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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

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» New Antarctic Temperature Reconstruction

» Reconciling Model-Observation Reconciliations

» Part 2- The TV5 Monde Hack and APT28

» From Nigerian Scams to DNC Hack Attribution – Part 1

» Guccifer 2: From January to May, 2016

» Guccifer 2 and “Russian” Metadata

» Guccifer 2 Email Time Zone

» Time Zone of Guccifer 2 cf.7z

» Email Dates in the Wikileaks DNC Archive

» Arctic Lake Sediments: Reply to JEG

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Global Warming News

» Leaked Clean Power Plan Repeal Proposal

» Documents Pertinent to the Nomination of Jeffrey Bossert Clark for AAG DOJ ENRD

» SJW-day at COP22

» Clean Power Plan: EPA’s Updated Base Case Now Tallies with EIA Data

» Clean Power Plan Oral Argument Transcript Available Here!

» President Obama and Chinese President Xi will officially join the Paris Climate Treaty on 3rd September

» South China Morning Post reports: China and US to ratify landmark Paris climate deal ahead of G20 summit, sources reveal

» Posting: Little-Known Documents Pertinent to Assessing the Legality of EPA’s Clean Energy Incentive Program

» Kyoto-Financed Cook Stoves Fail as Health/Climate “Intervention”

» CEQ Finalizes NEPA Guidance for Greenhouse Gases: Will Pointless Keystone XL Controversy Become ‘New Normal’?

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Headlines

»Climate change will make Bearded Dragons dumber
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»Climate Statistician: Don’t confuse science with modeling – It’s Kathleen Hartnett White, not Ed Markey, Who’s Right on Climate Models


Date published: Sat, 25 Nov 2017 03:16:34 +0000
Details

»Trump Wrongly Blamed for Destroying Sea Ice Satellite
No, Our Ability to Monitor Sea Ice Has Not Ended Yesterday, The Guardian ran a story with the headli ...
»UAH Global Temperature Update for October 2017: +0.63 deg. C
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for October, 2017 was +0. ...
»UAH Global Temperature Update for September, 2017: +0.54 deg. C
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for September, 2017 was +0.54 deg. C, up from the August, 2017 value of +0.41 deg. C (click for full size version): The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 21 months are: YEAR MO GLOBE NHEM. SHEM. […]
»The Monty Hall Problem: There Is No Correct Answer
A diversion from global warming topics. The simple little probability problem below has apparently b ...
»The 11-Year Major Hurricane Drought: Much More Unusual than Two Cat 4 Strikes
Weather.com published an article noting that the two Cat 4 hurricane strikes this year (Harvey and I ...
»Cracks in the Empire’s Armor Appear
Yesterday brought widespread news coverage of a new “study” published in Nature Geoscien ...
»Inevitable Disaster: Why Hurricanes Can’t Be Blamed On Global Warming
Partly in response to the crazy claims of the usual global warming experts (Stevie Wonder, Beyonc ...
»UAH Global Temperature Update for August, 2017: +0.41 deg. C
The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for August, 2017 was +0.4 ...
»Houston Area Flooding Seen from Space
Today the skies cleared enough to see the huge amount of water flowing out of southeast Texas and Ho ...
»Texas Major Hurricane Intensity Not Related to Gulf Water Temperatures
As the Houston flood disaster is unfolding, there is considerable debate about whether Hurricane Har ...


Date published: Mon, 06 Nov 2017 12:29:26 +0000
Details

»My Climate Plan, Wherein a Climate Skeptic Actually Advocates for A Carbon Tax
I am always amazed at how people like to draw conclusions about what I write merely from the title, ...
»Come See My Climate Talk on Wednesday Evening, February 24, at Claremont-McKenna College
I am speaking on Wednesday night at the Athenaeum at Claremont-McKenna College near Pomona on Wednes ...
»US Average Temperature Trends in Context
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. There was some debate a while back around about a temperature chart so ...
»Revisiting (Yet Again) Hansen’s 1998 Forecast on Global Warming to Congress
I want to briefly revisit Hansen’s 1998 Congressional forecast.  Yes, I and many others have c ...
»Matt Ridley: What the Climate Wars Did to Science
I cannot recommend Matt Ridley’s new article strongly enough.  It covers a lot of ground be he ...
»Manual Adjustments in the Temperature Record
I have been getting inquiries from folks asking me what I think about stories like this one, where P ...
»Mistaking Cyclical Variations for the Trend
I titled my very first climate video “What is Normal,” alluding to the fact that climate ...
»Typhoons and Hurricanes
(Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is h ...
»Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This
This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask oursel ...
»Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position
I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementall ...


Date published: Fri, 18 Mar 2016 16:20:20 +0000
Details

»M4GW Makes Inconvenient Music Video
In honor of Al Gore’s new movie Elmer and the M4GW players have come back to lambaste Al one m ...
»Top Ten Reasons Why Trump Should Dump The Paris Agreement
By Elmer Beauregard 1. The Globe Isn’t Warming. In fact the earth has cooled by almost 1 degre ...
»Hearing- Climate Science: Assumptions, Policy Implications, and the Scientific Method
Dr. Judith Curry President, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Professor Emeritus, Georgia Insti ...
»EPA chief Scott Pruitt says carbon dioxide is not a primary contributor to global warming
CNBC.com Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt said Thursday he does not believ ...
»Elmer’s PowerPoint Presentation – Confessions of a Graphic Designer
By Elmer Beauregard I decided to put part of my PowerPoint presentation online. As a Graphic designe ...


Date published: Mon, 14 Aug 2017 20:43:59 +0000
Details

»New Antarctic Temperature Reconstruction
Stenni et al (2017), Antarctic climate variability on regional and continental scales over the last ...
»Reconciling Model-Observation Reconciliations
Two very different representations of consistency between models and observations are popularly circ ...
»Part 2- The TV5 Monde Hack and APT28
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»From Nigerian Scams to DNC Hack Attribution – Part 1
In Crowdstrike’s original announcement that “Russia” had hacked the DNC, Dmitri Al ...
»Guccifer 2: From January to May, 2016
Within the small community conducting technical analysis of the DNC hack, there has been ongoing con ...
»Guccifer 2 and “Russian” Metadata
The DHS-FBI intel assessment of the DNC hack concluded with “high confidence” that Gucci ...
»Guccifer 2 Email Time Zone
One of the major differences between Mr FOIA and Guccifer 2 is the latter’s use of email to co ...
»Time Zone of Guccifer 2 cf.7z
In a recent post, I observed that the majority of the emails in the Wikileaks DNC archive were sent ...
»Email Dates in the Wikileaks DNC Archive
Yesterday, Scott Ritter published a savage and thorough critique of the role of Dmitri Alperovitch a ...
»Arctic Lake Sediments: Reply to JEG
Julien Emile-Geay (JEG) submitted a lengthy comment concluding with the tasteless observation that ...


Date published: Sat, 25 Nov 2017 10:06:08 +0000
Details




Date published: not known
Details

»BoM does not correct colossal rainfall errors
In September I blogged More sloppy BoM errors as the rain-guage Alanadale in Gippsland went troppo. ...
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While checking end of October rainfall numbers at Perth water supply dams – I looked in at 2.5 ...
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There are two temperature series for Cape Bruny on the southern tip of Tasmania. CAPE BRUNY LIGHTHOU ...
»BoM says Hobart October 2017 was the warmest ever
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»Australian BoM October rain Outlook disaster
Could have done better – miniscule areas with above average rain predicted but it looks as if ...


Date published: Fri, 24 Nov 2017 20:09:17 +0000
Details
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Fact-Based Climate Debate by Lee C. Gerhard, IPCC Expert Reviewer

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Author Post
Denny
Thu Dec 17 2009, 12:26PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178





It is crucial that scientists are factually accurate when they do speak out, that they ignore media hype and maintain a clinical detachment from social or other agendas. There are facts and data that are ignored in the maelstrom of social and economic agendas swirling about Copenhagen.

Greenhouse gases and their effects are well-known. Here are some of things we know:

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• The most effective greenhouse gas is water vapor, comprising approximately 95 percent of the total greenhouse effect.

• Carbon dioxide concentration has been continually rising for nearly 100 years. It continues to rise, but carbon dioxide concentrations at present are near the lowest in geologic history.

• Temperature change correlation with carbon dioxide levels is not statistically significant.

• There are no data that definitively relate carbon dioxide levels to temperature changes.

• The greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide logarithmically declines with increasing concentration. At present levels, any additional carbon dioxide can have very little effect.

We also know a lot about Earth temperature changes:

• Global temperature changes naturally all of the time, in both directions and at many scales of intensity.

• The warmest year in the U.S. in the last century was 1934, not 1998. The U.S. has the best and most extensive temperature records in the world.

• Global temperature peaked in 1998 on the current 60-80 year cycle, and has been episodically declining ever since. This cooling absolutely falsifies claims that human carbon dioxide emissions are a controlling factor in Earth temperature.

• Voluminous historic records demonstrate the Medieval Climate Optimum (MCO) was real and that the “hockey stick” graphic that attempted to deny that fact was at best bad science. The MCO was considerably warmer than the end of the 20th century.

• During the last 100 years, temperature has both risen and fallen, including the present cooling. All the changes in temperature of the last 100 years are in normal historic ranges, both in absolute value and, most importantly, rate of change.

Contrary to many public statements:

• Effects of temperature change are absolutely independent of the cause of the temperature change.

• Global hurricane, cyclonic and major storm activity is near 30-year lows. Any increase in cost of damages by storms is a product of increasing population density in vulnerable areas such as along the shores and property value inflation, not due to any increase in frequency or severity of storms.

• Polar bears have survived and thrived over periods of extreme cold and extreme warmth over hundreds of thousands of years — extremes far in excess of modern temperature changes.

• The 2009 minimum Arctic ice extent was significantly larger than the previous two years. The 2009 Antarctic maximum ice extent was significantly above the 30-year average. There are only 30 years of records.

• Rate and magnitude of sea level changes observed during the last 100 years are within normal historical ranges. Current sea level rise is tiny and, at most, justifies a prediction of perhaps ten centimeters rise in this century.

The present climate debate is a classic conflict between data and computer programs. The computer programs are the source of concern over climate change and global warming, not the data. Data are measurements. Computer programs are artificial constructs.

Public announcements use a great deal of hyperbole and inflammatory language. For instance, the word “ever” is misused by media and in public pronouncements alike. It does not mean “in the last 20 years,“ or “the last 70 years.” “Ever” means the last 4.5 billion years.

For example, some argue that the Arctic is melting, with the warmest-ever temperatures. One should ask, “How long is ever?” The answer is since 1979. And then ask, “Is it still warming?” The answer is unequivocally “No.” Earth temperatures are cooling. Similarly, the word “unprecedented” cannot be legitimately used to describe any climate change in the last 8,000 years.

There is not an unlimited supply of liquid fuels. At some point, sooner or later, global oil production will decline, and transportation costs will become insurmountable if we do not develop alternative energy sources. However, those alternative energy sources do not now exist.

A legislated reduction in energy use or significant increase in cost will severely harm the global economy and force a reduction in the standard of living in the United States. It is time we spent the research dollars to invent an order-of-magnitude better solar converter and an order-of-magnitude better battery. Once we learn how to store electrical energy, we can electrify transportation. But these are separate issues. Energy conversion is not related to climate change science.

I have been a reviewer of the last two IPCC reports, one of the several thousand scientists who purportedly are supporters of the IPCC view that humans control global temperature. Nothing could be further from the truth. Many of us try to bring better and more current science to the IPCC, but we usually fail. Recently we found out why. The whistleblower release of e-mails and files from the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University has demonstrated scientific malfeasance and a sickening violation of scientific ethics.

If the game of Russian roulette with the environment that Adrian Melott contends is going on, is it how will we feed all the people when the cold of the inevitable Little Ice Age returns? It will return. We just don’t know when.

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