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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

***
Science and Public Policy Institute

» Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Global Effect of Greenhouse-gas Emission Limits in the State of Utah

» Experimental Artifacts of Free-Air-C02-Enrichment (FACE) Studies

» The Extinction Risk for Stationary Plants

» Benefits of Atmospheric C02 Enrichment on Strawberries

» Forest Growth Responses to Increasing Temperatures

» Stop Climate Fear Mongering

» Was 2014 the Warmest Year on Record? No, It Wasn't...

» Problems with Model Predictions of Species Extinctions

» The Influence of C02 on Plant Antioxidants

» Health Effects of Hot vs. Cold Temperatures in Asia

» Coral Reef Responses to Temperature and Stress: Thermal Adaptation

» Forest Growth Response to C02

» Onward Marches the Great Pause

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Acidification and Warming

» FACE Experiments and Grassland Species

» Effects of Ocean Acidification on Fish

» Response of Fish to Ocean Warming

» Additional Grounds for Rejecting Biofuels

» The Global Medieval Warm Period

» Growth Rates of Old Versus Young Forest Trees

» Water Use Efficiency of Agricultural Species

» Tropical Trees

» Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity

» Rewriting Sunspot History

» Analysis of the Second Order Draft of the Working I Contribution to IPCC 5AR

***
Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

***


» Revkin’s Source

» Andrew Weaver: Libel Chill or Libel “Polar Vortex”

» Marotzke and Forster’s circular attribution of CMIP5 intermodel warming differences

» Important New North American East Coast Proxy Data

» Ground-truthing Marcott

» More Mann Grafting

» Mann and the Legacy of “Bogus”

» One of Carvin’s Gaffes

» Oral Argument 2: EPA on “Fraud” Allegations

» Oral Argument 1: Context

***
Watts Up With That?

» Statement by Dr. Willie Soon

» Quote of the week: former IPCC head Pachauri’s emails could be a whole new potboiler novel

» Mann’s meme generator, from ‘false hockey sticks’ to ‘false pauses’

» Statement from Heartland on the climate skeptic witch-hunt

» Test at Tonopah solar project ignites hundreds of birds in mid-air

» What is the Optimum Temperature with respect to human mortality?

» Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #170

» Study: The sun has more impact on the climate in cool periods

» Out on bail, IPCC’s Pachauri’s downward spiral continues: Resignation from the Indian Climate Council

» Climatic Jihad?

» Housekeeping: Adobe Typekit is being flagged by Ghostery browser extension as a problem program

» Cultural Tipping Point Reached – Hollywood has started mocking global warming

***
Global Warming News

» CEI Drops Other Shoe on McCarthy Mimics in Congressional Democratic Caucus

» Rep. John Yarmuth Is Latest To Suffer from Type-II Climate Derangement Syndrome

» New York Times Repeats Scurrilous Greenpeace Attack on Willie Soon Without Checking the Facts

» Lies and Other Lowlights from EPA Administrator McCarthy’s Testimonies on FY 2016 Budget before the House This Week

» Energy & Environment Media Bullet Points

» There’s No Such Thing as a “Neutral” Carbon Tax

» Did “Prickly” Waxman Settle for M St. after Being Spurned by K St.?

» Grist’s Gross Mission Creep Reflects Rise of Big Green within the DNC

» FERC Commissioner Moeller Puts the Lie to EPA’s Rote Claim Regarding Clean Power Plan “Flexibility”

» EPA Shuns Federal Agencies, States, Congress, Private Sector, and Even Itself (but not green special interests!)

***
Fox News - Climate Change Stories

***
Michelle Malkin - Enviro-Nitwits

» Starbucks working diligently to protect the planet from threat posed by whipped cream

» Great Lakes’ failure to cooperate with Al Gore’s doomsday alarmism a sure sign of climate change, says Bill Nye

» Bill Nye shares climate change proof: The Wyoming hills are alive with ‘science’!

» Man-made climate change alarmists continue to be busted revising history

» Koch-a-geddon watch: Salon picks up slack for Harry Reid while he recovers

***
DailyTech Michael Asher`s blog

» Will the Real Antarctica Please Stand Up?

» Global Warming May Decrease Hurricanes, Research Suggests

» Japanese Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming

» Sea Ice Ends Year at Same Level as 1979

» A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the (Climate) Forum

» Climate Report Downgrades Ice Loss; Media Reports Opposite

» Princeton Physicist Calls Global Warming Science "Mistaken"

» Defying Predictions, Sea Level Rise Begins to Slow

» Electric Car Sales in Freefall; Industry Risks Collapse

» Glaciers in Norway Growing Again

***
C3 - Climate Cycles Change

***
CATO - Global Warming

» National Security State

» A Litmus Test for ObamaCare and the Rule of Law

» Currency Wars, Again

» What Terrorists Are Really Angry About

» Common Core Confusion: Blame Supporters

» Libya: Hold Policymakers Accountable for another Washington War Gone Bad

» Hillary the Stealth Candidate

» Terrorism Poses No Existential Threat to America. We Must Stop Pretending Otherwise

» I’m an Immigrant and a Reform Advocate. Obama's Executive Actions Are a Disaster for the Cause.

» President Obama Is Apparently Not Imperial Enough for the GOP

» India's Next Budget Needs a Vision for Leading Asia

» US Wants to Hack Your Phone Because It Doesn't Have Real Spies It Needs

» Religious Liberty in China: The Key to a Stable, Peaceful, and Harmonious Order

» Pushing Back against Islamist Aggression

» The Island Dispute No One Is Talking About

» George Washington, the Man Who Established the Republic

» Washington's Foolish Foreign Policy: American People Must Say No to More Wars

» Does Supporting School Choice Mean Hating Public Schools?

» The Battle for Central Europe

» Obama Moves to Extend U.S. Lives. Impossible for Him? Let's See

» Drug Money: Obama's Reckless $1 Billion Payout to Central America

» Liberty Dies as Thailand's Military Monopolizes Power: Junta Dispenses Repression Instead Oof Happiness

» Testing Obamacare

» The U.S. Government's Cyber-Go-Round

» The Pentagon's Bloat

***
CanadaFreePress - Global Warming

» Carbon Tax Swap Barely Works, Even in Theory

» Update: AP’s Seth Borenstein at it again hyping Antarctic melt fears

***
More Global Warming Hoax News Feeds

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Since Exxon Hasn't Sent Us Our First Million Dollars Yet You're Welcome To Help Pay Our Bills Until They Do.









Headlines

»Earth Hour Set for March 28 with Focus on Climate Change
»Good news: the warming pause finally appears in the news
»Antarctic Sea Ice Did The Exact Opposite Of What Models Predicted – ‘Most climate models predicted Antarctic sea ice coverage would shrink’
»Heat’s on for climate-change nonconformists
»Dr. Willie Soon Speaks – Fires back at critics: Calls witch hunt ‘a shameless attempt to silence my scientific research and writings’
Dr. Soon: 'I have never been motivated by financial gain to write any scientific paper, nor have I e ...
»New Report on Willie Soon: ‘Debunking the Left’s Attackon an Innocent Climate Scientist’
»Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. on climate ‘Witch Hunt': ‘My 11-year old asked me if I was going to jail’
Pielke Jr.: 'Yesterday, my 11-year old asked me if I was going to jail. Really nasty stuff.' ' ...
»‘Pachauri’s Sofa': Media ‘published collection of electronic messages allegedly sent by Pachauri to this unnamed 29-year-old woman’
»‘Did Pachauri Grope 97% of Women?’ ‘Why not apply warmist statistical methods to allegations of roving hands, lurid texts and an obsession with ‘voluptuous breasts’ that have seen the world’s premier alarmist resign?’
»New York Times Targeting of Climate Alarm Skeptic Misfires


Date published: Tue, 03 Mar 2015 02:34:16 +0000
Details

»Snow for all 50 States Forecast in Next 7 Days
The unseasonable cold is expected to continue over much of the U.S., with some interruptions, and th ...
»On Natural Climate Variability and Climate Models
The “pause” in global warming is becoming increasingly difficult for the climate establi ...
»The ‘Skeptical Seven’ Witch Hunt is Just the Beginning
Congressman Raúl Grijalva (D-AZ) has sent letters to universities requesting information on the sour ...
»6 Inches of Snow in 10 Seconds
North Alabama got an unusual 6-9 inches of snow last evening, very similar to a storm we had one yea ...
»Pachauri Quits IPCC
Rajendra Pachauri has resigned the IPCC in the wake of sexual harassment allegations. I predict the ...
»2015 Annual Hockey Stick Awards
I attended the 28th annual Hockey Stick Awards ceremony, which was held Sunday evening in Dubai, whe ...
»Lake Superior Ice Cover Well Ahead of 2014
Remember the amazing ice cover of last year on Lake Superior? Well, the coverage today stands at 93% ...
»Great Lakes Rapidly Freezing Over
The recent frigid weather has led to a rapid freezing cycle on the Great Lakes, with ice cover incre ...
»What to call a NYT reporter of climate science?
The title of Justin Gillis’ recent NYT article is an excellent tip-off of how bad environmental repo ...
»Winters in Boston Becoming Drier
Much has been said in recent weeks about how bigger snowstorms in Boston are (supposedly) just what ...


Date published: Fri, 27 Feb 2015 17:53:30 +0000
Details

»Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...
»When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress
One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the cu ...
»Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather”
I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition.  It desc ...
»HydroInfra: Scam! Investment Honeypot for Climate Alarmists
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. I got an email today from some random Gmail account asking me to write ...
»Presentation: The Science of the Skeptic Position
Here is the most recent version of my presentation “Don’t Panic: The Science of the Clim ...
»Switching Back to Disqus
For a variety of reasons, I had to turn off Disqus a while back.  We are going back to it for commen ...


Date published: Mon, 09 Feb 2015 17:37:18 +0000
Details




Date published: not known
Details

»Revkin’s Source
In Andy Revkin’s article about Pachauri’s resignation, Revkin, apparently without awaren ...
»Andrew Weaver: Libel Chill or Libel “Polar Vortex”
Andrew Weaver has been taking a victory lap following the recent decision in his favor by rookie jud ...
»Marotzke and Forster’s circular attribution of CMIP5 intermodel warming differences
A guest post by Nicholas Lewis Introduction A new paper in Nature by Jochem Marotzke and Piers Forst ...
»Important New North American East Coast Proxy Data
One of my long-standing interests is the location of ocean sediment series that enable apples-to-app ...
»Ground-truthing Marcott
The MD99-2275 core offshore Iceland is a very high-resolution ocean sediment core, results of which ...
»More Mann Grafting
Jeff Norman draws attention to Figure 1 in a new Mannian tirade, a variation of Mann’s stump s ...
»Mann and the Legacy of “Bogus”
One of the most bizarre conclusions of D.C. Judge Combs-Greene were her findings that it was actiona ...
»One of Carvin’s Gaffes
In some recent posts, I’ve observed that Carvin made a couple of astonishing gaffes in his ora ...
»Oral Argument 2: EPA on “Fraud” Allegations
Towards the end of Carvin’s mostly cringeworthy rebuttal,  he seemed to score on EPA’s r ...
»Oral Argument 1: Context
I have an audio copy of the oral argument in Mann v Steyn, which I’ve posted up (see link at t ...


Date published: Tue, 03 Mar 2015 02:22:57 +0000
Details

»Experimental Artifacts of Free-Air-C02-Enrichment (FACE) Studies
In a provocative paper they entitled "Food for Thought: Lower-Than-Expected Crop Yield Stimulation w ...
»Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Global Effect of Greenhouse-gas Emission Limits in the State of Utah
In this report, we review the long-term climate history of Utah and find little in the way of eviden ...
»The Extinction Risk for Stationary Plants
In addition to migrating to more suitable locations, Earth’s plants have other ways of successfully ...
»Benefits of Atmospheric C02 Enrichment on Strawberries
Nearly all agricultural plants benefit from increases in the air's CO2 content and strawberry (Fraga ...
»Forest Growth Responses to Increasing Temperatures
It has been claimed that CO2-induced global warming will be so great and so rapid that many of Earth ...
»Stop Climate Fear Mongering
The massively funded international global warming movement has grossly exaggerated the threat from C ...
»Was 2014 the Warmest Year on Record? No, It Wasn't...
Nature trumpets “2014 was the hottest year on record,” citing the Japan Meteorological Agency, the W ...
»Problems with Model Predictions of Species Extinctions
The world's climate alarmists contend that CO2-induced global warming will lead to numerous extincti ...
»The Influence of C02 on Plant Antioxidants
Environmental stresses induced by exposure to pollutants, drought, intense solar radiation and high ...
»Health Effects of Hot vs. Cold Temperatures in Asia
Climate alarmists predict global warming will increase human death rates, and nary a heat wave occur ...


Date published: Tue, 03 Mar 2015 03:49:58 +0000
Details

»Sunspots for February show biggest monthly drop for over a year
RI numbers indicating sunspot activity could be off that shoulder –
»Another useless Bureau of Meteorology Outlook – Australian summer rain shows BoM has not got a clue persevering with failed models
The BoM rain Outlook for summer predicted only minor areas would enjoy above average rain- yet avera ...
»Bad news for climate sceptics as IPCC head resigns – they might select somebody more effective as replacement
IPCC chair Rajendra Pachauri resigns – the article says a permanent replacement will not be se ...
»How pathetic is the West – are we really feeding our enemies in Syria?
Just read this – Let’s Not Feed Our Enemies – and the linked article – Syria ...
»Where are the category 5 wind gust observations for Cyclone Marcia?
The BoM rates Marcia as a Cat 5 now – yet the strongest wind gusts I can find are 208kmh at Mi ...
»The Australian Academy of Science quotes “unusually weak solar activity” as one reason for the post 2001 temperature slowdown
Download the 7MB pdf report – page 10 Box 2.2 for the amazing quote saying […unusually w ...
»Major UK political parties adopt common climate policies – must give a boost to the UKIP
Party leaders make joint climate commitment – seems amazing that the Govt could not separate i ...
»How quickly the media let Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk break her clear promise ruling out minority government
The ABC reported on 12 January that Labor Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk ruled out forming a minority ...
»Farmers call for an end to Murray Darling Basin water wasting plan
I just hope people in power are listening to the farmers who want an end to the green nonsense of pu ...
»Another international rescue effort underway in the Antarctic – this time to free Tasmanian fishing boat trapped in sea ice
According to the ABC article which is short on detail – Tasmanian fishing ship Antarctic Chief ...


Date published: Sun, 01 Mar 2015 21:11:00 +0000
Details
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<< Previous thread | Next thread >>   
Fact-Based Climate Debate by Lee C. Gerhard, IPCC Expert Reviewer

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Author Post
Denny
Thu Dec 17 2009, 12:26PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178





It is crucial that scientists are factually accurate when they do speak out, that they ignore media hype and maintain a clinical detachment from social or other agendas. There are facts and data that are ignored in the maelstrom of social and economic agendas swirling about Copenhagen.

Greenhouse gases and their effects are well-known. Here are some of things we know:

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• The most effective greenhouse gas is water vapor, comprising approximately 95 percent of the total greenhouse effect.

• Carbon dioxide concentration has been continually rising for nearly 100 years. It continues to rise, but carbon dioxide concentrations at present are near the lowest in geologic history.

• Temperature change correlation with carbon dioxide levels is not statistically significant.

• There are no data that definitively relate carbon dioxide levels to temperature changes.

• The greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide logarithmically declines with increasing concentration. At present levels, any additional carbon dioxide can have very little effect.

We also know a lot about Earth temperature changes:

• Global temperature changes naturally all of the time, in both directions and at many scales of intensity.

• The warmest year in the U.S. in the last century was 1934, not 1998. The U.S. has the best and most extensive temperature records in the world.

• Global temperature peaked in 1998 on the current 60-80 year cycle, and has been episodically declining ever since. This cooling absolutely falsifies claims that human carbon dioxide emissions are a controlling factor in Earth temperature.

• Voluminous historic records demonstrate the Medieval Climate Optimum (MCO) was real and that the “hockey stick” graphic that attempted to deny that fact was at best bad science. The MCO was considerably warmer than the end of the 20th century.

• During the last 100 years, temperature has both risen and fallen, including the present cooling. All the changes in temperature of the last 100 years are in normal historic ranges, both in absolute value and, most importantly, rate of change.

Contrary to many public statements:

• Effects of temperature change are absolutely independent of the cause of the temperature change.

• Global hurricane, cyclonic and major storm activity is near 30-year lows. Any increase in cost of damages by storms is a product of increasing population density in vulnerable areas such as along the shores and property value inflation, not due to any increase in frequency or severity of storms.

• Polar bears have survived and thrived over periods of extreme cold and extreme warmth over hundreds of thousands of years — extremes far in excess of modern temperature changes.

• The 2009 minimum Arctic ice extent was significantly larger than the previous two years. The 2009 Antarctic maximum ice extent was significantly above the 30-year average. There are only 30 years of records.

• Rate and magnitude of sea level changes observed during the last 100 years are within normal historical ranges. Current sea level rise is tiny and, at most, justifies a prediction of perhaps ten centimeters rise in this century.

The present climate debate is a classic conflict between data and computer programs. The computer programs are the source of concern over climate change and global warming, not the data. Data are measurements. Computer programs are artificial constructs.

Public announcements use a great deal of hyperbole and inflammatory language. For instance, the word “ever” is misused by media and in public pronouncements alike. It does not mean “in the last 20 years,“ or “the last 70 years.” “Ever” means the last 4.5 billion years.

For example, some argue that the Arctic is melting, with the warmest-ever temperatures. One should ask, “How long is ever?” The answer is since 1979. And then ask, “Is it still warming?” The answer is unequivocally “No.” Earth temperatures are cooling. Similarly, the word “unprecedented” cannot be legitimately used to describe any climate change in the last 8,000 years.

There is not an unlimited supply of liquid fuels. At some point, sooner or later, global oil production will decline, and transportation costs will become insurmountable if we do not develop alternative energy sources. However, those alternative energy sources do not now exist.

A legislated reduction in energy use or significant increase in cost will severely harm the global economy and force a reduction in the standard of living in the United States. It is time we spent the research dollars to invent an order-of-magnitude better solar converter and an order-of-magnitude better battery. Once we learn how to store electrical energy, we can electrify transportation. But these are separate issues. Energy conversion is not related to climate change science.

I have been a reviewer of the last two IPCC reports, one of the several thousand scientists who purportedly are supporters of the IPCC view that humans control global temperature. Nothing could be further from the truth. Many of us try to bring better and more current science to the IPCC, but we usually fail. Recently we found out why. The whistleblower release of e-mails and files from the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University has demonstrated scientific malfeasance and a sickening violation of scientific ethics.

If the game of Russian roulette with the environment that Adrian Melott contends is going on, is it how will we feed all the people when the cold of the inevitable Little Ice Age returns? It will return. We just don’t know when.

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