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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Science and Public Policy Institute

» Effects of Ocean Acidification on Marine Bivalves

» Effects of Ocean Acidification on Marine Bacteria

» Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Global Effect of Greenhouse-gas Emission Limits in the State of Utah

» Experimental Artifacts of Free-Air-C02-Enrichment (FACE) Studies

» The Extinction Risk for Stationary Plants

» Benefits of Atmospheric C02 Enrichment on Strawberries

» Forest Growth Responses to Increasing Temperatures

» Stop Climate Fear Mongering

» Was 2014 the Warmest Year on Record? No, It Wasn't...

» Problems with Model Predictions of Species Extinctions

» The Influence of C02 on Plant Antioxidants

» Health Effects of Hot vs. Cold Temperatures in Asia

» Coral Reef Responses to Temperature and Stress: Thermal Adaptation

» Forest Growth Response to C02

» Onward Marches the Great Pause

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Acidification and Warming

» FACE Experiments and Grassland Species

» Effects of Ocean Acidification on Fish

» Response of Fish to Ocean Warming

» Additional Grounds for Rejecting Biofuels

» The Global Medieval Warm Period

» Growth Rates of Old Versus Young Forest Trees

» Water Use Efficiency of Agricultural Species

» Tropical Trees

» Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity

***
Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

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Climate Audit

» Jones and Dixon Refute Conspiracy Theorist Lewandowsky

» Reductio ad mannium

» How Weaver Ignored Corcoran’s Segue

» The implications for climate sensitivity of Bjorn Stevens’ new aerosol forcing paper

» Weaver: “I do not lobby for more climate funding”

» Another Upside-Down PAGES2K Non-Corrigendum

» Weaver’s Next Generation Climate Model: Breaking News!!

» Weaver Suggests Buddy Review for Mann et al 2005

» Brandon’s ebook on the Hockey Stick

» Josh: Andrew, Put on your big boy pants

***
Watts Up With That?

» Study: Climate change does not cause extreme winters

» Outrageous: NOAA demands $262,000 fee for looking at their ‘public’ data

» Finally: peer reviewed pushback against the Lewandowsky, Oberauer, and Gignac paper

» Climate skeptic scientists push back against ‘witch hunt’

» Laughable AGU Claim: 2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami ‘spurred global warming’

» Climate FAIL: Gallup poll shows global warming concerns dead last

» National Association of Scholars says ‘The fossil fuel divestment movement, is an exercise in futility.’

» Richard Tol’s Excellent Summary of the Flaws in Cook et al. (2013) – The Infamous 97% Consensus Paper

» Amazing study of the IPCC and media concludes: “…reception and coverage in the media has varied widely.”

» NASA refutes Mann and Rahmstorf – Finds Atlantic ‘Conveyor Belt’ Not Slowing

» Ocean Acidification: Natural Cycles and Ubiquitous Uncertainties

» Mann on the run – latest paper ‘dead at birth’, rejected by German warmist scientists, deletes inconvenient Facebook challenge

***
Global Warming News

» Free Market Groups Take Aim at Obama Guidance on NEPA Review of Greenhouse Gas Emissions

» Respectfully Rebutting Professor Revesz on EPA’s Clean Power Plan

» EPA’s Clean Power Plan: Whitman Goes Orwell on McConnell

» Sen. Cruz and Rep. Bridenstine Introduce American Energy Renaissance Act

» AP Analysis: Obama Administration Sets Record for Flouting Freedom of Information Act

» Introducing VICE News to 2012 Debate Obama (the one who ran to the right of Romney on AGW/energy)

» Root Cause of Ethanol ‘Blend Wall’? Consumers Don’t Like Rip Offs

» CEI Files Suit over EPA’s Glacial “Richard Windsor” Production

» Pound for Pound, the Worst EPA Regulation During the Obama Administration Is…

» The Possible Mootness of Mitch McConnell’s Missive to States Regarding Non-Compliance with the Clean Power Plan

***
Fox News - Climate Change Stories

***
Michelle Malkin - Enviro-Nitwits

» Heir apparent to Al Gore proves he’s totally up to the challenge

» Maybe the EPA will fulfill FOIA requests after they’re done trying to regulate your grill emissions

» Guess what might be to blame for the rise of ISIS

» Starbucks working diligently to protect the planet from threat posed by whipped cream

» Great Lakes’ failure to cooperate with Al Gore’s doomsday alarmism a sure sign of climate change, says Bill Nye

***
DailyTech Michael Asher`s blog

» Will the Real Antarctica Please Stand Up?

» Global Warming May Decrease Hurricanes, Research Suggests

» Japanese Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming

» Sea Ice Ends Year at Same Level as 1979

» A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the (Climate) Forum

» Climate Report Downgrades Ice Loss; Media Reports Opposite

» Princeton Physicist Calls Global Warming Science "Mistaken"

» Defying Predictions, Sea Level Rise Begins to Slow

» Electric Car Sales in Freefall; Industry Risks Collapse

» Glaciers in Norway Growing Again

***
C3 - Climate Cycles Change

***
CATO - Global Warming

» Politico Presents …. Washington Lobbyists!

» How about Spending Cuts Instead of Sanders's War Tax?

» FEMA Tells Oklahoma to Do the Impossible ... Or Else

» The SGR Fix Will Bust the Budget

» The Monetary Approach Reigns Supreme

» China Needs More Market -- and Individualism -- and Less State

» Ex-Im Bank Taxes Mississippi’s Manufacturers

» Export-Import Bank Costly to Pennsylvania Businesses

» Hold Politicians Accountable for Libya Debacle

» Obamacare: Not as Bad as It Could Have Been, But Still Awful

» Game on: How to Devise International Investment Law

» This Phone Hacking Device Is out of Control

» Legislators Move against Mass Surveillance

» FEMA Asks Louisiana to Do the Impossible -- Or Else

» FEMA Is Asking Mississippi to Do the Impossible ... Or Lose Disaster Aid

» The Truth about Infrastructure

» Whitehouse Threatens Scientific Freedom

» Supreme Court Must Reconsider UT's Admissions Policy

» Russia and North Korea Play Nice: Vladimir Putin's Ukrainian Dance with Kim Jong-un

» Tehran, though an Ugly Regime, Does Not Threaten America.

» Why Offensive Speech Is Valuable

» Libertarians and the Struggle for Women's Rights

» Our Unrealistic Foreign Policy

» Surprising Peru

» Mandatory Voting Guarantees Ignorant Votes

***
CanadaFreePress - Global Warming

» Obama’s FEMA Dir. Sounds Like GOP ‘Denier’!?

» Population Control in the Name of Sustainable Development

» WH Rally v. Arctic Drilling: Global Warming Is ‘Absolutely’ ‘Settled Science’ Despite Ch

***
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Headlines

»In 1974, Paul Ehrlich told the U.S. Senate he wouldn’t bet a nickel U.S. still around in 1994
Ehrlich to U.S. Senate 1974: 'If we have 20 years -- which I wouldn't put a nickel on -- but if we h ...
»Study in Journal Climate: Climate change does not cause extreme winters
Cold snaps like the ones that hit the eastern United States in the past winters are not a consequenc ...
»Networks Say Nothing As Congressional Democrats Bully Climate Skeptics
»Obama’s FEMA Dir. Sounds Like GOP ‘Denier’!? FEMA Dir. Craig Fugate said hurricanes cyclical, not linked to AGW! Should FEMA Withhold Funds From FEMA?!
Flashback 2012: Obama Appointed FEMA Dir.: Frequency of Hurricanes Cyclical: Since 1850s ‘a cycle, ...
»China used more cement in 3 years than the U.S. did in the 20th century
'While President Obama is waging war on coal and oil, China is building coal plants as fast as it po ...
»Ex-Obama Energy Secretary Chu praises China’s one-party rule for ‘looking out for what’s best for their country’
Former Sec. Stephen Chu: Excerpt: Chu praised China's ability to take unilateral action on climate c ...
»MATHEMATICIAN TELLS CLIMATE CHANGE ADVOCATES ‘TIME TO GET OVER THEY LOST THE SCIENTIFIC ARGUMENT’
Dr. Christopher Essex, professor of Applied Mathematics at the University of Western Ontario, told B ...
»EPA Wants to Monitor How Long Hotel Guests Spend in the Shower – $15,000 grant creating device to ‘modify’ guests behavior
»The Campaign To Make You Care About Climate Change Is Failing Miserably
»Climate ‘contrarian’ Dr. David Legates on the firing line
‘Consensus science’ should be on the firing line, not the skeptics of ‘settled’ science, much less t ...


Date published: Fri, 27 Mar 2015 22:44:38 +0000
Details

»This is Your President’s Science Advisor
A President’s political appointees are chosen because their views support the President ...
»Color Satellite View of Solar Eclipse
Here’s a NASA MODIS view of this morning’s solar eclipse from the Terra polar-orbiting s ...
»Bring Back Our Tornadoes!
One of the many tragic consequences of human-caused climate change is the nearly unprecedented lack ...
»Atlas Shrugged, Net Neutrality, and Government Controlled Science
There’s an amazing article by Robert Tracinski at TheFederalist.com which draws powerful paral ...
»Most Spectacular Auroras of this Solar Cycle Last Night
Last night’s aurora event is being described by many as the most spectacular of this solar cyc ...
»St. Pat’s Day Greeted with Green Aurora, Severe Geomagnetic Storm
A coronal mass ejection (CME) from the sun just arrived at Earth this morning, producing aurora and ...
»What if Boston Had Record Low Snowfall?
By yesterday evening, Boston officially received its greatest seasonal snowfall on record, 108.6 inc ...
»Even Though Warming Has Stopped, it Keeps Getting Worse?
I was updating a U.S. Corn Belt summer temperature and precipitation dataset from the NCDC website, ...
»Worst Dust Storm in 12 Years Hits Oman
A spectacular satellite view of the dust storm that hit portions of Oman yesterday. High winds comin ...
»Extraordinary Color View of Eastern U.S. Snow Cover
Much of the Eastern U.S. finally had a clear day yesterday (March 6, 2015) , allowing the NASA MODIS ...


Date published: Sat, 21 Mar 2015 12:30:50 +0000
Details

»Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...
»When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress
One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the cu ...
»Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather”
I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition.  It desc ...
»HydroInfra: Scam! Investment Honeypot for Climate Alarmists
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. I got an email today from some random Gmail account asking me to write ...
»Presentation: The Science of the Skeptic Position
Here is the most recent version of my presentation “Don’t Panic: The Science of the Clim ...
»Switching Back to Disqus
For a variety of reasons, I had to turn off Disqus a while back.  We are going back to it for commen ...


Date published: Mon, 09 Feb 2015 17:37:18 +0000
Details




Date published: not known
Details

»Jones and Dixon Refute Conspiracy Theorist Lewandowsky
Jonathan Jones and Ruth Dixon have published (see Ruth’s blog here) a comment  in Psychologica ...
»Reductio ad mannium
The new article by Rahmstorf and Mann (see RC here) has been criticized at WUWT (here here) for maki ...
»How Weaver Ignored Corcoran’s Segue
Four of the incidents in J Burke’s background chronology in Weaver v National Post (the Januar ...
»The implications for climate sensitivity of Bjorn Stevens’ new aerosol forcing paper
A guest post by Nicholas Lewis  In a paper published last year (Lewis & Curry 2014), discussed h ...
»Weaver: “I do not lobby for more climate funding”
J Burke’s decision contains a chronology of prior interactions between Weaver and National Pos ...
»Another Upside-Down PAGES2K Non-Corrigendum
Kaufman and McKay recently and quietly issued an Arctic2K correction file at NOAA xls here that conc ...
»Weaver’s Next Generation Climate Model: Breaking News!!
According to the University of Victoria, Andrew Weaver says: the next generation of his climate mode ...
»Weaver Suggests Buddy Review for Mann et al 2005
Coauthors of Rutherford et al (J Climate 2005) (pdf) were Rutherford, Mann, Bradley, Hughes, Jones, ...
»Brandon’s ebook on the Hockey Stick
  A couple of years ago, Brandon Shollenberger  wrote up a lengthy review of Mann’s Hocke ...
»Josh: Andrew, Put on your big boy pants
    Josh portrays what a sensible decision in Weaver v National Post would have looked lik ...


Date published: Fri, 27 Mar 2015 22:37:40 +0000
Details

»Effects of Ocean Acidification on Marine Bivalves
As the air's CO2 content rises in response to ever-increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions, and as mo ...
»Effects of Ocean Acidification on Marine Bacteria
Cyanobacteria-also known as blue-green algae, blue-green bacteria or Cyanophyta (the smallest of whi ...
»Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Global Effect of Greenhouse-gas Emission Limits in the State of Utah
In this report, we review the long-term climate history of Utah and find little in the way of eviden ...
»Experimental Artifacts of Free-Air-C02-Enrichment (FACE) Studies
In a provocative paper they entitled "Food for Thought: Lower-Than-Expected Crop Yield Stimulation w ...
»The Extinction Risk for Stationary Plants
In addition to migrating to more suitable locations, Earth’s plants have other ways of successfully ...
»Benefits of Atmospheric C02 Enrichment on Strawberries
Nearly all agricultural plants benefit from increases in the air's CO2 content and strawberry (Fraga ...
»Forest Growth Responses to Increasing Temperatures
It has been claimed that CO2-induced global warming will be so great and so rapid that many of Earth ...
»Stop Climate Fear Mongering
The massively funded international global warming movement has grossly exaggerated the threat from C ...
»Was 2014 the Warmest Year on Record? No, It Wasn't...
Nature trumpets “2014 was the hottest year on record,” citing the Japan Meteorological Agency, the W ...
»Problems with Model Predictions of Species Extinctions
The world's climate alarmists contend that CO2-induced global warming will lead to numerous extincti ...


Date published: Fri, 27 Mar 2015 23:43:15 +0000
Details

»Australian Bureau of Meteorology rain Outlooks – failure looming in March and flip-flop confusion for April
In late February the BoM forecast March and April rain as follows. Now rain to date for March (1st t ...
»Collected articles by David Archibald – Climate, Defence, Geostratigic, Liquid Fuel Security, Civilisation
I always enjoy reading what David has to say – here are links to his writings. His book ...
»Reading The ANZUS Treaty
Guest post from David Archibald – Senator David Johnston’s dismissal as Australia’s Defence Mi ...
»Bearing in mind Hillary Clinton’s email issues – could Al Gore run for President in 2016 ?
I am surprised this possibility is not getting more exposure. Here is a pro – And against ...
»Merchants of Doubt movie box office triumph in USA – takes $54,242 – where can I get the DVD
Would that pay for theatre hire? I can not wait to see Marc Morano in Merchants of Doubt – in ...
»A reminder of global temperature trends through geologic time
Puts where we are now in perspective. I found myself looking for paleoclimate data from Australia ...
»Grounded icebergs litter the Cape Cod coast
USA Today marvels at – Icebergs in Mass? Huge ice chunks seen on Cape Cod Does anybody know ho ...
»Is the media over-reporting the Twiggy Forrest campaign to better use water resources in northern Australia ?
The ABC reports – Andrew ‘Twiggy’ Forrest calls for harvesting of rivers, undergro ...
»The ABC hosts the BoM prattling on about a warmer than average Autumn for Canberra but ignores inconvenient fact that the BoM summer Outlook failed for the ACT region
Canberra set for warmer than average autumn due to rise in ocean temperatures: Bureau of Meteorology ...
»Giant US climate group NOAA jumps the shark claiming El Nino has arrived
NOAA: Elusive El Niño arrives – While the 30 day SOI is near neutral? In view that NOAA and ma ...


Date published: Thu, 26 Mar 2015 05:46:34 +0000
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<< Previous thread | Next thread >>   
Fact-Based Climate Debate by Lee C. Gerhard, IPCC Expert Reviewer

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Author Post
Denny
Thu Dec 17 2009, 12:26PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178





It is crucial that scientists are factually accurate when they do speak out, that they ignore media hype and maintain a clinical detachment from social or other agendas. There are facts and data that are ignored in the maelstrom of social and economic agendas swirling about Copenhagen.

Greenhouse gases and their effects are well-known. Here are some of things we know:

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• The most effective greenhouse gas is water vapor, comprising approximately 95 percent of the total greenhouse effect.

• Carbon dioxide concentration has been continually rising for nearly 100 years. It continues to rise, but carbon dioxide concentrations at present are near the lowest in geologic history.

• Temperature change correlation with carbon dioxide levels is not statistically significant.

• There are no data that definitively relate carbon dioxide levels to temperature changes.

• The greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide logarithmically declines with increasing concentration. At present levels, any additional carbon dioxide can have very little effect.

We also know a lot about Earth temperature changes:

• Global temperature changes naturally all of the time, in both directions and at many scales of intensity.

• The warmest year in the U.S. in the last century was 1934, not 1998. The U.S. has the best and most extensive temperature records in the world.

• Global temperature peaked in 1998 on the current 60-80 year cycle, and has been episodically declining ever since. This cooling absolutely falsifies claims that human carbon dioxide emissions are a controlling factor in Earth temperature.

• Voluminous historic records demonstrate the Medieval Climate Optimum (MCO) was real and that the “hockey stick” graphic that attempted to deny that fact was at best bad science. The MCO was considerably warmer than the end of the 20th century.

• During the last 100 years, temperature has both risen and fallen, including the present cooling. All the changes in temperature of the last 100 years are in normal historic ranges, both in absolute value and, most importantly, rate of change.

Contrary to many public statements:

• Effects of temperature change are absolutely independent of the cause of the temperature change.

• Global hurricane, cyclonic and major storm activity is near 30-year lows. Any increase in cost of damages by storms is a product of increasing population density in vulnerable areas such as along the shores and property value inflation, not due to any increase in frequency or severity of storms.

• Polar bears have survived and thrived over periods of extreme cold and extreme warmth over hundreds of thousands of years — extremes far in excess of modern temperature changes.

• The 2009 minimum Arctic ice extent was significantly larger than the previous two years. The 2009 Antarctic maximum ice extent was significantly above the 30-year average. There are only 30 years of records.

• Rate and magnitude of sea level changes observed during the last 100 years are within normal historical ranges. Current sea level rise is tiny and, at most, justifies a prediction of perhaps ten centimeters rise in this century.

The present climate debate is a classic conflict between data and computer programs. The computer programs are the source of concern over climate change and global warming, not the data. Data are measurements. Computer programs are artificial constructs.

Public announcements use a great deal of hyperbole and inflammatory language. For instance, the word “ever” is misused by media and in public pronouncements alike. It does not mean “in the last 20 years,“ or “the last 70 years.” “Ever” means the last 4.5 billion years.

For example, some argue that the Arctic is melting, with the warmest-ever temperatures. One should ask, “How long is ever?” The answer is since 1979. And then ask, “Is it still warming?” The answer is unequivocally “No.” Earth temperatures are cooling. Similarly, the word “unprecedented” cannot be legitimately used to describe any climate change in the last 8,000 years.

There is not an unlimited supply of liquid fuels. At some point, sooner or later, global oil production will decline, and transportation costs will become insurmountable if we do not develop alternative energy sources. However, those alternative energy sources do not now exist.

A legislated reduction in energy use or significant increase in cost will severely harm the global economy and force a reduction in the standard of living in the United States. It is time we spent the research dollars to invent an order-of-magnitude better solar converter and an order-of-magnitude better battery. Once we learn how to store electrical energy, we can electrify transportation. But these are separate issues. Energy conversion is not related to climate change science.

I have been a reviewer of the last two IPCC reports, one of the several thousand scientists who purportedly are supporters of the IPCC view that humans control global temperature. Nothing could be further from the truth. Many of us try to bring better and more current science to the IPCC, but we usually fail. Recently we found out why. The whistleblower release of e-mails and files from the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University has demonstrated scientific malfeasance and a sickening violation of scientific ethics.

If the game of Russian roulette with the environment that Adrian Melott contends is going on, is it how will we feed all the people when the cold of the inevitable Little Ice Age returns? It will return. We just don’t know when.

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