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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

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» Schmidt’s Histogram Diagram Doesn’t Refute Christy

» Gavin Schmidt and Reference Period “Trickery”

» Objective Bayesian parameter estimation: Incorporating prior information

» Marvel et al.: GISS did omit land use forcing

» Bayesian parameter estimation: Radiocarbon dating re-examined

» Gerry Browning: In Memory of Professor Heinz Kreiss

» Disappearing the MWP at Icefields, Alberta

» New Light on Gulf of Alaska

» Marvel et al. – Gavin Schmidt admits key error but disputes everything else

» A Return to Polar Urals: Wilson et al 2016

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Global Warming News

» House Panel Asks McCarthy: How Is EPA’s Continuing Implementation of the Clean Power Plan Legal under the Stay?

» Carbon Dioxide Fertilization Greening Earth, Study Finds

» What Every Conservative in Congress Needs to Know about the Paris Agreement

» Paris Climate Agreement: What Should a Republican President Do?

» Carbon Capture and Storage: Adequately Demonstrated?

» Renewable Fuel Standard: Fact Checking RFA Chief Bob Dinneen

» Climate Bullies: Dems Ask S.E.C. to Target Shell

» Warren Buffett on Climate Change Risk

» Exxon Bashing, the AGU, and the Folly of Position Statements

» Will EPA Abide by the Stay?

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»Mars hit by ‘global warming’ – ‘Mars’ current ice age is in retreat’
MARS HIT BY GLOBAL WARMING
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Flashback January 2016 - Marc Morano wrote: “The GOP nominee for president in 2016 must present a ba ...
»Wait, What?! We still haven’t ‘solved’ global warming?! UN Climate Chief: Climate change still a ‘race against the clock’ – Despite UN Paris Climate Deal!
Flashback: Earth ‘Serially Doomed': UN Issues New 15 Year Climate Tipping Point – But UN Issued Tipp ...
»Climate Cringe: Hundreds of UN delegates serenade outgoing UN Chief as ‘Climate Queen’
Hundreds of delegates serenade outgoing climate chief with 1970s classic as first set of talks since ...
»WATCH: ‘Eco-Sexual Wedding’: College Prof Leads Students to ‘Marry the Ocean’ (NOT A JOKE)
'Married to the Sea: An Ecosexual Wedding' Professor at Santa Monica College led students in an ‘Eco ...
»Feds Spending $90,000 for Climate Change Film Festival in Mumbai
»Five GOP Senators Demand AG Lynch Stop Investigating Climate Skeptics
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Former Obama Department of Energy Assistant Secretary Charles McConnell: 'The Clean Power Plan has b ...
»Trump sends ‘shivers down spines’ of nations supporting UN ‘global warming’ pact
»Studio’s Propaganda Push for 10th Anniversary of Gore’s Global Alarmist Movie


Date published: Fri, 27 May 2016 00:33:14 +0000
Details

»UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for April, 2016: +0.71 deg. C
NOTE: This is the thirteenth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the ...
»William Gray, Hurricane Researcher and Skeptic, Dead at 86
I just learned through Climate Depot and Tony Heller that Bill Gray has died. Bill was a pioneering ...
»Why Gavin Schmidt’s Temperature Plot Baseline Issue is Irrelevant
Ever since we started posting global temperature comparisons between models and observations there h ...
»UPDATE: It Did Not Snow in Guadeloupe
On April Fools day (April 1), there was a report of snow on the tropical island of Guadeloupe on the ...
»Crops at Risk: Will This Week Equal the $2 Billion Freeze of 2007?
Exactly 9 years ago this week, the eastern U.S. was plunged into below-freezing weather after an unu ...
»UAH V6 Global Temperature Update for March, 2016: +0.73 deg. C
NOTE: This is the twelfth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the ol ...
»Impact of CFSv2 Model Fix on 2016 La Nina Forecast
As discussed over at WUWT, there has been a significant change in NOAA’s Climate Forecast Syst ...
»Color Satellite Imagery of Pavlof Eruption
The eruption of Pavlof volcano in Alaska’s Aleutian Islands late Sunday was sudden, and produc ...
»One-Third of AMS Members Don’t Agree with Climate Change Orthodoxy
A George Mason University survey of 4,092 members of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) on cl ...
»What’s Next? Prosecuting String Theory Denialists?
The revelation that AG Loretta Lynch had discussions about bringing charges against climate change d ...


Date published: Tue, 03 May 2016 16:14:08 +0000
Details

»My Climate Plan, Wherein a Climate Skeptic Actually Advocates for A Carbon Tax
I am always amazed at how people like to draw conclusions about what I write merely from the title, ...
»Come See My Climate Talk on Wednesday Evening, February 24, at Claremont-McKenna College
I am speaking on Wednesday night at the Athenaeum at Claremont-McKenna College near Pomona on Wednes ...
»US Average Temperature Trends in Context
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. There was some debate a while back around about a temperature chart so ...
»Revisiting (Yet Again) Hansen’s 1998 Forecast on Global Warming to Congress
I want to briefly revisit Hansen’s 1998 Congressional forecast.  Yes, I and many others have c ...
»Matt Ridley: What the Climate Wars Did to Science
I cannot recommend Matt Ridley’s new article strongly enough.  It covers a lot of ground be he ...
»Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...


Date published: Fri, 18 Mar 2016 16:20:20 +0000
Details

»Trump-ing Hillary on EPA and Global Warming
By Steve Milloy, Breitbart.com If he lives up to his campaign rhetoric, a President Donald Trump wou ...
»Jimmy Kimmel: Totally F**king Wrong on Climate Change
By James Delingpole, Breitbart.com Jimmy Kimmel is great. Probably the most relaxed, amiable, and fu ...
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»Climate Hustle Coming to Theaters on May 2, The Debate is Just Beginning
By Elmer Beauregard I had the privilege of going to D.C. to see the Premiere of Climate Hustle last ...
»‘Climate Hustle’ goes to DC: Skeptical film to premiere on Capitol Hill
Riveting panel with Gov. Sarah Palin and other guests (March 31, 2016) The U.S. premiere of CFACT’s ...


Date published: Thu, 05 May 2016 20:12:47 +0000
Details

»Schmidt’s Histogram Diagram Doesn’t Refute Christy
In my most recent post,  I discussed yet another incident in the long running dispute about the inco ...
»Gavin Schmidt and Reference Period “Trickery”
In the past few weeks, I’ve been re-examining the long-standing dispute over the discrepancy b ...
»Objective Bayesian parameter estimation: Incorporating prior information
A guest article by Nic Lewis Introduction In a recent article I discussed Bayesian parameter inferen ...
»Marvel et al.: GISS did omit land use forcing
A guest article by Nic Lewis I reported in a previous post, here, a number of serious problems that ...
»Bayesian parameter estimation: Radiocarbon dating re-examined
A guest article by Nic Lewis Introduction In April 2014 I published a guest article about statistica ...
»Gerry Browning: In Memory of Professor Heinz Kreiss
Gerry Browning writes: The Correct System of Equations for Climate and Weather Models The system of ...
»Disappearing the MWP at Icefields, Alberta
In today’s post, I’m going to critically examine another widely used tree ring chronolog ...
»New Light on Gulf of Alaska
Last week, I posted on the effect of ex post site selection on the Gulf of Alaska tree ring chronolo ...
»Marvel et al. – Gavin Schmidt admits key error but disputes everything else
A guest article by Nicholas Lewis Introduction Gavin Schmidt has finally provided, at the GISS websi ...
»A Return to Polar Urals: Wilson et al 2016
Wilson et al 2016, like D’Arrigo et al 2006, includes a ‘Polar Urals’ chronology a ...


Date published: Thu, 26 May 2016 20:52:46 +0000
Details




Date published: not known
Details

»Mars hit by global warming
The ABC reports – Mars at tail-end of ice age that would have seen red planet covered in ice
»West Australian water authorities do not talk about above average rain falling free from the sky
Just noticed this classic water news from Perth – global HQ of the rain-denial-desalination-pr ...
»Third week stupidly long Australian Federal election campaign
Barnaby Joyce is the star this week by a nose in front of the dairy industry – Barnaby Joyce s ...
»Snow traps 36 in Southland, New Zealand
Their warm May continues – Harsh weather traps 34 in Southland, Crown Range closed 23 May 2016 ...
»Plans to reduce WA wheatbelt salinity and utilize Wellington Dam
Time we are reminded about the very good Agritech Salinity Crisis Action Plan so highly ignored by W ...
»Small electricity generator delivered Collie – where there is much surplus capacity
Hope to find out why this was needed and what the specs are – Antonov An-225 Mriya’s 117 ...
»First week stupidly long Australian Federal election campaign
Couple of thoughts – well worth taking five minutes to tick through the ABC Vote Compass ...
»What is it with the series of burst water mains in Adelaide?
Digger falls into hole left by burst Adelaide water main on arterial road at Prospect 20 May 2016 ...
»Is some of the Australian monsoon running a bit late?
In percentage terms – plenty of rain across our north this month which is usually the start of ...
»Media gem from 2009 – West Australian Govt backed Perth geothermal projects to generate electricity from steam
Geothermal mine to power University of WA – note the quote “…be used in the design ...


Date published: Thu, 26 May 2016 23:28:48 +0000
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Fact-Based Climate Debate by Lee C. Gerhard, IPCC Expert Reviewer

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Author Post
Denny
Thu Dec 17 2009, 12:26PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178





It is crucial that scientists are factually accurate when they do speak out, that they ignore media hype and maintain a clinical detachment from social or other agendas. There are facts and data that are ignored in the maelstrom of social and economic agendas swirling about Copenhagen.

Greenhouse gases and their effects are well-known. Here are some of things we know:

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• The most effective greenhouse gas is water vapor, comprising approximately 95 percent of the total greenhouse effect.

• Carbon dioxide concentration has been continually rising for nearly 100 years. It continues to rise, but carbon dioxide concentrations at present are near the lowest in geologic history.

• Temperature change correlation with carbon dioxide levels is not statistically significant.

• There are no data that definitively relate carbon dioxide levels to temperature changes.

• The greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide logarithmically declines with increasing concentration. At present levels, any additional carbon dioxide can have very little effect.

We also know a lot about Earth temperature changes:

• Global temperature changes naturally all of the time, in both directions and at many scales of intensity.

• The warmest year in the U.S. in the last century was 1934, not 1998. The U.S. has the best and most extensive temperature records in the world.

• Global temperature peaked in 1998 on the current 60-80 year cycle, and has been episodically declining ever since. This cooling absolutely falsifies claims that human carbon dioxide emissions are a controlling factor in Earth temperature.

• Voluminous historic records demonstrate the Medieval Climate Optimum (MCO) was real and that the “hockey stick” graphic that attempted to deny that fact was at best bad science. The MCO was considerably warmer than the end of the 20th century.

• During the last 100 years, temperature has both risen and fallen, including the present cooling. All the changes in temperature of the last 100 years are in normal historic ranges, both in absolute value and, most importantly, rate of change.

Contrary to many public statements:

• Effects of temperature change are absolutely independent of the cause of the temperature change.

• Global hurricane, cyclonic and major storm activity is near 30-year lows. Any increase in cost of damages by storms is a product of increasing population density in vulnerable areas such as along the shores and property value inflation, not due to any increase in frequency or severity of storms.

• Polar bears have survived and thrived over periods of extreme cold and extreme warmth over hundreds of thousands of years — extremes far in excess of modern temperature changes.

• The 2009 minimum Arctic ice extent was significantly larger than the previous two years. The 2009 Antarctic maximum ice extent was significantly above the 30-year average. There are only 30 years of records.

• Rate and magnitude of sea level changes observed during the last 100 years are within normal historical ranges. Current sea level rise is tiny and, at most, justifies a prediction of perhaps ten centimeters rise in this century.

The present climate debate is a classic conflict between data and computer programs. The computer programs are the source of concern over climate change and global warming, not the data. Data are measurements. Computer programs are artificial constructs.

Public announcements use a great deal of hyperbole and inflammatory language. For instance, the word “ever” is misused by media and in public pronouncements alike. It does not mean “in the last 20 years,“ or “the last 70 years.” “Ever” means the last 4.5 billion years.

For example, some argue that the Arctic is melting, with the warmest-ever temperatures. One should ask, “How long is ever?” The answer is since 1979. And then ask, “Is it still warming?” The answer is unequivocally “No.” Earth temperatures are cooling. Similarly, the word “unprecedented” cannot be legitimately used to describe any climate change in the last 8,000 years.

There is not an unlimited supply of liquid fuels. At some point, sooner or later, global oil production will decline, and transportation costs will become insurmountable if we do not develop alternative energy sources. However, those alternative energy sources do not now exist.

A legislated reduction in energy use or significant increase in cost will severely harm the global economy and force a reduction in the standard of living in the United States. It is time we spent the research dollars to invent an order-of-magnitude better solar converter and an order-of-magnitude better battery. Once we learn how to store electrical energy, we can electrify transportation. But these are separate issues. Energy conversion is not related to climate change science.

I have been a reviewer of the last two IPCC reports, one of the several thousand scientists who purportedly are supporters of the IPCC view that humans control global temperature. Nothing could be further from the truth. Many of us try to bring better and more current science to the IPCC, but we usually fail. Recently we found out why. The whistleblower release of e-mails and files from the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University has demonstrated scientific malfeasance and a sickening violation of scientific ethics.

If the game of Russian roulette with the environment that Adrian Melott contends is going on, is it how will we feed all the people when the cold of the inevitable Little Ice Age returns? It will return. We just don’t know when.

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