Climate Plan, Wherein a Climate Skeptic Actually Advocates for A Carbon Tax
I am always amazed at how people like to draw conclusions about what I write merely from the title, ...
»Come See My Climate Talk on Wednesday Evening, February 24, at Claremont-McKenna College
I am speaking on Wednesday night at the Athenaeum at Claremont-McKenna College near Pomona on Wednes ...
»US Average Temperature Trends in Context
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. There was some debate a while back around about a temperature chart so ...
»Revisiting (Yet Again) Hansen’s 1998 Forecast on Global Warming to Congress
I want to briefly revisit Hansen’s 1998 Congressional forecast.  Yes, I and many others have c ...
»Matt Ridley: What the Climate Wars Did to Science
I cannot recommend Matt Ridley’s new article strongly enough.  It covers a lot of ground be he ...
»Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...


Date published: Fri, 18 Mar 2016 16:20:20 +0000
Details

»Crystal Serenity AKA Stucky McStuckBoat Sets Out On Historic Voyage
By Elmer Beauregard Yesterday the Crystal Serenity AKA Stucky McBoatStuck left port from Seward Alas ...
»After Brexit, Clexit
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»Trump-ing Hillary on EPA and Global Warming
By Steve Milloy, Breitbart.com If he lives up to his campaign rhetoric, a President Donald Trump wou ...
»Jimmy Kimmel: Totally F**king Wrong on Climate Change
By James Delingpole, Breitbart.com Jimmy Kimmel is great. Probably the most relaxed, amiable, and fu ...
»Obama’s Violating the Constitution by Not Submitting Climate Treaty to Senate
The Daily Signal Today at United Nations Headquarters in New York City, Secretary of State John Kerr ...


Date published: Thu, 18 Aug 2016 19:05:55 +0000
Details

»Re-examining Cook’s Mt Read (Tasmania) Chronology
In today’s post, I’m going to re-examine (or more accurately, examine de novo) Ed Cook ...
»Esper et al 2016 and the Oroko Swamp
Jan Esper, prominent in early Climate Audit posts as an adamant serial non-archiver, has joined with ...
»Gergis and Law Dome
In today’s post, I’m going to examine Gergis’ dubious screening out of the Law Dom ...
»Joelle Gergis, Data Torturer
In 2012, the then much ballyhoo-ed Australian temperature reconstruction of Gergis et al 2012 myster ...
»Gergis
redirect to here
»Are energy budget TCR estimates biased low, as Richardson et al (2016) claim?
A guest post by Nic Lewis   Introduction and Summary In a recently published paper (REA16), Mar ...
»Deflategate: Controversy is due to Scientist Error
I’ve submitted an article entitled “New Light on Deflategate: Critical Technical Errors ...
»Schmidt’s Histogram Diagram Doesn’t Refute Christy
In my most recent post,  I discussed yet another incident in the long running dispute about the inco ...
»Gavin Schmidt and Reference Period “Trickery”
In the past few weeks, I’ve been re-examining the long-standing dispute over the discrepancy b ...
»Objective Bayesian parameter estimation: Incorporating prior information
A guest article by Nic Lewis Introduction In a recent article I discussed Bayesian parameter inferen ...


Date published: Mon, 29 Aug 2016 20:28:48 +0000
Details




Date published: not known
Details

»Call to audit Perth dam rain gauges – Water Corporation announces two of their rain gauges are down for service
Could not make this up. “Please note the rainfall instruments located at Victoria Dam and Mund ...
»BoM temperature anomaly map for July revealed to be exaggerated
My account is in the sixth comment.
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»Three stories about the same banana on ABC news
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On the weekend I noticed this error in the BoM rain map – I thought come Monday they will corr ...
»Australian wind drought again – SA electricity prices spike as usual
Electricity in South Australia $265 per MWhr as they fire up the diesel gensets. NemWatch for real-t ...
»Solar update by David Archibald
7 page 400KB pdf by the author of Twilight of Abundance
»Buy back the Port of Darwin – just do it
I have commented in four blogs on the stupid decision last year to lease the Port of Darwin to a Chi ...
»Melbourne Water amazing wasteful environmental flows when storages were low 2007-2011
“mem” has commented on information at the Melbourne Water web pages – inflows and ...
»Is this the worst ever pictorial of the water supply cycle?
From a Western Australian Govt report emailed me – Water Innovation. I have not located it onl ...


Date published: Sun, 28 Aug 2016 04:39:07 +0000
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Fact-Based Climate Debate by Lee C. Gerhard, IPCC Expert Reviewer

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Author Post
Denny
Thu Dec 17 2009, 12:26PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178





It is crucial that scientists are factually accurate when they do speak out, that they ignore media hype and maintain a clinical detachment from social or other agendas. There are facts and data that are ignored in the maelstrom of social and economic agendas swirling about Copenhagen.

Greenhouse gases and their effects are well-known. Here are some of things we know:

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• The most effective greenhouse gas is water vapor, comprising approximately 95 percent of the total greenhouse effect.

• Carbon dioxide concentration has been continually rising for nearly 100 years. It continues to rise, but carbon dioxide concentrations at present are near the lowest in geologic history.

• Temperature change correlation with carbon dioxide levels is not statistically significant.

• There are no data that definitively relate carbon dioxide levels to temperature changes.

• The greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide logarithmically declines with increasing concentration. At present levels, any additional carbon dioxide can have very little effect.

We also know a lot about Earth temperature changes:

• Global temperature changes naturally all of the time, in both directions and at many scales of intensity.

• The warmest year in the U.S. in the last century was 1934, not 1998. The U.S. has the best and most extensive temperature records in the world.

• Global temperature peaked in 1998 on the current 60-80 year cycle, and has been episodically declining ever since. This cooling absolutely falsifies claims that human carbon dioxide emissions are a controlling factor in Earth temperature.

• Voluminous historic records demonstrate the Medieval Climate Optimum (MCO) was real and that the “hockey stick” graphic that attempted to deny that fact was at best bad science. The MCO was considerably warmer than the end of the 20th century.

• During the last 100 years, temperature has both risen and fallen, including the present cooling. All the changes in temperature of the last 100 years are in normal historic ranges, both in absolute value and, most importantly, rate of change.

Contrary to many public statements:

• Effects of temperature change are absolutely independent of the cause of the temperature change.

• Global hurricane, cyclonic and major storm activity is near 30-year lows. Any increase in cost of damages by storms is a product of increasing population density in vulnerable areas such as along the shores and property value inflation, not due to any increase in frequency or severity of storms.

• Polar bears have survived and thrived over periods of extreme cold and extreme warmth over hundreds of thousands of years — extremes far in excess of modern temperature changes.

• The 2009 minimum Arctic ice extent was significantly larger than the previous two years. The 2009 Antarctic maximum ice extent was significantly above the 30-year average. There are only 30 years of records.

• Rate and magnitude of sea level changes observed during the last 100 years are within normal historical ranges. Current sea level rise is tiny and, at most, justifies a prediction of perhaps ten centimeters rise in this century.

The present climate debate is a classic conflict between data and computer programs. The computer programs are the source of concern over climate change and global warming, not the data. Data are measurements. Computer programs are artificial constructs.

Public announcements use a great deal of hyperbole and inflammatory language. For instance, the word “ever” is misused by media and in public pronouncements alike. It does not mean “in the last 20 years,“ or “the last 70 years.” “Ever” means the last 4.5 billion years.

For example, some argue that the Arctic is melting, with the warmest-ever temperatures. One should ask, “How long is ever?” The answer is since 1979. And then ask, “Is it still warming?” The answer is unequivocally “No.” Earth temperatures are cooling. Similarly, the word “unprecedented” cannot be legitimately used to describe any climate change in the last 8,000 years.

There is not an unlimited supply of liquid fuels. At some point, sooner or later, global oil production will decline, and transportation costs will become insurmountable if we do not develop alternative energy sources. However, those alternative energy sources do not now exist.

A legislated reduction in energy use or significant increase in cost will severely harm the global economy and force a reduction in the standard of living in the United States. It is time we spent the research dollars to invent an order-of-magnitude better solar converter and an order-of-magnitude better battery. Once we learn how to store electrical energy, we can electrify transportation. But these are separate issues. Energy conversion is not related to climate change science.

I have been a reviewer of the last two IPCC reports, one of the several thousand scientists who purportedly are supporters of the IPCC view that humans control global temperature. Nothing could be further from the truth. Many of us try to bring better and more current science to the IPCC, but we usually fail. Recently we found out why. The whistleblower release of e-mails and files from the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University has demonstrated scientific malfeasance and a sickening violation of scientific ethics.

If the game of Russian roulette with the environment that Adrian Melott contends is going on, is it how will we feed all the people when the cold of the inevitable Little Ice Age returns? It will return. We just don’t know when.

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