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World Climate Report

» A Classic Tale of Global Warming Alarmism

» More Evidence Against a Methane Time Bomb

» Agriculture: Tropical Cyclones are Welcome Visitors

» Sea Level Acceleration: Not so Fast

» Hansen Is Wrong

» Earth’s Carbon Sink Still Strong and Growing

» Wild Speculation on Climate and Polar Bears

» Illiteracy at NASA

» The Heat Was On—Before Urbanization and Greenhouse Gases

» What’s to Blame for the Rains on the Plains?

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NewsBusters - Global Warming

» CNN's Blitzer: 'I Don't Remember' Biden's Law School Plagiarism

» CNN's Chetry: 'Please Tell Me It's Not Lipstick Again'

» MRC Report Asks: Why No Fairness Doctrine for PBS?

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Science and Public Policy Institute

» Tropical Trees

» Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity

» Rewriting Sunspot History

» Analysis of the Second Order Draft of the Working I Contribution to IPCC 5AR

» The Economics of Biofuels

» The Warming-Induced Evolution of Terrestrial Plants

» Medieval Warm Period in Southern Europe

» Effects of Elevated C02 on the Stomatal Conductance of Agricultural Crops

» Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Warming

» Medieval Warm Period in Central Europe

» Growth Response of Grassland Species to Elevated C02 When Water Stressed

» Effects of Increased C02 on Herbaceous Plant Pests

» Medieval Warm Period in Northern Europe

» Loblolly Pines Defy the Progressive Nitrogen Hypothesis

» Response of Crustaceans to Ocean Warming

» Energy Inefficiencies of Biofuels

» Response of Marine Plants to Changes in Temperature

» Biofuels: The Carbon Debt They Owe

» Medieval Warm Period in Japan

» Response of Corals to Ocean Acidification

» Interactive Effects of C02 and Water Stress on the Growth of Woody Plant Species

» Biofuels: Land and Water Concerns

» Medieval Warm Period in Upper North America

» Can Plants Evolve Fast Enough to Cope with Increased Drought?

» Health Promoting Effects of Elevated C02 on Common Food Plants

***
Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr. Research Group

» Roger Pielke Sr. is now on Twitter!

» 2012 Climate Science Weblog in Review by Dallas Jean Staley – A Guest Post

» The Weblog Is Retiring

» Publication Of “Reply to “Comment On ‘Ocean Heat Content And Earth’s Radiation Imbalance. II. Relation To Climate Shifts’ ” by Nuccitelli Et Al. By Douglass and Knox 2012

» Q&A From A Group Of Retired NASA Personnel And Associates

» The Importance of Land Use/Land Practices On Climate – A Perspective From Jon Foley

» Interview With James Wynn In The English Department At Carnegie Mellon University

» University Of Alabama At Huntsville October 2012 Lower Tropospheric Temperature Analysis

» USA Election Day 2012

» New Paper “Climatic Variability Over Time Scales Spanning Nine Orders of Magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch Cycles With Hurst–Kolmogorov Dynamics” By Markonis And Koutsoyiannis

***


» Inventory of Hide-the-Decline

» Another Porky from Mann, Williams and Fontaine

» The Original Hide-the-Decline

» Mann’s New Memorandum

» Rule N revisited

» Who Wrote EPA’s “Myths vs Facts”?

» Mannomatic smoothing: technical details

» Who wrote the EPA documents?

» Misrepresentations and the Tainted Narrative of Mann’s Complaint

» The “Discovery” of the EPA Inquiry

***
Watts Up With That?

» Sierra Club and Sierra Club Foundation Accused of Tax Law Violations

» Claim: Tornadoes occurring earlier in “Tornado Alley”

» NCSE: Texas schoolbooks should stick to the climate dogma

» Decrying “Wishful Science” on NPR(!)

» A new professional society for meteorology and climatology is announced

» Obama’s Lonely Climate Summit – world leaders are staying home

» August 2014 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Update

» And then they came for The Holocene: New paper suggests “removing the Holocene Epoch from the geologic timescale”

» Weather, Climate, Arctic Ice And The Franklin Expedition

» Report – emails reveal ‘collusion’ with green activist groups over EPA climate agenda

» NASA GISS Tweaks the Short-Term Global Temperature Trend Upwards

» Claim: New Antarctic sea-ice extent due to wind and ‘atmospheric warming’ – what warming?

***
Global Warming News

» EPA to Regulate CO2 Emissions from Aircraft

» Secretary of State John Kerry Explains the Greenhouse Effect

» Rising CO2 Concentrations: No Measureable Impact on Floods, Droughts, and Storms

» MIT Study: EPA “Carbon Pollution” Rule Will Not Incentivize Investment In Carbon Capture Technology

» Model Projections Too Hot Over 55-Year Period – Study

» EPA’s 52nd Takeover of State Regulatory Program Provides Perfect Segue to New Paper on Cooperative Federalism in the Obama Age

» EPA’s Staff Recommends Lower Ozone Standard, But it Doesn’t Matter, Because EPA Has No Say

» Separation of Powers Alert: Obama Seeks Climate ‘Treaty’ without Senate Ratification

» Social Cost of Carbon: GAO Report Ignores Pro-Regulation Bias

» Increase in Reported UK Floods Due to Population Growth, Not Climate Change – Study

***
Fox News - Climate Change Stories

***
Michelle Malkin - Enviro-Nitwits

» Actor Leonardo DiCarbonFootprint named ‘UN Messenger of Peace on Climate Change’

» Global warming causing Al Gore’s predictions to melt at an alarming rate

» Faces of climate change: Maybe pictures of ‘scared scientists’ will convert deniers

» Al Gore sues Al Jazeera for fair share of Big Oil cash so he can keep saving the planet from Big Oil greed

» Horror at 30,000 feet: ‘Mr. Climate’ John Kerry forced to fly commercial after private jet problems

***
DailyTech Michael Asher`s blog

» Will the Real Antarctica Please Stand Up?

» Global Warming May Decrease Hurricanes, Research Suggests

» Japanese Report Disputes Human Cause for Global Warming

» Sea Ice Ends Year at Same Level as 1979

» A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the (Climate) Forum

» Climate Report Downgrades Ice Loss; Media Reports Opposite

» Princeton Physicist Calls Global Warming Science "Mistaken"

» Defying Predictions, Sea Level Rise Begins to Slow

» Electric Car Sales in Freefall; Industry Risks Collapse

» Glaciers in Norway Growing Again

***
C3 - Climate Cycles Change

» The Scientific Case Against The Mythical CO2 "Climate Control" Knob Is Indisputable

» The “Experts” Accelerating Global Warming 'Pause' Excuse List Hits 50

» Climate Physics Dictates That CO2-Warming Shrinks: 165 Years Later, It Approaches Zero

» Top 5 Reasons The 'Catastrophic Global Warming' Hysteria Has Failed

» Memo To GOP Elites: Stop The Climate-Liars...Crush The Dems' Hysteria With Science Facts

» NASA/GISS Provides Proof That CO2 Growth Does Not Produce Runaway, Tipping Point Global Warming

» Democrats Believe Antarctica Is Melting - Oops, Scientists Confirm South Pole Is Now Colder

» Compulsive Climate Change Obsession - A Mental Disorder Recognized Close To 150 Years Ago With No Cure In Sight Yet

» New: 'The Global Warming War' Documentary Movie: Free Access If You Move Quickly

» What Do Elections, pH Levels, Oysters, Democrat Politicians & CO2 Have in Common? Crony-Capitalism, Of Course

» It's A 97% Consensus: Accelerating Reasons For Global Warming 'Pause' Climbs To 40

» Multi-$Billion Climate Models Continue To Be Abysmal Failures; Low-Cost, Non-CO2 Model Kicks Butt

» The 'Sick-Fųck' Club: Greg Blanchette, One Very Deranged Climate Change Alarmist

» More Climate Model Failure: CO2-Based Computer Simulations Prove They Can't Predict Great Lakes' Water Levels

» Experts Now Think They Have Answer To World's Frequent Climate Changes: Oceans

***
CATO - Global Warming

» Why the Pentagon Should Care about Scotland's Referendum

» Paying the Health-Care Piper

» The Obama Administration's Member-less Coalition against the Islamic State: What Good Are Allies Anyway?

» Struggles to Protect Free Speech on Our College Campuses Continue

» Again, The House Punts on Fiscal Reform

» The Islamic State Will Probably be Defeated, but It’s Not Thanks to President Obama

» Scottish Independence Is for Scots, Not Others, to Decide

» Climate Change and the False Case for Haste

» Winning Issues That Aren’t Just about 'Not Obama'

» Fighting ISIL is Not America's War: Other Countries Should Lead Coalition against Islamic State

» Is Obama Abusing the Constitution to Combat ISIS?

» Should Scotland Declare Its Independence?

» A Trenchant Yet Flawed Analysis of American Foreign Policy

» Ghosts of Imperialist Wars Past: China's Tourist Hot Spots Today

» Turks Sould Lead ISIS Fight

» Obama's Plan Has Nothing New or Strategic

» A New War Can't Fix What Ails Iraq

» No, We Shouldn’t Have Stayed in Iraq – and "History" is Not on our Side if We Go Back

» Terrifying Senate Democrats Vote to Give Political Speech Less Protection than Pornography

» An Important Court Victory for Parents and Taxpayers

» Should Scotland Secede from the United Kingdom?

» US Spy Planes Monitoring China at Close Range: Legal, But Unwise

» Nation Building Isn’t Needed to Fight ISIS

» President Obama's Delayed Action on Immigration Is Part of a Long Pattern

» The Swept-Under-the-Rug costs of the Ex-Im Bank

***
CanadaFreePress - Global Warming

» Obama Delays Climate Plan Until After November Elections

» Climate Change Crowd Moves Goalposts – Again

» Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry warns of decades of possible global cooling

***
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Headlines

»Blackout: Power Goes Off During House Climate Hearing with Obama Science Czar John Holdren — Lights blink on and off and stay off for almost a minute
Exclusive Video & Photos
»Bobby Jindal Blasts Obama Energy Team As ‘Science Deniers’
»Jindal: Climate change a ‘Trojan horse’ for the left
»Bobby Jindal’s Soft Climate-Change Skepticism
'Nobody disputes that the climate is always changing. The question is what is the role of humans in ...
»A new professional society for meteorology and climatology is announced – The Open Atmospheric Society
»Obama Delays Climate Plan Until After November Elections
»Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry warns of decades of possible global cooling: Suggests the ‘current cool phase will continue until the 2030s’
Curry, the climate 'heretic' who converted from warmist to challenging the 'consensus' speaks ...
»UN Names Leonardo DiCaprio ‘UN Messenger of Peace on Climate Change’
DiCaprio: 'It’s an honor to accept the role of UN Messenger of Peace on Climate Change and to suppor ...
»Spooky Pause…Solar Activity Now Has Leading German (Warmist) Science Journalist Asking About ‘Threat Of A Little Ice Age’
»‘Global warming likely to cause colder and snowier winters’, scientists say


Date published: Wed, 17 Sep 2014 16:38:15 +0000
Details

»10 Ways To Tell Tuesday’s UN Climate Summit Isn’t About Climate
Next Tuesday’s UN climate conference in NYC (called Climate Summit 2014) is for politicians, celebri ...
»What if the Global Warming “Pause” was “Fast Forward” Instead?
I’d like to take you through a little thought experiment. We all know that global warming has been o ...
»Spectacular Aurora Across Scandinavia
The best photos from last night’s K=7 auroral displays are coming in from Scandinavia. Check t ...
»The Aurora Reached Arizona Last Night!
As predicted, the first of two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the sun produced some good aurora ...
»Tonight’s Aurora Could Reach Southern States
The first of a pair of solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from sunspot AR2158 is supposed to reach ...
»Water Vapor Feedback and the Global Warming Pause
Global warming is the predicted result of increasing atmospheric CO2 causing a very small (~1-2%) de ...
»Sept. 21, NYC: The People’s Frozen Climate March?
It seems more than appropriate that the Gore Effect might be in full swing in NYC on Sept. 21 when c ...
»September Snow in Seven States over Seven Days
Sunday update: make that eight states. Looks like September snows — not even mountain snows ...
»Explosive Eruption of Mount Tavurvur, Up Close and Personal
This is amazing video (with sound) of the recent explosive eruption of Mount Tavurvur in Papua New G ...
»At the Crossroads: Energy and Climate Policy Summit
I will be appearing at a 2-day conference called At the Crossroads: Energy and Climate Policy Summit ...


Date published: Wed, 17 Sep 2014 11:46:07 +0000
Details

»Testing Blog Cross-Post 2
again
»Reconciling Conflicting Climate Claims
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog At Real Science, Steven Goddard claims this is the coolest summer on re ...
»Computer Models as “Evidence”
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog The BBC has decided not to every talk to climate skeptics again, in par ...
»Another Plea to Global Warming Alarmists on the Phrase “Climate Denier”
Cross-posted from Coyoteblog Stop calling me and other skeptics “climate deniers“.  No o ...
»My Thoughts on Steven Goddard and His Fabricated Temperature Data Claim
Cross-posted from Coyote Blog. Steven Goddard of the Real Science blog has a study that claims that ...
»The Thought Experiment That First Made Me A Climate Skeptic
Please check out my Forbes post today.  Here is how it begins: Last night, the accumulated years of ...
»Explaining the Flaw in Kevin Drum’s (and Apparently Science Magazine’s) Climate Chart
Cross-Posted from Coyoteblog I won’t repeat the analysis, you need to see it here.  Here is th ...
»If You Don’t Like People Saying That Climate Science is Absurd, Stop Publishing Absurd Un-Scientific Charts
Reprinted from Coyoteblog science a “myth”.  As is usual for global warming supporters, ...
»Update On My Climate Model (Spoiler: It’s Doing a Lot Better than the Pros)
Cross posted from Coyoteblog In this post, I want to discuss my just-for-fun model of global tempera ...
»Climate Goundhog Day
I posted something like this over at my other blog but I suppose I should post it here as well.  Fol ...


Date published: Tue, 16 Sep 2014 22:33:21 +0000
Details

»Leading Climate Scientist Defects: No Longer Believes in the ‘Consensus’
By James Delingpole - One of the world’s most eminent climate scientists – for several d ...
»Global Warming and Settled Science
By Andre Lofthus The AGW community would have you believe that the science in favor of AGW is settle ...
»The Tragedy of Earth Day
By Doug L. Hoffman - It is Earth Day today, a chance for all tree huggers, green activists and other ...
»Climate scientist’s emails are shielded from disclosure, Virginia Supreme Court says
By Debra Cassens Weiss - The Virginia Supreme Court has ruled that a climate scientist’s emails are ...
»Global Warming’s Upside-Down Narrative
By Bjorn Lomborg - When politicians around the world tell the story of global warming, they cast it ...


Date published: Thu, 08 May 2014 20:29:04 +0000
Details

»Inventory of Hide-the-Decline
In a recent post, I reported on the diagram in Jones 1998 (Science), which pushed hide-the-decline a ...
»Another Porky from Mann, Williams and Fontaine
Jean S has spotted a highly amusing entry in Mann’s CV. The entry yields yet another porky in ...
»The Original Hide-the-Decline
In a twitter exchange among Jean S, Ronan Connolley and Tim Osborn, Ronan drew attention to an early ...
»Mann’s New Memorandum
Michael Mann’s reply brief in the Court of Appeals has been posted here. Its main points are very si ...
»Rule N revisited
PCA was also performed on certain proxy sub-networks (spatially dense regional networks of tree-ring ...
»Who Wrote EPA’s “Myths vs Facts”?
The Mann Statement of Claim prominently displayed, as one of only two quotations from the “inq ...
»Mannomatic smoothing: technical details
This post is rather technical, and it is intended mainly for the historical completeness. So unless ...
»Who wrote the EPA documents?
Jean S writes (transferred from a comment with the addition of a few headings): A question for the e ...
»Misrepresentations and the Tainted Narrative of Mann’s Complaint
In a recent post, I observed that Mann’s Statement of Claim contained a bizarre misrepresentat ...
»The “Discovery” of the EPA Inquiry
One of the essential elements in Mann’s reliance on EPA findings is his assertion that his sup ...


Date published: Wed, 17 Sep 2014 16:11:15 +0000
Details

»Tropical Trees
Going back in time to the final few years of the 20th century, Schaffer et al. (1997) grew two mango ...
»Global Temperatures and Biospheric Productivity
Among the many climate-alarmist fears of CO2-induced global warming is the concern that the producti ...
»Rewriting Sunspot History
In 2006, when I first made the mistake of writing publicly of my doubts about the Party Line on manm ...
»Analysis of the Second Order Draft of the Working I Contribution to IPCC 5AR
This new review is unlike the previous analysis because it focuses not only on a statistical analysi ...
»The Economics of Biofuels
Aside from rejecting biofuel expansion and use for environmental reasons (see Biofuels (Land and Wat ...
»The Warming-Induced Evolution of Terrestrial Plants
One of the grandest of catastrophes that climate alarmists contend will result from CO2-induced glob ...
»Medieval Warm Period in Southern Europe
Was there really a global Medieval Warm Period? The IPCC used to acknowledge there was; but they hav ...
»Effects of Elevated C02 on the Stomatal Conductance of Agricultural Crops
As the air's CO2 content continues to rise, nearly all plants will respond by reducing their leaf st ...
»Response of Various Marine Animals to Ocean Warming
According to the IPCC, CO2-induced global warming will be net harmful to the world's marine species. ...
»Medieval Warm Period in Central Europe
Was there really a global Medieval Warm Period? The IPCC used to acknowledge there was; but they hav ...


Date published: Wed, 17 Sep 2014 17:31:06 +0000
Details

»Global warming drives New Zealand Fur Seals into South Australian lower lakes to enjoy the fishing
Saw this on the ABC – Fishermen losing out to seals in SA’s lower lakes – global w ...
»Is the Australian landscape in such a bad condition that we should be paying out multi-$Billions on tree planting etc?
Seeing this article – Former Governor General calls for Cabinet shakeup on land management ...
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List of grants let by the Department of the Environment Under the Commonwealth Grant Guidelines the ...
»Australian Bureau of Meteorology ACORN warming adjustment to Giles Met Station data do not stand up to scrutiny
The BoM has just this month added a downloadable table of ACORN adjustments to their www site. Giles ...
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Here’s what summer snow looks like – says the Calgary Herald Hopefully somebody who know ...
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Two consecutive BoM rain Outlooks are shown – both are shown to be hopelessly wrong for the Sy ...
»Kiwis are saying “foreign submarines” are invading their Exclusive Economic Zone
The Fairfax owned NZ Herald reports – Subs ‘sneaking in’ I read where there is an ...
»Australian Bureau of Meteorology winter temperature Outlooks turned out stunningly wrong again
How does the BoM get it so wrong so often? Not one square centimetre of Australia was predicted to b ...
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»NATO to form rapid reaction force – you mean they never had one already?
ABC says – NATO to form rapid reaction force to secure eastern Europe, US forms ‘core co ...


Date published: Tue, 16 Sep 2014 01:21:30 +0000
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<< Previous thread | Next thread >>   
Global Warming is Over: Don Esterbrook posted by Charlotte Ramotswe

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Denny
Mon Dec 29 2008, 04:06PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178


In 2001 geologist Don Easterbook predicted the beginning of a period of global cooling. At a recent meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco he again predicted a period of cooling based in part on correlation between past glacial fluctuations, his area of expertise, with periods of low solar irradiance and changes in the Pacific Ocean:

“GLOBAL, cyclic, decadal, climate patterns can be traced over the past millennium in glacier fluctuations, oxygen isotope ratios in ice cores, sea surface temperatures, and historic observations. The recurring climate cycles clearly show that natural climatic warming and cooling have occurred many times, long before increases in anthropogenic atmospheric CO2 levels. The Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age are well known examples of such climate changes, but in addition, at least 23 periods of climatic warming and cooling have occurred in the past 500 years. Each period of warming or cooling lasted about 25-30 years (average 27 years). Two cycles of global warming and two of global cooling have occurred during the past century, and the global cooling that has occurred since 1998 is exactly in phase with the long term pattern. Global cooling occurred from 1880 to ~1915; global warming occurred from ~1915 to ~1945; global cooling occurred from ~1945-1977;, global warming occurred from 1977 to 1998; and global cooling has occurred since 1998. All of these global climate changes show exceptionally good correlation with solar variation since the Little Ice Age 400 years ago.


The IPCC predicted global warming of 0.6° C (1° F) by 2011 and 1.2° C (2° F) by 2038, whereas Easterbrook (2001) predicted the beginning of global cooling by 2007 (± 3–5 yrs) and cooling of about 0.3–0.5° C until ~2035. The predicted cooling seems to have already begun. Recent measurements of global temperatures suggest a gradual cooling trend since 1998 and 2007–2008 was a year of sharp global cooling. The cooling trend will likely continue as the sun enters a cycle of lower irradiance and the Pacific Ocean changed from its warm mode to its cool mode.

Comparisons of historic global climate warming and cooling, glacial fluctuations, changes in warm/cool mode of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), and sun spot activity over the past century show strong correlations and provide a solid data base for future climate change projections. The announcement by NASA that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) had shifted to its cool phase is right on schedule as predicted by past climate and PDO changes (Easterbrook, 2001, 2006, 2007) and coincides with recent solar variations. The PDO typically lasts 25–30 years, virtually assuring several decades of global cooling. The IPCC predictions of global temperatures 1° F warmer by 2011, 2° F warmer by 2038, and 10° F by 2100 stand little chance of being correct. “Global warming” (i.e., the warming since 1977) is over.

The real question now is not trying to reduce atmospheric CO2 as a means of stopping global warming, but rather (1) how can we best prepare to cope with the 30 years of global cooling that is coming, (2) how cold will it get, and (3) how can we cope with the cooling during a time of exponential population increase? In 1998 when I first predicted a 30-year cooling trend during the first part of this century, I used a very conservative estimate for the depth of cooling, i.e., the 30-years of global cooling that we experienced from ~1945 to 1977. However, also likely are several other possibilities (1) the much deeper cooling that occurred during the 1880 to ~1915 cool period, (2) the still deeper cooling that took place from about 1790 to 1820 during the Dalton sunspot minimum, and (3) the drastic cooling that occurred from 1650 to 1700 during the Maunder sunspot minimum. Figure 2 shows an estimate of what each of these might look like on a projected global climate curve. The top curve is based on the 1945-1977 cool period and the 1977-1998 warm period. The curve beneath is based on the 1890-1915 cool period and 1915-1945 warm period. The bottom curve is what we might expect from a Dalton or Maunder cool period. Only time will tell where we’re headed, but any of the curves are plausible. The sun’s recent behavior suggests we are likely heading for a deeper global cooling than the 1945-1977 cool period and ought to be looking ahead to cope with it.

The good news is that global warming (i.e., the 1977-1998 warming) is over and atmospheric CO2 is not a vital issue. The bad news is that cold conditions kill more people than warm conditions, so we are in for bigger problems than we might have experienced if global warming had continued. Mortality data from 1979-2002 death certificate records show twice as many deaths directly from extreme cold than for deaths from extreme heat, 8 times as many deaths as those from floods, and 30 times as many as from hurricanes. The number of deaths indirectly related to cold is many times worse.

Depending on how cold the present 30-year cooling period gets, in addition to the higher death rates, we will have to contend with diminished growing seasons and increasing crop failures with food shortages in third world countries, increasing energy demands, changing environments, increasing medical costs from diseases (especially flu), increasing transportation costs and interruptions, and many other ramifications associated with colder climate. The degree to which we may be prepared to cope with these problems may be significantly affected by how much money we waste chasing the CO2 fantasy.

All of these problems will be exacerbated by the soaring human population. The current world population of about 6 ½ billion people is projected to increase by almost 50% during the next 30 years of global cooling (Figure 2). The problems associated with the global cooling would be bad enough at current population levels. Think what they will be with the added demands from an additional three billion people, especially if we have uselessly spent trillions of dollars needlessly trying to reduce atmospheric CO2, leaving insufficient funds to cope with the real problems.

********************************************************

Don J. Easterbrook is a geologist at the Department of Geology, Western Washington University. He has authored 8 books (including the text book Surface processes and landform Prentice Hall Publishing Co., 546 p.) ) and 150 journal publications.

This article is republished from Abstracts of American Geophysical Union annual meeting, San Francisco December, 2008.

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Anonymous
Tue Dec 30 2008, 12:02AMQuote
Guestwow, that was awesome... I can't believe the ignorance of so many people in the world when it comes to issues like "MMGW"
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Denny
Tue Dec 30 2008, 12:01PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178
Anonymous,

It is this kind of information the Alarmists do not want everyone to hear. The Biased Media will not talk about this openly, to which, I use to see both sides in one article. That was some time ago! The Internet is the only means now that tells "Our" side effectively. Plus, Anonymous, there is a lot of Money to be had out there by the Alarmists thru Our Tax Dollars at hand...
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ron
Sun Jun 28 2009, 08:53PMQuote
Registered Member #378
Joined: Sun Jun 14 2009, 09:02PM
Posts: 431
The only power left is the power of the people. When governments fail, people take matters into their own hands. I'm not justifying that, just observing it from history. From the relatively benign American Revolution to the blood-thirsty and chaotic French Revolution.

Other countries had enacted "green" legislation and were able to recant it later. I think we can do the same. We must impress upon our legislators that if they enact this craziness, that this will be their last term in office.

If I were the big oil companies, I would pull all my lobbyists back and say, fine, get elected on your own dime. See how far that gets you.
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Saber
Tue May 04 2010, 11:26AMQuote
Registered Member #528
Joined: Mon May 03 2010, 06:51PM
Posts: 9
Well, it appears this has already been disproven.
And the warming did not stop in 1998; 1998 was an exceptionally warm year, and subsequent year have been cooler than that. But, the trend still increasing.
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Denny
Tue May 04 2010, 02:18PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178
Saber, you cannot "trust" what the government states! You need to do MORE research. Read this article...and followup at the 700 peer review papers.

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Saber
Wed May 05 2010, 12:22AMQuote
Registered Member #528
Joined: Mon May 03 2010, 06:51PM
Posts: 9
But, doesn't Dr. Spencer work for the government? For NASA? So his research is government research.
The link I provided is from NASA, the same place Spencer works.
I will do research into it later (read as: tomorrow). I wrote two papers today that involved a lot of research. I tried to look up stuff for this, but I'm shot, lol.
But, can you please clarify what makes a good government source and what makes a bad one. And is the AAAS safe in your mind? How about the NAS? Those are both very highly respected scientific organizations that have been around since looooong before anything about AGW was even thought of. I personally hold them in high esteem, even though I have found articles that I dont agree with ideologically, they have a very strict peer-review and will not publish articles with bad science. If something gets by them, they will post an articles that says they messed up and [blah] is not correct.
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Denny
Wed May 05 2010, 04:07PMQuote
Registered Member #140
Joined: Sun May 11 2008, 12:38PM
Posts: 2178
Saber, you are correct! My comment yesterday should have said, "a majority" cannot be trusted. Sorry! I know I sound "biased" in my comments. Since I've been "partially" retired and started to do some "serious" research on CAGW, I've concluded that the science didn't quite fit. Especially when I noticed the CAGW scientist couldn't be including ALL the required info in their models..They think they have but seriously climate science is in it's "infancy". Sure, as the years have passed technology has started to "mature" to the point of looking at Climate Globally and to some degree "more precise". But Man has a very long way to go to effect Climate Globally since I've done my personal research, Saber. I commend you on how you are approaching this issue...

The AAAS is an organization I'm not familiar with. NAS is a respectable organization with "peer reviewed" work. I found this at their web site, an article about how Shapiro is going to lead a group to review the IPCC. Here:

I do not think they have any stance as they shouldn't being their position is suppose to be based on Science. Now Nature is another issue. They are slowly coming around since "ClimateGate" occurred in Nov. 2009. This is an happenstance Saber you most definitely want to study. I have posted a lot of articles on this subject. Plus there are some very good sites that help too.

It's good that you ask questions...Let us know, we are here to help!
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Lucidity
Wed May 05 2010, 04:32PMQuote
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Posts: 7
"The analysis, conducted by the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York City, also shows that in the Southern Hemisphere, 2009 was the warmest year since modern records began in 1880."

this is only data from modern records. As the article states, these began in 1880, but it does not account for temperature changes that have been naturally increasing and decreasing for hundreds of thousands of years. The earliest data that is known (as far as I am aware) is from Antarctic Vostok Ice Core Data. Despite the fact that this is the warmest that the earth has been since at least the late 1800s, it is most certainly not the warmest summer that has occurred on our planet.



I've researched to make sure that the source was reliable, and i ended up finding Vostock Ice core data available here as well.



Denny, I don't believe that it is plausible to discredit all government data as being false. It can most certainly have errors or formulated opinions/observations, but then again all data on the internet is rather unreliable and it is up to us to decide what is able to be trusted. You are right to check other sources, but don't disregard all the data that government based programs present. After all, the Vostok Ice Core data came from the government. ;)

Even if you meant your statement to simply encourage researching further before posting, it did sound rather inconsiderate the way it was typed.

Back on the topic of the article that this thread started with, I honestly don't believe that the warming trend has stopped. I think that we still have quite a bit of warming in front of us, but after a few hundred years the earth will start cooling down. I'd love to see if I'm correct, but I'm pretty certain I'll be dead by then c:
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Lucidity
Wed May 05 2010, 04:36PMQuote
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Sorry, guess i posted a little late. Denny beat me to it, but I'm glad you were able to clear up what you said
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Denny
Wed May 05 2010, 07:55PMQuote
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Posted: Wed May 05 2010, 09:53PM

Hi Lucidity, congrats on coming a new member here. Yes, the temperature has gone up but in very small increases. The MAIN issue is WHAT is causing CAGW?
Check out the latest posting I did today here at GWH.com I posted the article for you below...Bob Carter is someone you want to listen to...



Also, you need to read this article....http://www.globalwarminghoax.com/e107_plugins/forum/forum_viewtopic.php?1705.post

Lucidity, I recommend strongly on going into our "forums" and read what we have...If you are new to CAGW
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Denny
Wed May 05 2010, 07:57PMQuote
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Lucidity, here's the link to Bob Carter interview...



Sorry about that!!! ;-)
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Denny
Wed May 05 2010, 08:16PMQuote
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Saber & Lucidity, read this article....very interesting!



and this one from William Briggs....does an excellent job on explaining....



and finally the latest in Skeptical Peer Reviewed Papers...700 of them! I had to break the article down into 5 posts! It starts here...recommend spending time here...



Hope this helps unless you have "already" concluded your opinion...
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Lucidity
Thu May 06 2010, 08:15PMQuote
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Thanks, I'll have to check them out later. high school isn't all that generous with free time. I don't have a solid opinion yet, which is why I joined, and why I've been doing research on it. While I know that burning fossil fuels is damaging to the environment and air as a whole, I don't quite believe that it is responsible for global warming. We simply don't know enough about our earth to give a definite answer.

One thing I've been wondering about after thinking back to the link I posted earlier, was where all the C02 could have gone. The C02 levels and temperature seem to have changed naturally, and in a rather consistent pattern of warming an cooling. I really couldn't figure out logically how the C02 could simply disappear. Guess I'll look it up tomorrow though and see if I can find some info on it.

The worlds an amazing thing isn't it? c:
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Denny
Thu May 06 2010, 09:01PMQuote
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Amanda, thanks for you insight on this issue. I appreciate you coming here to look at a side that wasn't noticiable until last Nov. when "ClimateGate" broke...A question in your statement where you said, "While I know the burning fossil fuels is damaging to the environment and air as a whole". If you are referring to "polution" then yes it can be when concentrated in medium to large cities with certain conditions...If you are referring it towards CO2 then no I have to disagree. There's NO "Empirical Evidence" that shows CO2 causing "excessive" CAGW...This is important for you to make a proper judgement on this...For if you don't, you will get caught up in the typical "Green" thought pattern that you will never get out of...

Thought you should know this...Let me or Us know here at GWH.com should you need assistance..A personal question, Amanda, if I may....Is the "avitar" you???
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Denny
Thu May 06 2010, 09:09PMQuote
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Amanda,

May I also invite you to read the latest from the recent "unheard" report of our air quality...Good read...EPA doesn't want people to know...



Always good news!!! Only if ONE heards of it! ;-)
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Lucidity
Fri May 07 2010, 03:10PMQuote
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haha, yah, i was referring to the pollution caused by it, not the actual C02. The avatar isn't me. I'm just a deviantart junkie.

here's the artist


I've actually been doing art for 5 years, that's probably what my major will be in college.
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Denny
Fri May 07 2010, 04:11PMQuote
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Amanda, that site was very "cool"... Thanks! And "thanks" for clearing up what you meant in the above statement!
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Lucidity
Fri May 07 2010, 04:20PMQuote
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Well I've read the articles you've posted and searched around the internet a bit. I don't take making decisions about my opinions very lightly, but the 'evidence' of AGW seems less and less logical the more I look into it. In fact... I seem to be finding more solid and tangible evidence that disproves it. I've been looking up a lot about the oceans effect on temperature and C02 as well, which makes it easier for me to comprehend how the climate can change over time.

The only thing that I can't seem to figure out now is how the temperatures of the oceans change over time and what effect that change has on C02 absorption.
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Denny
Fri May 07 2010, 05:25PMQuote
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Posts: 2178
Amanda, may I recommend this article! Be sure to read the comments...There's very good responses from Science of Doom (Pro-CAGW) and David (Realist) who's site your at...very good conversation..



here's another from David's Blog:
A good read...A true scientist always looks for evidence to "defeat" his Theory, Amanda. This is what I strive for but so far the Alarmists only conjure up "repeated results...Sure, there are some new papers but these Climate Scientists use the "same" bases Computer Models to "drive" their predictions...Keep this in mind, always. I would like to state that it didn't take me long to find out how much of a "hoax" the CAGW agenda was...Did you see one of todays posting's?? Check this out!



Amanda, just "more" proof on how deception, lies and corruption come from the same type of Science...because this is "proof" of how they see with ALL of the Climate Taxes applied, and only a few so far from their ultimate plan, will corrupt countries to their foundations...Scarey isn't it. And you should be if you care...

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