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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

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» Marvel et al. – Gavin Schmidt admits key error but disputes everything else

» A Return to Polar Urals: Wilson et al 2016

» Picking Cherries in the Gulf of Alaska

» Cherry-Picking by D’Arrigo

» Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates – update

» Bob Carter

» Appraising Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates

» Update of Model-Observation Comparisons

» COP21 Emission Projections

» Balascio et al and the Baffin Island Inconsistency

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Global Warming News

» The Motion that Won the Stay

» CEI Rolling Out New “Richard Windsor” Revelations

» Satellites and Global Warming: Dr. Christy Sets the Record Straight

» UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Secretariat Announces Steps for Signing and Ratifying the Paris Climate Treaty. The Next Step Is Up To the Senate.

» Robert M. Carter, RIP

» Mandating 100% Renewable Energy: It’s About Jobs?

» Paris Agreement: Recycled “Process” Socialism

» Paris Agreement Is a Real Tiger: Lock and Load

» Climate Change Hearing: Lessons from Data vs. Dogma

» Is the Paris Climate Agreement a Treaty?

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Headlines

»Al Gore’s global warming doomsday passes uneventfully
»Flashback 1987: ‘Global Warming’ Causes Sea Levels to Fall — 2016: ‘Global Warming’ Causes Slowdown In Sea Level Rise
Climate Depot's Marc Morano: "Before 'global warming' caused sea level INCREASES, 'global warm ...
»Flashback: Prominent Dutch Scientist: ‘I find the Doomsday picture Al Gore is painting – a 6m sea level rise, 15 times IPCC number — entirely without merit’
Featured on page 168 of the 2010 Special Report updated from U.S. Senate Report: SPECIAL REPORT: Mo ...
»Climate Astrology: ‘Global Warming’ commands sea level rise Increases…& sea level rise slowdown: NASA discovers that ‘global warming’ is slowing and not increasing sea level rise
NASA study claim: 'Because the Earth has become more parched, partly because humans are pumping out ...
»EPA chief urges states to defy Supreme Court on climate rules
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator Gina McCarthy: “Are we going to respect the deci ...
»Wait! What?! Study: There is so much global warming that it is slowing the rise of sea levels
'Is there anything global warming can’t do? Now it seems that there is so much global warming that i ...
»The outrage! One third of US teachers bring ‘climate denial’ to the classroom
»Watch Tinfoil: Sen Whitehouse calls climate ‘denial’ is biggest ‘scam’ since Teapot Dome, Watergate
»Study: Parched Earth soaks up water, slowing sea level rise
»Bipartisan panel of politicos: Climate skepticism does not harm Republicans in general election


Date published: Fri, 12 Feb 2016 17:40:38 +0000
Details

»UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for January, 2016: +0.54 deg C
NOTE: This is the tenth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old ...
»After the Snowstorm: Color Satellite Views
The VIIRS color imager on the Suomi/NPP satellite provided nice views yesterday of the heavy blanket ...
»On that 2015 Record Warmest Claim
We now have the official NOAA-NASA report that 2015 was the warmest year by far in the surface therm ...
»75 Million to Get Snowblasted
The snowstorm expected to begin in earnest on Friday is still looking like one for the record books, ...
»Frost Flowers: The Frost Awakens
It’s been over a year since I first found “frost flowers” growing in our backyard ...
»UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for Dec. 2015: +0.44 deg. C
NOTE: This is the ninth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old ...
»Sierra Expecting 10 Feet of Snow in Next 10 Days
With the Sierra Nevada snowpack above normal in this El Nino-fueled winter, we now enter what is usu ...
»What Causes El Nino Warmth?
Dick Lindzen suggested to me recently that this might be a good time to address the general question ...
»No Snow for Christmas? That’s OK…Snow is Racist Anyway
As reported yesterday, an enterprising fellow actually got college students to sign a petition to st ...
»Who Will Get a White Christmas?
El Nino is really doing a number on December winter weather this year, and as a result most of the e ...


Date published: Mon, 01 Feb 2016 19:43:34 +0000
Details

»US Average Temperature Trends in Context
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. There was some debate a while back around about a temperature chart so ...
»Revisiting (Yet Again) Hansen’s 1998 Forecast on Global Warming to Congress
I want to briefly revisit Hansen’s 1998 Congressional forecast.  Yes, I and many others have c ...
»Matt Ridley: What the Climate Wars Did to Science
I cannot recommend Matt Ridley’s new article strongly enough.  It covers a lot of ground be he ...
»Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...
»When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress
One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the cu ...
»Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather”
I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition.  It desc ...


Date published: Thu, 04 Feb 2016 20:07:17 +0000
Details

»Why I like Obama’s Oil Tax With Just A Few Tweaks
By Elmer Beauregard Obama is proposing a $10 tax on oil to do 2 things, stop the use of fossil fuels ...
»Reprieve! Binding Paris treaty now voluntary mush
But Obama still wants to send US energy use and living standards backward CFACT.org Paris climate ta ...
»Why Bother? John Kerry Admits American CO2 Cuts Would Be Pointless
by Steve Milloy It’s 40 seconds that should turn the global warming world upside down. Secretary of ...
»UN Releases Slimmed Down Draft Outcome at COP 21
CFACT (France, Le Bourget) French Foreign Minister and COP 21 President Laurent Fabius, a Socialist, ...
»New Report: The Truth About China
Global Warming Policy Foundation China will talk a good game at the UN Climate Conference in Paris b ...


Date published: Sun, 07 Feb 2016 05:33:51 +0000
Details

»Marvel et al. – Gavin Schmidt admits key error but disputes everything else
A guest article by Nicholas Lewis Introduction Gavin Schmidt has finally provided, at the GISS websi ...
»A Return to Polar Urals: Wilson et al 2016
Wilson et al 2016, like D’Arrigo et al 2006, includes a ‘Polar Urals’ chronology a ...
»Picking Cherries in the Gulf of Alaska
The bias arising from ex post selection of sites for regional tree ring chronologies has been a long ...
»Cherry-Picking by D’Arrigo
One of the longest standing Climate Audit issues with paleoclimate reconstructions is ex post decisi ...
»Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates – update
A guest article by Nicholas Lewis Introduction In a recent article I discussed the December 2015 Mar ...
»Bob Carter
I was very saddened to learn of the sudden death of Bob Carter ( here here).   He was one of the few ...
»Appraising Marvel et al.: Implications of forcing efficacies for climate sensitivity estimates
A guest article by Nicholas Lewis Note: This is a long article: a summary is available here. Introdu ...
»Update of Model-Observation Comparisons
The strong El Nino has obviously caused great excitement in the warmist community.  It should also c ...
»COP21 Emission Projections
In the wake of COP21, I thought that it would be interesting to compare the respective pathways of C ...
»Balascio et al and the Baffin Island Inconsistency
There was some publicity this week on a paper by Young et al (Science Advances, 2015), which, accord ...


Date published: Fri, 12 Feb 2016 17:25:00 +0000
Details




Date published: not known
Details

»Wind power is useless across Australia today
Scanning news headlines I discovered that the fault in the BASSLINK cable has not been found yet so ...
»So who gave the CFMEU $847,000
This is a weird story uncovered by ABC researchers but now that we know the Tasmanian businesswoman ...
»Perth 4 days over 40°C heatwave nothing out of the ordinary for Perth heatwaves
We have all seen the media beat ups about the “Great Four day Perth heatwave 7th to 10th Feb 2016” – never a mention that that the ever expanding Perth urban heat island UHI might contribute to this event. Credit where credit is due though, the original BoM forecast was pretty good. Unlike their Brisbane […]
»High-altitude water vapour, critical for Greenhouse, is not well measured
New paper – The Forgotten Water Vapor at High Altitudes – Scientists find that estimatio ...
»New climate book ‘Mirrors and Mazes: a guide to the climate debate’ by Dr Howard Brady
Read the review by Emeritus Professor Peter G Flood PhD (Qld), MAusIMM, IEM (Harvard) – let me ...
»Two years ago I reported UAH satellites were reading too warm at times over Australia
From Dec 2013 – Warming departure in UAH lower troposphere satellite temperatures compared to ...
»Paper gold goes nuts in New York afternoon – could global warming be affecting the gold price?
While the slapdown in price just after 8am NY time is stock standard normal I can not recall a jump ...
»Another exaggerated BoM Brisbane heat forecast – turns out a one day wonder
What is it with the BoM – so Brisbane has a humid and hot day last Tuesday – for heavens ...
»Perth region breaks cold night records two mornings in a row
On 1st & 2nd Feb 2016 the Perth region has had record breaking cold mornings. See comments by U ...
»Another failed Bureau of Meteorology daytime temperature Outlook
Poor old BoM seldom takes a trick – make your own temperature maps – make your own Outlo ...


Date published: Fri, 12 Feb 2016 05:42:17 +0000
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Fact-Based Climate Debate by Lee C. Gerhard, IPCC Expert Reviewer

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Author Post
Denny
Thu Dec 17 2009, 12:26PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178





It is crucial that scientists are factually accurate when they do speak out, that they ignore media hype and maintain a clinical detachment from social or other agendas. There are facts and data that are ignored in the maelstrom of social and economic agendas swirling about Copenhagen.

Greenhouse gases and their effects are well-known. Here are some of things we know:

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• The most effective greenhouse gas is water vapor, comprising approximately 95 percent of the total greenhouse effect.

• Carbon dioxide concentration has been continually rising for nearly 100 years. It continues to rise, but carbon dioxide concentrations at present are near the lowest in geologic history.

• Temperature change correlation with carbon dioxide levels is not statistically significant.

• There are no data that definitively relate carbon dioxide levels to temperature changes.

• The greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide logarithmically declines with increasing concentration. At present levels, any additional carbon dioxide can have very little effect.

We also know a lot about Earth temperature changes:

• Global temperature changes naturally all of the time, in both directions and at many scales of intensity.

• The warmest year in the U.S. in the last century was 1934, not 1998. The U.S. has the best and most extensive temperature records in the world.

• Global temperature peaked in 1998 on the current 60-80 year cycle, and has been episodically declining ever since. This cooling absolutely falsifies claims that human carbon dioxide emissions are a controlling factor in Earth temperature.

• Voluminous historic records demonstrate the Medieval Climate Optimum (MCO) was real and that the “hockey stick” graphic that attempted to deny that fact was at best bad science. The MCO was considerably warmer than the end of the 20th century.

• During the last 100 years, temperature has both risen and fallen, including the present cooling. All the changes in temperature of the last 100 years are in normal historic ranges, both in absolute value and, most importantly, rate of change.

Contrary to many public statements:

• Effects of temperature change are absolutely independent of the cause of the temperature change.

• Global hurricane, cyclonic and major storm activity is near 30-year lows. Any increase in cost of damages by storms is a product of increasing population density in vulnerable areas such as along the shores and property value inflation, not due to any increase in frequency or severity of storms.

• Polar bears have survived and thrived over periods of extreme cold and extreme warmth over hundreds of thousands of years — extremes far in excess of modern temperature changes.

• The 2009 minimum Arctic ice extent was significantly larger than the previous two years. The 2009 Antarctic maximum ice extent was significantly above the 30-year average. There are only 30 years of records.

• Rate and magnitude of sea level changes observed during the last 100 years are within normal historical ranges. Current sea level rise is tiny and, at most, justifies a prediction of perhaps ten centimeters rise in this century.

The present climate debate is a classic conflict between data and computer programs. The computer programs are the source of concern over climate change and global warming, not the data. Data are measurements. Computer programs are artificial constructs.

Public announcements use a great deal of hyperbole and inflammatory language. For instance, the word “ever” is misused by media and in public pronouncements alike. It does not mean “in the last 20 years,“ or “the last 70 years.” “Ever” means the last 4.5 billion years.

For example, some argue that the Arctic is melting, with the warmest-ever temperatures. One should ask, “How long is ever?” The answer is since 1979. And then ask, “Is it still warming?” The answer is unequivocally “No.” Earth temperatures are cooling. Similarly, the word “unprecedented” cannot be legitimately used to describe any climate change in the last 8,000 years.

There is not an unlimited supply of liquid fuels. At some point, sooner or later, global oil production will decline, and transportation costs will become insurmountable if we do not develop alternative energy sources. However, those alternative energy sources do not now exist.

A legislated reduction in energy use or significant increase in cost will severely harm the global economy and force a reduction in the standard of living in the United States. It is time we spent the research dollars to invent an order-of-magnitude better solar converter and an order-of-magnitude better battery. Once we learn how to store electrical energy, we can electrify transportation. But these are separate issues. Energy conversion is not related to climate change science.

I have been a reviewer of the last two IPCC reports, one of the several thousand scientists who purportedly are supporters of the IPCC view that humans control global temperature. Nothing could be further from the truth. Many of us try to bring better and more current science to the IPCC, but we usually fail. Recently we found out why. The whistleblower release of e-mails and files from the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University has demonstrated scientific malfeasance and a sickening violation of scientific ethics.

If the game of Russian roulette with the environment that Adrian Melott contends is going on, is it how will we feed all the people when the cold of the inevitable Little Ice Age returns? It will return. We just don’t know when.

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